Texas Winter 2024-2025

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6301 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:05 pm

Where is the second, colder front currently located? For us DFW folks today was supposed to be sunny in the 40s. This evening sometime is when the big push comes for OK, TX, and LA. It should get cloudy tomorrow I would think as the system approaches.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6302 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:06 pm

wxman22 wrote:For us in NW Texas and Oklahoma I am keeping an eye on the setup starting next weekend around the 26th into the following week. Could be snow/ice storm for some areas depending on where the battle zone sets up. Still a long ways to go but something to watch.

https://i.ibb.co/09rYwVS/500h-anom-conus-5.png


We know this story. Ice. A little snow for an hour.

Our chance for just snow was Monday, and it’s gone.

Glad folks south will get something though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6303 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:07 pm

Obviously all over the SE event but the 00z Euro opens the gates from Siberia in the long range. Goodness. January isn't done yet.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6304 Postby Gotwood » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:08 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
wxman22 wrote:For us in NW Texas and Oklahoma I am keeping an eye on the setup starting next weekend around the 26th into the following week. Could be snow/ice storm for some areas depending on where the battle zone sets up. Still a long ways to go but something to watch.

https://i.ibb.co/09rYwVS/500h-anom-conus-5.png


We know this story. Ice. A little snow for an hour.

Our chance for just snow was Monday, and it’s gone.

Glad folks south will get something though.

Yeah I wouldn’t mind so much if last storm didn’t bust so hard. Had our hopes up for weeks just to get maybe a half inch lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6305 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:09 pm

Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6306 Postby wxman22 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:11 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
wxman22 wrote:For us in NW Texas and Oklahoma I am keeping an eye on the setup starting next weekend around the 26th into the following week. Could be snow/ice storm for some areas depending on where the battle zone sets up. Still a long ways to go but something to watch.

https://i.ibb.co/09rYwVS/500h-anom-conus-5.png


We know this story. Ice. A little snow for an hour.

Our chance for just snow was Monday, and it’s gone.

Glad folks south will get something though.


I'm assuming you're speaking about your area? As I had snow all day last Thursday and saw up to 3 inches of accumulation here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6307 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:12 pm

The GFS has a stronger HP currently crossing the border than it had for the previous 48 hours of runs. Good news!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6308 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:13 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Currently 72 here with a winter storm watch for 5"-8" of snow. I've never even seen a "snow" survive a day here without melting and we could have a snowpack until Friday given the latest temperature trends. This doesn't seem real but I'm starting to let myself get excited!


I understand, exactly. I don’t want to get my hopes up but I’ve never seen anything like this with less than 3 days to go before the event. And it’s not just a dusting to an inch we are talking about. I sure hope it pans out. I’ll really feel better tomorrow night if things still look good.


My sister lives in Prairieville, just to your south. She's excited about snow, too. The event will be within the HRRR (High Resolution Rapid Refresh) model tomorrow. That should provide a little more detailed forecast.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6309 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:16 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?


This is more of a stronger Canadian front than Arctic air. Temps are above zero all the way north to southern Montana and southern North Dakota. No extreme cold up there.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6310 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:18 pm

wxman57 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?


This is more of a stronger Canadian front than Arctic air. Temps are above zero all the way north to southern Montana and southern North Dakota. No extreme cold up there.

I guess the "Siberian" air had a change of plans.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6311 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:20 pm

Im expecting at least 48 hours of below freezing temperatures in se texas, schools definitely will be closed tuesday, but wouldnt be surprised if schools close on wednesday and possibly even thursday with snow/ice being very slow to melt, dont see us getting out of the 30’s until late after noon on thursday. but even then their could be a 2nd system that moves through bringing another round of mixed precipitation depending on temperatures at that time
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6312 Postby TropicalTundra » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:26 pm

wxman57 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?


This is more of a stronger Canadian front than Arctic air. Temps are above zero all the way north to southern Montana and southern North Dakota. No extreme cold up there.



Isn’t it in Canada? It looks like bone chilling cold up there. Unless you think your wall will hold :wink:
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Snow in Texas, 8th wonder of the World

Don't use my posts as forecast; I'm not a licensed meteorologist! I just endorse cold weather, alright?

All observations I note are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.

