Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6101 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:54 am

Ntxw wrote:Senor Yuropean has initialized. Some numbers as it rolls shall we?


Yes please! You know which cities I would like to hear qpf for :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6102 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:06 am

So far through Friday

0.32 qpf IAH (some upper 540s thicknesses so im guessing some mixing going on, not sure how much is snow)
0.20 CLL all snow
AUS 0
DFW 0
SAT 0

Beaumont 0.48 very marginal, mixing to snow at the end.
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6103 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:07 am

Ntxw wrote:So far through Friday

0.32 qpf IAH (some upper 540s thicknesses so im guessing some mixing going on, not sure how much is snow)
0.20 CLL all snow
AUS 0
DFW 0
SAT 0



Let's hope the GFS is the right model.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6104 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:08 am

Ntxw wrote:So far through Friday

0.32 qpf IAH (some upper 540s thicknesses so im guessing some mixing going on, not sure how much is snow)
0.20 CLL all snow
AUS 0
DFW 0
SAT 0


Thanks again for letting us know! Why has the euro been consistently showing no snow for SA/Aus/DFW? Should I believe its solution?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6105 Postby southerngale » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:13 am

Ntxw wrote:So far through Friday

0.32 qpf IAH (some upper 540s thicknesses so im guessing some mixing going on, not sure how much is snow)
0.20 CLL all snow
AUS 0
DFW 0
SAT 0

Beaumont 0.48 very marginal, mixing to snow at the end.


Thanks. That's better than 12Z, if I recall correctly.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6106 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:16 am

I don't know if the stats back me up (probably not) but it seems recently the GFS has been doing a better job in the short range than the Euro.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6107 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:16 am

iorange55 wrote:I don't know if the stats back me up (probably not) but it seems recently the GFS has been doing a better job in the short range than the Euro.


Euro has been king 24 hours out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6108 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:18 am

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:I don't know if the stats back me up (probably not) but it seems recently the GFS has been doing a better job in the short range than the Euro.


Euro has been king 24 hours out.


So does that mean to trust to euro more than the gfs for tomorrow event?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6109 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:19 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:I don't know if the stats back me up (probably not) but it seems recently the GFS has been doing a better job in the short range than the Euro.


Euro has been king 24 hours out.


So does that mean to trust to euro more than the gfs for tomorrow event?



Sounds like it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6110 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:20 am

South Texas Storms wrote:So does that mean to trust to euro more than the gfs for tomorrow event?


I would, but that doesn't mean the Euro is right. You'll just have to look at the radar :wink:

The other models have been waffling about qpf and temps, Euro hasn't really...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6111 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:22 am

Ntxw wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:So does that mean to trust to euro more than the gfs for tomorrow event?


I would, but that doesn't mean the Euro is right. You'll just have to look at the radar :wink:

The other models have been waffling about qpf and temps, Euro hasn't really...


What is the HRRR showing?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6112 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:22 am

From looking at current water vapor imagery, would you guys say it's looking good for us, or is it too early to tell right now?
And when should I be able to track this on radar, tomorrow evening?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6113 Postby Rgv20 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:24 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:I don't know if the stats back me up (probably not) but it seems recently the GFS has been doing a better job in the short range than the Euro.


Euro has been king 24 hours out.


So does that mean to trust to euro more than the gfs for tomorrow event?


Just keep a close eye on the radar seems like the models are underestimating the moisture............but Euro is the King of Kings....
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6114 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:25 am

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#6115 Postby Rgv20 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:27 am

oh and the new 0z UKMET came in a little bit with more moisture than the GFS for SE and South Texas.
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Re:

#6116 Postby South Texas Storms » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:30 am

Rgv20 wrote:oh and the new 0z UKMET came in a little bit with more moisture than the GFS for SE and South Texas.


so did the 0z JPN :)
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#6117 Postby Anthony » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:40 am

WRF-NMM:

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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6118 Postby GRAYSONCO.WX » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:42 am

Ntxw wrote:Latest HRRR run

Thank you!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6119 Postby iorange55 » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:43 am

Euro still looks good for Next week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6120 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:44 am

Hey iorange55. Euro is pumping out some serious numbers next weds-thurs. 3-5+ inches and the text forecast stops there with 530 thickness wow!...
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Feb 03, 2011 1:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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