Texas Winter 2014-2015

Winter Weather Discussion

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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6301 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:04 am

It's never going to snow, I cursed the rain just now :P

Denton... all sleet?
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#6302 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:04 am

To me it looks like the Metroplex will see heavy snow bands from 7 to 10. I would expect 2-5". In the Tyler area it looks to be 8-12 with 2-5". For Texarkana I would say 9-1 with 3-6".
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6303 Postby TrekkerCC » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:05 am

Tammie wrote:Just transitioned to sleet in Denton. 31 degrees.


Thank you for the update, Tammie! Can you tell us how heavy the sleet is? Please keep us updated.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6304 Postby Tammie » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:09 am

TrekkerCC wrote:
Tammie wrote:Just transitioned to sleet in Denton. 31 degrees.


Thank you for the update, Tammie! Can you tell us how heavy the sleet is? Please keep us updated.


It was heavy and solid. Now it's a mix of rain and sleet with sleet being the heavier of the 2. This system is bi-polar for sure!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6305 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:10 am

Tammie wrote:
TrekkerCC wrote:
Tammie wrote:Just transitioned to sleet in Denton. 31 degrees.


Thank you for the update, Tammie! Can you tell us how heavy the sleet is? Please keep us updated.


It was heavy and solid. Now it's a mix of rain and sleet with sleet being the heavier of the 2. This system is bi-polar for sure!


It is certainly taking its sweet time passing over. The snow will come!!! I didn't stay awake all night for nothing.

The totals just may be a bit lower than expected.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6306 Postby TrekkerCC » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:13 am

iorange55 wrote:It is certainly taking its sweet time passing over. The snow will come!!! I didn't stay awake all night for nothing.

The totals just may be a bit lower than expected.


It might be that the storm totals could be a bit lower than expected, but it could easily be in line with previous projections, just starting a bit later due to the slower movement of the upper level low. The dynamics still look very strong on the satellite and models, so it might be that we have our biggest snows at 6am to 9am instead of 4am to 8am.
Last edited by TrekkerCC on Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6307 Postby Tammie » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:13 am

Thank you for the update, Tammie! Can you tell us how heavy the sleet is? Please keep us updated.[/quote]

It was heavy and solid. Now it's a mix of rain and sleet with sleet being the heavier of the 2. This system is bi-polar for sure![/quote]

It is certainly taking its sweet time passing over. The snow will come!!! I didn't stay awake all night for nothing.

The totals just may be a bit lower than expected.[/quote]

I hope so. Our ground temp keeps flipping between 31 and 32 every few minutes. I need it to hit 31 and stay put, unless it wants to get colder!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6308 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:18 am

TrekkerCC wrote:
iorange55 wrote:It is certainly taking its sweet time passing over. The snow will come!!! I didn't stay awake all night for nothing.

The totals just may be a bit lower than expected.


It might be that the storm totals could be a bit lower than expected, but it could easily be in line with previous projections, just starting a bit later due to the slower movement of the upper level low. The dynamics still look very strong on the satellite and models, so it might be that we have our biggest snows at 6am to 9am instead of 4am to 8am.


It's certainly possible and everyone knows I am wishing for it. It just seems like a small time frame to drop that amount of snow. If those high totals do show up, it's going to be some of the heaviest snow we have seen around here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6309 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:21 am

The GFS has the snowiest run yet!

Image
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#6310 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:24 am

It does look like the snow will be very heavy. I could see extended periods of 2"/hr+ rates falling in big wet flakes.
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#6311 Postby TarrantWx » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:25 am

Heavy sleet falling on the north side of fort worth
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6312 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:28 am

NBC 5 reporting big fat flakes in Weatherford and around Cleburne
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6313 Postby iorange55 » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:29 am

It's starting...! Sleet/rain mix here. About 70/30 sleet right now. Most we've had all night.
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#6314 Postby TheProfessor » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:32 am

Getting a moderate to heavy sleet here.
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#6315 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:37 am

The 10Z HRRR looks pretty good though I would lower the totals over the NE Metroplex as the changeover is slew to occur. It still looks like 3"+ pretty easilyfor all areas that are cold enough.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6316 Postby Tammie » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:39 am

Back to 31 and all sleet in Denton. Really need that ground temp to stabalize.
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#6317 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:42 am

Sleeting heavy in Kennedale, coworker said it's snowing in Aledo.
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#6318 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:42 am

Not going to happen in Denison I'm afraid. Good luck to all of you guys!
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#6319 Postby TrekkerCC » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:43 am

Tammie wrote:Back to 31 and all sleet in Denton. Really need that ground temp to stabalize.


It really doesn't matter what the surface temps are since the snow would melt on the way down and turn to rain. It can actually snow in 39F surface temperatures, so upper level temperatures are much more important. Temperatures down below must go below freezing in the total atmospheric column for it to start snowing. Surface temperatures only matter on whether it will melt or not on the ground. But usually heavy accumulations of sleet or snow will stick on the ground if the temperature is near freezing.
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#6320 Postby TarrantWx » Wed Feb 25, 2015 6:45 am

Sleet starting to accumulate on cars and rooftops now
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