Texas Winter 2013-2014

#5801 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:40 am

It looks like the main precip band that most models project to move southeastward today is now developing from Waco to Junction. Maybe that band will have more frozen precipitation in it. Snow is now being reported in Hamilton and Lampasas.

Longhornmaniac8 · #5802 Postby **Longhornmaniac8** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:49 am

What do we know about the 850 mb level? Has it cooled off from the top-down, or is there still a pronounced warm nose? Just trying to get an idea of the P-type.

#5803 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 2:51 am

Longhornmaniac8 wrote:What do we know about the 850 mb level? Has it cooled off from the top-down, or is there still a pronounced warm nose? Just trying to get an idea of the P-type.

Have you been getting mostly freezing rain so far? There is a warm nose on the 6z A&M sounding. Unfortunately snow is looking very unlikely here tonight. It might cool off enough for mainly sleet in a few hours though.

Longhornmaniac8 · #5804 Postby **Longhornmaniac8** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 3:03 am

Yeah, freezing rain with some sleet mixed in.

#5805 Postby **Houstonia** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 3:26 am

Am I looking at the radar wrong? It looks like the precip is staying too far north to affect Houston. It could come south but if it doesn't move soon it will bypass us to the east it seems? Or am I just sleepy?

Texashawk · #5806 Postby **Texashawk** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 5:15 am

Looks like they snuck in the downgrade to a WWA for us Houston folks. Bummer.

TeamPlayersBlue · #5807 Postby **TeamPlayersBlue** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 6:46 am

Precip may be building over Houston back down the coast now. MAY. Ugh.

#5808 Postby **Portastorm** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:09 am

In the last hour freezing rain has picked up here in Austin. Numerous accidents being reported on area roadways, all occurring within the last hour.

windnrain · #5809 Postby **windnrain** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:12 am

QPF was supposed to be negligible in Austin. Weathermaps are showing that the area may receive far more freezing rain than previously thought:

#5810 Postby **opticsguy** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:21 am

I thought I knew METAR, but haven't seen this before at KAUS.

FZRAB24PLB37 CIG 042 RWY17R

Freezing rain and Ice pellets, but the B24 and B37 have me.

#5811 Postby **Portastorm** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:21 am

Tweet just now from local on-air met Albert Ramon, from KVUE:

Roadways are deteriorating now in Austin. ATCEMS reports "a surge of vehicle crashes in NW corridor...." Be safe, slow down, or stay home!

ATCEMS = Austin/Travis County EMS

jerryh421 · #5812 Postby **jerryh421** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:33 am

Sleeting at the house. Accumulating on the cars some. So far no freezing rain with it just sleet.

TeamPlayersBlue · #5813 Postby **TeamPlayersBlue** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:36 am

WV loop looks promising SE Folk. Were not 100% out of this game yet. Sleet looks likely though, no snow

southerngale · #5814 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:38 am

28° and falling... raining and I can hear some pings on the metal roof outside that sounds like a little sleet mixed in.

If it's raining now and below freezing across my area, how long until bridges and overpasses freeze up? I'm supposed to go to work in a few hours and it's about a 30 minute trip, all in the Winter Storm Warning area.

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TeamPlayersBlue · #5815 Postby **TeamPlayersBlue** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:42 am

40.5F here, dewpoint is 21F. Just give us some precip and we will fall to freezing very quickly

#5816 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:46 am

opticsguy wrote:I thought I knew METAR, but haven't seen this before at KAUS.

FZRAB24PLB37 CIG 042 RWY17R

Freezing rain and Ice pellets, but the B24 and B37 have me.

FZRAB24 = Freezing Rain Began 24 minutes after the hour

PLB37 = Ice Pellets Began 37 minutes after the hour.

southerngale · #5817 Postby **southerngale** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:48 am

27° and steady sleeting now

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PTrackerLA · #5818 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:48 am

Anyone notice the enhancement of cloud tops occurring over the big bend area of Texas in front of the upper low? That looks to significantly enhance precipitation as it moves across Texas this morning.

#5819 Postby **Portastorm** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:54 am

Law enforcement in the Austin area are starting to shut down elevated roadways/bridges now. So far the hardest hit areas are in north/northwest Austin.

TeamPlayersBlue · #5820 Postby **TeamPlayersBlue** » Tue Jan 28, 2014 7:55 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Anyone notice the enhancement of cloud tops occurring over the big bend area of Texas in front of the upper low? That looks to significantly enhance precipitation as it moves across Texas this morning.

Yep, and more behind it. Im an optimist, but i still see houston being a big part of this event. The NWS has been chasing itself all over this storm. Poor guys. But as Porta said earlier, we have no data in mexico. Using the water vapor imagery you can see the 'plume' yet to interact with that boundary and still in Mexico. Issue is how long it will take to wet bulb, any guess?

We have reports above of 27 and sleet when they were warm not long ago. Everyone is going to work on the news like a normal showery day. I dont know man, i think we are still on for an event.

remember the initial guess was for precip to begin now but we were spoiled when the precip fired up early last night.

Edit:http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/south-central-region/satellite-wv?play=1

Moisture plume continues to extend.

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