Texas Winter 2014-2015

[BigB0882]

People always think they are seeing snow when drizzle gets blown around. I made that mistake when I was a kid more than a few times. lol

[Brent]

Beautiful

[Brent]

Also beautiful

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Picture posted by NWS from Huntsville is def snow.

[Kludge]

light snow is being reported in Huntsville

Yeah 20 miles NW of Huntsville I can verify that it was actually tiny flakes, not sleet or graupel. The grill is covered with a lite powder that you can blow away. It lasted for about 10 minutes. Maybe the warm nose got cold for a bit. I know mine did while I was out there.

[jerryh421]

I saw the video he posted. That's not snow, it's just drizzle being blown around in front of the car's headlights. The vertical temperature profile isn't even close to one that could produce snow.

I didn't see the video but looking at the sounding from KCLL snow is almost literally impossible. I was surprised HGX mentioned that..

More than just a video, pictures were also posted and one of the pictures had it accumulating on cars. I understand the temperature profile does not support the snow, but something certainly was falling and it could not have been just drizzle. Maybe sleet? However it does look more like snow flurries to me. HGX has added a chance of snow and freezing rain to my forecast for tonight and into tomorrow morning.

[TheProfessor]

Anyone else see those temperature trends at the end of the 21z SREF Plumes?

[Ralph's Weather]

There were definitely periods of light show at my place. I did not check the soundings, but I expect they were forming near the surface around 925mb.
I am getting excited about the prospects of 6+ inches of snow between the next two storms.

[orangeblood]

yep, beautiful ULL depicted by the NAM moving directly through the state on Wednesday....

[davidiowx]

Picture posted by NWS from Huntsville is def snow.

Yep it certainly is. Move it south please!

[Brent]

:uarrow: yep, beautiful ULL depicted by the NAM moving directly through the state on Wednesday....

Yes! I'll take this in a heartbeat lol

[orangeblood]

Anyone else see those temperature trends at the end of the 21z SREF Plumes?

Yeah, Originating out of the Arctic Circle, Thursdays Arctic Front is pretty potent...wouldn't be surprised at another sub-freezing high temp day on Friday. Big question mark is how much moisture will be available for that system

[Brent]

Anyone else see those temperature trends at the end of the 21z SREF Plumes?

Yeah, Originating out of the Arctic Circle, Thursdays Arctic Front is pretty potent...wouldn't be surprised at another sub-freezing high temp day on Friday. Big question mark is how much moisture will be available for that system

and Wednesday will be much colder if it snows and significant accumulates until noon... so not much of a warmup there either

[Yukon Cornelius]

Anyone else see those temperature trends at the end of the 21z SREF Plumes?

Yeah, Originating out of the Arctic Circle, Thursdays Arctic Front is pretty potent...wouldn't be surprised at another sub-freezing high temp day on Friday. Big question mark is how much moisture will be available for that system

The NWS currently has a pretty decent chance for snow for my part of the state on Friday.

[Ptarmigan]

My day (months) will be coming soon! Winter is on its last legs now, though it seems to have quite a few of them.

In a few months the discussion will go something like this:

You will be begging for cold weather again.

[Snowman67]

Picture posted by NWS from Huntsville is def snow.

Not saying it is or isn't snowing in Huntsville. But, like I posted earlier today, I don't always think the upper air temp profiles are accurate. In that earlier post, I told how several years ago it was snowing huge flakes at my house in Tomball. I was on the phone at the time with a friend of mine who is a meteorologist and telling him it was snowing. He said that it couldn't be because the upper air sounding showed it was too warm to support snow. I told him, I didn't need confirmation from any upper air analysis because I was out in it, and told him to come over to see for himself. He called me on the way over to tell me that it was indeed snowing. Classic example of looking at a model output instead of looking outside the window

[Brent]

FWD seems to be believing the aggressive NAM:

REGARDING THE SNOW POTENTIAL TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AM...THE
NAM IS CURRENTLY THE ONLY NEW 00Z MODEL DATA THAT HAS ARRIVED AND
IT CONTINUES TO BE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SNOW POTENTIAL. WILL NOT
MAKE ANY CHANGES AT THIS TIME UNTIL WE SEE MORE 00Z DATA BUT IF
THE NAM IS THE PREFERRED MODEL...THE WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE EXPANDED
FURTHER WEST AND/OR SOUTH.

[Texas Snowman]

Classic example of looking at a model output instead of looking outside the window

Reminds me of something the late great Harold Taft used to say. The former U.S. Air Force met turned longtime KXAS-TV met at Channel 5 in Fort Worth was asked once by an anchor why he often didn't forecast snow when others did.

He said he had learned over the years that forecasting snow in Texas was a tricky thing and that the best way to forecast it was when you looked out the window and saw that it was actually snowing, then go ahead and make a forecast for snow to occur.

[weatherdude1108]

Just got a text stating there would be a late start to work. Not sure why, but woohoo!!!

[JDawg512]

Just got a text stating there would be a late start to work. Not sure why, but woohoo!!!

Saw a post from KXAN saying UT will not open till 10 a.m. tomorrow, classes don't start till 11 a.m.

AISD and surrounding school districts are on a 2 hour delay for tomorrow morning.