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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6313 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:26 pm

wxman22 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:
wxman22 wrote:For us in NW Texas and Oklahoma I am keeping an eye on the setup starting next weekend around the 26th into the following week. Could be snow/ice storm for some areas depending on where the battle zone sets up. Still a long ways to go but something to watch.

https://i.ibb.co/09rYwVS/500h-anom-conus-5.png


We know this story. Ice. A little snow for an hour.

Our chance for just snow was Monday, and it’s gone.

Glad folks south will get something though.


I'm assuming you're speaking about your area? As I had snow all day last Thursday and saw up to 3 inches of accumulation here.


I had sleet then snow. Got about 3.5 so not bad. Covered the grass. Not complaining about that storm. Just hard to get a repeat.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6314 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:28 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Im expecting at least 48 hours of below freezing temperatures in se texas, schools definitely will be closed tuesday, but wouldnt be surprised if schools close on wednesday and possibly even thursday with snow/ice being very slow to melt, dont see us getting out of the 30’s until late after noon on thursday. but even then their could be a 2nd system that moves through bringing another round of mixed precipitation depending on temperatures at that time


I think temps in Katy will drop to freezing early Tuesday morning and rise above early Wednesday afternoon. Close to 36 hrs. Regardless of the type of precipitation between Monday evening and 3pm Tuesday, the roads wil be icy, at least any elevated road or bridge. That ice won't be gone by Wednesday morning, so schools will likely be closed Tuesday and Wednesday.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6315 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:30 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?


This is more of a stronger Canadian front than Arctic air. Temps are above zero all the way north to southern Montana and southern North Dakota. No extreme cold up there.


Isn’t it in Canada? It looks like bone chilling cold up there. Unless you think your wall will hold :wink:


You can monitor temperatures worldwide using the link below. Temps in southern Alberta and Saskatchewan are running -10F to -20F. Cold, but nothing extreme for them this time of year. Temps in northern North Dakota are running -5 to -10 now. No below-zero temps down to Kansas or Oklahoma, as with some very strong fronts of the past.

Here's the link. You can add cold fronts on the map. Secondary surge of a little colder Canadian air is reaching southern Oklahoma now.

https://aviationweather.gov/gfa/#obs
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6316 Postby wxman22 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:32 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
wxman22 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:
We know this story. Ice. A little snow for an hour.

Our chance for just snow was Monday, and it’s gone.

Glad folks south will get something though.


I'm assuming you're speaking about your area? As I had snow all day last Thursday and saw up to 3 inches of accumulation here.


I had sleet then snow. Got about 3.5 so not bad. Covered the grass. Not complaining about that storm. Just hard to get a repeat.


I do agree though with the SE ridge in play and shallower air the next storm system may end up more ice than snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6317 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:34 pm

12z Euro is more aggressive with a winter storm, definitely more moisture, axis of heavy snow is focused from the western side of houston- points east, significantly ice accumulations of .15 to the west and SW of houston, with some big sleet totals , highs stay in the mid- upper 20’s all day on tuesday, euro keeps highs below freezing on wednesday as well
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6318 Postby snownado » Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:46 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Also, shocker, the brutal cold is no more.

Won’t even be below freezing for highs this week. That’s “Arctic” cold?


This is more of a stronger Canadian front than Arctic air. Temps are above zero all the way north to southern Montana and southern North Dakota. No extreme cold up there.

I guess the "Siberian" air had a change of plans.


It's just my prayers being answered... 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6319 Postby TomballEd » Sat Jan 18, 2025 1:07 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Im expecting at least 48 hours of below freezing temperatures in se texas, schools definitely will be closed tuesday, but wouldnt be surprised if schools close on wednesday and possibly even thursday with snow/ice being very slow to melt, dont see us getting out of the 30’s until late after noon on thursday. but even then their could be a 2nd system that moves through bringing another round of mixed precipitation depending on temperatures at that time


I used to live up North. Snow pack goes down with temps below freezing with the sun out. The top of the snow melts from radiation and snow sublimates. A couple of sunny days will remove 1 or 2 inches of snow/slush except in the shade. 6 or 8 inch 6Z Euro would obviously last longer, and snow that melts quickly on sun heated roads will turn to ice again. Euro would mean an extra day or two after the storm w/ road issues.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#6320 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Jan 18, 2025 1:08 pm

Just my yearly PSA


Summer sucks and does more damage to our economy and properties than Winter does.

Viva Winter. F*** Summer!
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