Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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SoupBone
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6121 Postby SoupBone » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:30 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Today is the day most of us have been waiting for a long time! Please enjoy it and stay safe. It's going to be a fun 24 hours! :D


I really hope that by fun, you mean way more snow and not a lot of freezing rain. Otherwise, this won't be a fun event at all. :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6122 Postby utweather » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:31 pm



Oh wow, I got lucky out in SE Austin, no ice on the trees at all. 24.3 degrees though. This better be sleet or snow thats coming.
I actually went out this morning to meet someone for a brunch date downtown, yes I know crazy. Slid briefly getting out of the neighborhood. That was scary. Went slow the whole time roads were wet. Of course I get there and she texts me that she slid in her neighborhood and cancels. lol oh well. I made it back home safely, but getting back into neighborhood slid again. So yeah, don't try, its the neighborhood streets that will get you first.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6123 Postby utpmg » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:33 pm

EWX lowered tonights forecast low for mabry to 8; still 5 tomorrow night.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6124 Postby utweather » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:39 pm

wxman57 wrote:
NDG wrote:
wxman57 wrote:00Z models below. None is showing significant freezing rain here in Harris County (Houston). It's north and south of us? GFS has 6-7" snow, Euro has 1-2". Model consensus is that Houston will reach 5-8F on Tuesday. All-time record is 5F. What I don't buy is the warm-up to above freezing the next day (Wednesday). With all that ice on the ground, I think the temperature won't climb above freezing. If that's the case, the stage is set for a significant ice storm across SE TX on Wednesday. Generator is ready to go. Lots of gas. Shutting off water this evening.

http://wxman57.com/images/Models00ZFeb14.JPG


Good luck wxman57 with this historic Arctic event, I am surprised you haven't catch a plane and headed to FL knowing how much you hate the cold weather.


I'm still in Perth. My butler is handling all the chores back in Houston.


Bless Jarvis
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6125 Postby ElectricStorm » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:40 pm

First round is done here in NE OK. Not a lot so far, so the second round this afternoon and evening is going to have to be big to get to the forecasted 6-8" for my area...
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6126 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:41 pm

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6127 Postby cycloneye » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:43 pm

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6128 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:44 pm

From around the Northwestern half of the state current observations.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6129 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:46 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Brent wrote:the entire states of Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas under a WSW now :froze:

DFW is at 17 with a wind chill of 0 :cold: some winters we don't even get this cold!


WOW. :shocked!:

#NeverAgain

https://i.imgur.com/rgj6EcJ.png


I borrowed this and shared it on Facebook and Instagram. Once in a century event. Truly historic.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6130 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:47 pm

Anyone under that band out west of DFW? Looks to be ripping on radar.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6131 Postby r22weiss » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:48 pm

34 in Katy, TX right now. Had some light rain this morning. Liking the trends of the models showing more sleet and snow than freezing rain. However, this is SE Texas and we get curve balls during winter events. Wish we had a closer sounding :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6132 Postby TropicalTundra » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:50 pm

:lol:

Image
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation

Don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6133 Postby snowballzzz » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:51 pm

Greetings from Blanco County (just west of Austin)! Looking like the brunt of the storm is bound to hit us later on this evening and through the night. HRRR showing 3-8" for the area! :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6134 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:55 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I’ve got 1” IMBY all snow. Rest of the forecast holds true, 4-6” is the target.


Closer to 6" :wink:. One of the rare snows where pavement has more accumulations than the grass. This constant light snow may not seem like much but it gets us a head start.


Lets see if we can nickle and dime another half inch before the main show.

Does anyone know where to get the snow obs for the airport? Surely they must have an inch by now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6135 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Feb 14, 2021 12:55 pm

It’s 13 and the snow has stopped for now (flurries) in Denison. Streets are covered and we’ve got an inch plus on the ground. Memorable Valentine’s Day for sure.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6136 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Feb 14, 2021 1:03 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Anyone under that band out west of DFW? Looks to be ripping on radar.


Abilene up through the Falls looks to be getting slammed. The HRRR keeps wanting to kill that band off as it moves east but really seems to be struggling with it right now. It shows snow surging up from the south later on into DFW but kills the band to the west off as it moves through DFW. Radar trends seem to look good, if that band out west moves through DFW and then snow surges up from the south, we would probably be looking at the higher end of forecast ranges verifying.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6137 Postby Haris » Sun Feb 14, 2021 1:04 pm

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We’re out of the model zone but I’ll leave it here
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6138 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 14, 2021 1:05 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Anyone under that band out west of DFW? Looks to be ripping on radar.


Abilene up through the Falls looks to be getting slammed. The HRRR keeps wanting to kill that band off as it moves east but really seems to be struggling with it right now. It shows snow surging up from the south later on into DFW but kills the band to the west off as it moves through DFW. Radar trends seem to look good, if that band out west moves through DFW and then snow surges up from the south, we would probably be looking at the higher end of forecast ranges verifying.


 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/1361007316540280836


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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6139 Postby Ntxw » Sun Feb 14, 2021 1:11 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Anyone under that band out west of DFW? Looks to be ripping on radar.


Abilene up through the Falls looks to be getting slammed. The HRRR keeps wanting to kill that band off as it moves east but really seems to be struggling with it right now. It shows snow surging up from the south later on into DFW but kills the band to the west off as it moves through DFW. Radar trends seem to look good, if that band out west moves through DFW and then snow surges up from the south, we would probably be looking at the higher end of forecast ranges verifying.


HRRR has been struggling with the lighter reflectivity which is also putting down snow. If you go back and look at earlier runs, it's initiation for the early batch was poor.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#6140 Postby EnnisTx » Sun Feb 14, 2021 1:14 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Anyone under that band out west of DFW? Looks to be ripping on radar.


I have some family out in Parker County. Waiting to give them a call once it hits.
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