Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

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southerngale
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6061 Postby southerngale » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:22 pm

Cuda17 wrote:Where are all of the optimistic folks tonight??? srain, portastorm? Too much negativity about the "event"! :(

Who? I don't see any negativity at all on this last page.

But why don't you start up the Snow Express Train and we'll all jump on board! :P



Edit: Figures. My post goes to the top of the next page after saying that. lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6062 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:24 pm

iorange55 wrote:I think something close to what the GFS will happen. San Antonio and Austin might pick up 1-2 inches. Probably an inch around here in DFW. Houston 1-2 inches. I think some places though might see heavier amounts, just don't know where.




My own personal disclaimer. I'm not a pro and I never plan to be, so you shouldn't believe anything I forecast as it will be wrong 75% of the time. In fact it's probably a higher amount than that so I'm wrong about being wrong.


You and me both lol busted snow forecast on Tues. If only I had shifted my prediction about 30-50 miles west!
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SaskatchewanScreamer

#6063 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:26 pm

Cuda I promise I'll do my best to turn my turbines and fans on full blast *due South* 8-) the next time the arctic drops down to my location. My plant growing zone is 2 (the same as the arctic and for a good reason).
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Re:

#6064 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:27 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Cuda I promise I'll do my best to turn my turbines and fans on full blast *due South* 8-) the next time the arctic drops down to my location. My plant growing zone is 2 (the same as the arctic and for a good reason).


We'll ship you some sunflowers and palm trees! Of course they won't live long but maybe during the summer!

Mr No not happy for North Texas snow next week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6065 Postby goCoogs » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:30 pm

Come on snow! I want to skip work on Friday. :cold:
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Re: Re:

#6066 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:31 pm

Ntxw wrote:Mr No not happy for North Texas snow next week.



Has some cold in place though....I'm not flustered by it yet. Models sure have being giving people headaches this winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6067 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:33 pm

Ntxw are you going to make any predictions for tomorrow and fridays storm?
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SaskatchewanScreamer

#6068 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:33 pm

I'll take you up on that offer NTxw!!! I've grown bananas and lotuses (the summer we hit 120 F with humidity they grew like weeds here) however come winter you should see what I have to haul in :eek: and how tropical my basement looks and feels :o)

I belong to a gardening group that a lot of Floridians and Texans belong to and we've found ways of getting some goodies across the border and into Canada). Seeds are legal and plants well one person shipped to an American vet in Montana (who often comes up) and a couple of very tropical plants made the trip with him. :D :D :D :D :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6069 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:34 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Ntxw are you going to make any predictions for tomorrow and fridays storm?


I don't predict, I just relay information :wink: that's iorange55's job :wink: :wink: he's the guru at that!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6070 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:37 pm

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Ntxw are you going to make any predictions for tomorrow and fridays storm?


I don't predict, I just relay information :wink: that's iorange55's job :wink: :wink: he's the guru at that!



I'm going to start my own website and call it "wrongforecast" it'll be like weather.com just right more often. :wink:
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Re:

#6071 Postby Cuda17 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:38 pm

SaskatchewanScreamer wrote:Cuda I promise I'll do my best to turn my turbines and fans on full blast *due South* 8-) the next time the arctic drops down to my location. My plant growing zone is 2 (the same as the arctic and for a good reason).


Thank you ma'am! Much obliged for your kind offerings!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6072 Postby BigB0882 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:38 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Ntxw are you going to make any predictions for tomorrow and fridays storm?


I don't predict, I just relay information :wink: that's iorange55's job :wink: :wink: he's the guru at that!



I'm going to start my own website and call it "wrongforecast" it'll be like weather.com just right more often. :wink:


LOL! They have that, they just call it accuweather.com
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#6073 Postby Anthony » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:48 pm

Steve Browne's call:
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6074 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:49 pm

Alright just for fun

1-3 inches in Austin (3 east of there)
Up to an 1 inch for SA
DFW trace-2 (more south/east).
Houston is a little tricky, 1-3 (sleet/frz rain mixed in) with some 2+ just to the north. Areas around Huntsville - Jasper 2-3 (3+ around the LA border).
Tyler 1-2 up to Texarkana.
For southergale = sleet with light snow at the end, dusting

Hopefully I am wrong and everyone gets 5+ inches with 3ft drifts!


iorange55's own personal disclaimer (borrowing it). I'm not a pro and I never plan to be, so you shouldn't believe anything I forecast as it will be wrong 70% of the time. In fact it's probably a higher amount than that so I'm wrong about being wrong. Or am I? Dun Dun...take it with a grain of salt!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6075 Postby katheria » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:55 pm

ntwx,

im with you i hope this stuff goes away....i dont like driving on at all....
normal 15-16 min trip to work took 1.5 hours this morning...


think im ready for summer..... :sun:
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just a guess.......take everything i say with a grain of salt.......check your local NWS for forecast information

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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6076 Postby orangeblood » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:00 am

Something just doesn't look right with this system. When you factor in the positively tiltled trough and questionable lower level moisture return, thats a recipe for very low precip values and when looking at the forecast, high bust potential.
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Re:

#6077 Postby txwxwatcher » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:01 am

Anthony wrote:Steve Browne's call:
Image



I wouldn't trust that at all, at least for the Houston area. On tonight's 10 pm newscast, the KHOU TV meteorologist increased totals in the region, going with 3-5 inches just north of metro Houston (this map shows sleet).
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6078 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:05 am

orangeblood wrote:Something just doesn't look right with this system. When you factor in the positively tiltled trough and questionable lower level moisture return, thats a recipe for very low precip values and when looking at the forecast, high bust potential.


There is bust potential. I was a little surprised the NWS went with such bullish predictions at first. Then I figured that ice was the reason why, but who knows.

Go figure as soon as I post numbers CMC comes in a bit drier lol. It's showing a storm at hr 108. Mostly in Oklahoma though, considerable snows...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6079 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:07 am

Lol I'm not feeling good about my forecast either...it's just I mean how could there be so many people wrong? At least if my forecast bust badly I won't be alone.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6080 Postby Rockets420 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:12 am

are you referring to next week's storm or the thurs/fri event?
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