Texas Winter 2014-2015

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Tcu101
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#6261 Postby Tcu101 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 3:53 am

Within the next hour or so the warm nose show be just about gone per the 07Z RAP
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#6262 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Feb 25, 2015 3:54 am

Some heavy rain at that. It needs to change over quick. Good soaking regardless.
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#6263 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Feb 25, 2015 3:55 am

Delkus is really downplaying this it seems on Facebook: "Rain continues to fall across most of North Texas early this morning. A transition to snow is expected by 5 a.m. at the latest. Uncertainty remains in terms of total snow accumulation but many areas may still see at least 2 inches of snow before all of this ends by 9-10 a.m. ‪#‎wfaaweather"
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#6264 Postby funster » Wed Feb 25, 2015 3:57 am

I wonder if that was a pre-scheduled tweet or if he is actually tweeting early this morning. Seems that just by looking at the radar there is easily the potential for 2+ inches.

Oh, well he did say "at least" meaning possibility for more.
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Re:

#6265 Postby Tcu101 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:00 am

Texas Snowman wrote:Delkus is really downplaying this it seems on Facebook: "Rain continues to fall across most of North Texas early this morning. A transition to snow is expected by 5 a.m. at the latest. Uncertainty remains in terms of total snow accumulation but many areas may still see at least 2 inches of snow before all of this ends by 9-10 a.m. ‪#‎wfaaweather"


He was also the one that posted " Light Sleet Accumulations" on his 6pm newscast the evening before last storm even though the NWS had upgraded things to a warning
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#6266 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:07 am

Is a major snow bust happening or am I paranoid?
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#6267 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:10 am

The waiting is the hardest part...

We have been so busy at my pizzeria this past week, we have enough pizza boxes for 80 pizzas tomorrow and that's it. We're out of wings, ranch, parmesean cheese packets.... and we're hearing that the scheduled truck may not come tomorrow/today because their facility was closed today/yesterday. Figuring out what day this is is difficult when you're a night owl. :lol:

I've made a ton of cash and earned a bunch of overtime too, so I'm hoping this snow is just bad enough to give me another few bonanzas but not bad enough to prevent our truck from coming in, because we can't open the store without that truck delivery. :\
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6268 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:11 am

Getting more and more sleet as the minutes wear on here... just started about 10 minutes ago
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#6269 Postby STX Expat » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:25 am

Light rain/sleet mix in Sherman. And I was just about to nap.

Edit: Temp 30.5, dewpoint 29
Last edited by STX Expat on Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6270 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:28 am

Moderate rain here in Garland. Not freezing rain, if my chain link fence is any indicator.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6271 Postby TexasF6 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:31 am

IT'S HAPPENING DALLAS!!!! I SAW A SNOW ECHO OVER TRAVIS COUNTY AS WELL EARLIER....THE TREND IS OUR FRIEND.... :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6272 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:35 am

This sucks.

Haven't we had enough 32 and rain this winter??

Come on already.

In more positive thinking the blue area is expanding on weatherbug from the north...
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6273 Postby Tammie » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:40 am

32 and all rain in Denton. Don't believe the blue on the radar.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6274 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:43 am

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 AM CST WED FEB 25 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N-CNTRL TX / EXTREME SERN OK AND NWRN LA /
SWRN AR

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 250932Z - 251530Z

SUMMARY...MIXED P-TYPE PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN IS
INITIALLY FORECAST FROM NEAR THE N-CNTRL TX I-35 CORRIDOR EWD INTO
THE ARKLATEX. FREEZING RAIN RATES 0.05-0.15 INCH PER 3 HOURS ARE
POSSIBLE WHERE TEMPS REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING. MODERATE TO HEAVY
SNOW --RATES APPROACHING/AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR-- IS POSSIBLE
GENERALLY AFTER 11 UTC OVER PARTS OF N-CNTRL TX
AND EVENTUALLY
FARTHER ENE INTO SERN OK/SWRN AR THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS AN EXPANDING PRECIP SHIELD OVER
N-CNTRL TX INTO NERN TX AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL LOW/TROUGH LOCATED OVER
FAR W TX. SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 09Z SHOWS TEMPS AROUND 32 FROM THE
N-SIDE OF THE DFW METROPLEX AND INCLUDING AREAS E INTO NERN TX. THE
00Z FWD RAOB SHOWED A SIZABLE LAYER AOA FREEZING /H85-H7/.
MOISTENING AND ASCENT IN THE AFOREMENTIONED LAYER HAS CONSIDERABLY
COOLED THIS LAYER OVERNIGHT. BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS IT APPEARS A FREEZING RAIN THREAT IS
BEGINNING OVER NERN TX. FREEZING RAIN RATES 0.05-0.15 INCH PER 3
HOURS SEEM LIKELY WITH HEAVIER BURSTS 0.10-0.15 INCH PER 1 HOUR
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS BASED ON OBSERVED RATES NEAR DFW.
ADDITIONAL MID-LEVEL COLUMNAR COOLING IS FORECAST AND A EVENTUAL
TRANSITION TO MIX OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET IS EXPECTED.

AS INCREASING MID-LEVEL ASCENT /DCVA/ ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING DISTURBANCE AND STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING ALONG THE N-SIDE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD OCCURS TOWARDS
MORNING...A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES /1 INCH PER
HOUR/ IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND SUBSEQUENTLY SPREAD DOWNSTREAM FROM
N-CNTRL TX INTO SWRN AR.

..SMITH.. 02/25/2015
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6275 Postby ludosc » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:45 am

Pete Delkus ‏@wfaaweather 2m2 minutes ago
Heaviest snow will directly impact the morning commute. Here's what to expect at 5, 6, 7 and 8 am. #wfaaweather

Image
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#6276 Postby ludosc » Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:47 am

Texas Storm Chasers just posted a video update

https://www.facebook.com/video.php?v=10153063315609654
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#6277 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 25, 2015 5:01 am

Models are showing some crazy snow amounts. All models are currently showing at minimum 3" with most averaging closer to 6" across N and NE Texas with a couple 15" spots on the 08Z RAP. I was worried about 2010esque totals yesterday and looks like that was valid. This may be the craziest weather event I have ever closely followed. A day ago we though maybe some rain or a light mix.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6278 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 5:05 am

NBC 5 says it should be changing over very soon rapidly...

also says FWD is still considering a winter storm warning
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6279 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 25, 2015 5:07 am

Brent wrote:NBC 5 says it should be changing over very soon rapidly...

also says FWD is still considering a winter storm warning

They better be with all models showing at least 4" and some much more.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6280 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 5:07 am

Sleet is now mixing in here in southwest Dallas county.
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