Texas Winter 2010-2011

[chrisdanger76]

Im wondering once SBXLV goes away, will we get to keep a couple of plows for next week??

[TeamPlayersBlue]

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southplains_loop.php

Last few frames look interesting

yep, I was going to post that as well. I wonder what that is? I'm seeing more and more reports of light freezing rain and snow mix from all of the different forums I visit...

In what areas? GLV?

Could this be the low beginning to develop?

[txagwxman]

UKMET 1-2" N. Houston.

[Anthony]

Water Vapor doesn't look too good for snow chances at least on the western end of the envelop. Lots of dry air moving in:

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

[downsouthman1]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

[Brandon8181]

Okay...apprently I've had a mistundrestanding of the times with computer models...

Could someone please help me?

00Z = ?
06Z = ?
12Z = ?
18Z = ?

I think I've been doing it wrong....

[Anthony]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

lol.. great minds think alike

[Anthony]

Okay...apprently I've had a mistundrestanding of the times with computer models...

Could someone please help me?

00Z = 6 PM CST
06Z = 12 AM CST
12Z = 6 AM CST
18Z = 12 PM CST

I think I've been doing it wrong....

[iorange55]

The CMC and Ukmet look very similar to what the HRRR is showing. So I'm still sticking with my 1-2 inches down there.

Let's see.

[orangeblood]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

The moisture will come up from south and southeast Texas. I wouldn't worry about that dry slot too much - it should fill in as the trough becomes a little less positively tilted as it moves out across Texas.

[Brandon8181]

Okay...apprently I've had a mistundrestanding of the times with computer models...

Could someone please help me?

00Z = 6 PM CST
06Z = 12 AM CST
12Z = 6 AM CST
18Z = 12 PM CST

I think I've been doing it wrong....

omg, lol, thank you..and thank GOD for that weather disclaimer. lol

[iorange55]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

The moisture will come up from south and southeast Texas. I wouldn't worry about that dry slot too much - it should fill in as the trough becomes a little less positively tilted as it moves out across Texas.

Yeah, I'm starting to get a little more confident after last night. The HRRR and CMC and Ukmet are staying the course. The GFS still has some moisture throughout Texas just not as heavy.

The only really discouraging model is the NAM.

[downsouthman1]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

The moisture will come up from south and southeast Texas. I wouldn't worry about that dry slot too much - it should fill in as the trough becomes a little less positively tilted as it moves out across Texas.

Do you foresee it becoming more negatively tilted?

Also, I noticed on the last 2 radar frames from San Angelo (2 hours newer data than that Water Vapor loop, there appears to be a heavier band setting up just northwest of Sonora.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... 9&smooth=0

[snow4444]

How much is the cmc and ukmet showing for DFW...

[Ntxw]

New Euro:

AUS 0.07 -->I lied 0.08
IAH 0.10 (combo of mixing)
DFW 0.03
SAT 0.02
CLL 0.18 all snow
BPT 0.08 (looks like rain/mix)

[iorange55]

How much is the cmc and ukmet showing for DFW...

I wouldn't expect much more than an inch here, but you never know.

Newest HRRR has a band of 4-5 inches just a tad bit north of Austin. Let's hope it's right for Portastorm :]

[orangeblood]

I'm concerned about a huge dry slot on the east side of the ULL.

http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/products/wx ... 0mbwv.html

The moisture will come up from south and southeast Texas. I wouldn't worry about that dry slot too much - it should fill in as the trough becomes a little less positively tilted as it moves out across Texas.

Do you foresee it becoming more negatively tilted?

Also, I noticed on the last 2 radar frames from San Angelo (2 hours newer data than that Water Vapor loop, there appears to be a heavier band setting up just northwest of Sonora.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... 9&smooth=0

No, just a little less positive than it is now allowing more moisture to be pulled up from the Gulf but once it gets to North Texas it gets sheared out and I would think precip would abruptly come to an end.

[Anthony]

New Euro:

AUS 0.07 -->I lied 0.08
IAH 0.10 (combo of mixing)
DFW 0.03
SAT 0.02
CLL 0.18 all snow
BPT 0.08 (looks like rain/mix)

Looks a bit more widespread.

[snow4444]

With the roads the way they are currently in Fort Worth...0.5 or 1.5 inches of snow is more than enough to shut things down for another day!!!!

[iorange55]

So uh I have a confession....since this morning I thought the NWS was down, but it turns out in my web address bar I typed "naoa.gov" how? I don't know.

Just noticed it about 6 hours later...embarrassing.