Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Ralph's Weather]

06Z models hold serve. Still have warm nose questions along and south of I-10. Also questions on if moisture can make it up to I-20 in accumulating quantity. Wherever ends up just north of the transition line could get over 6 inches of wet snow. Below the transition line will be an inch of mix. North of the heavy band will be snow showers which could amount to a few inches of high ratio powder where bands set up.

[3090]

06Z models hold serve. Still have warm nose questions along and south of I-10. Also questions on if moisture can make it up to I-20 in accumulating quantity. Wherever ends up just north of the transition line could get over 6 inches of wet snow. Below the transition line will be an inch of mix. North of the heavy band will be snow showers which could amount to a few inches of high ratio powder where bands set up.

Along the I-10 corridor this will be an epic event.

[Ralph's Weather]

06Z models hold serve. Still have warm nose questions along and south of I-10. Also questions on if moisture can make it up to I-20 in accumulating quantity. Wherever ends up just north of the transition line could get over 6 inches of wet snow. Below the transition line will be an inch of mix. North of the heavy band will be snow showers which could amount to a few inches of high ratio powder where bands set up.

Along the I-10 corridor this will be an epic event.

I still think I10 is mostly sleet. Gonna have to get further away from the coast to be safe. 190 looks like a good centerline for the heavier snow. Even along I20 I feel comfortable that we have a shot at some very quickly accumulating showers though they will be spotty.

[Portastorm]

NWS Austin/San Antonio overnight issued a Winter Storm Watch for parts of its CWA. Austin area included. Up to 2” of a wintry mix expected. Game on!

[3090]

06Z models hold serve. Still have warm nose questions along and south of I-10. Also questions on if moisture can make it up to I-20 in accumulating quantity. Wherever ends up just north of the transition line could get over 6 inches of wet snow. Below the transition line will be an inch of mix. North of the heavy band will be snow showers which could amount to a few inches of high ratio powder where bands set up.

Along the I-10 corridor this will be an epic event.

I still think I10 is mostly sleet. Gonna have to get further away from the coast to be safe. 190 looks like a good centerline for the heavier snow. Even along I20 I feel comfortable that we have a shot at some very quickly accumulating showers though they will be spotty.

Your forecast for the I-10 corridor in Louisiana is certainly in contrast with all of the major guidance, NWS offices and many professional mets.

[HockeyTx82]

NWS Austin/San Antonio overnight issued a Winter Storm Watch for parts of its CWA. Austin area included. Up to 2” of a wintry mix expected. Game on!

Porta, may the odds be ever in your favor!

I'm pulling for you!!!!

[Ralph's Weather]

Along the I-10 corridor this will be an epic event.

I still think I10 is mostly sleet. Gonna have to get further away from the coast to be safe. 190 looks like a good centerline for the heavier snow. Even along I20 I feel comfortable that we have a shot at some very quickly accumulating showers though they will be spotty.

Your forecast for the I-10 corridor in Louisiana is certainly in contrast with all of the major guidance, NWS offices and many professional mets.

Models besides Euro all have the warm nose. It's a matter of a degree at around 850 whether I10 is a few inches of snow vs a sleet mess. Big potential is there for snow but it's cutting it close. All I'm saying is I would want to be away from the coast. Those skewTs show all snow is not a safe bet. I have experienced this many times in E TX over the years and you lose to the warm nose more often than you win as WAA is very often under modeled. I just urge caution in getting excited about borderline events. They can boom occasionally but they can bust really hard also. Basically y'all need the low to stay south to avoid being in WAA. If it stays south then I10 is in line for 6 inches.

[UTSARoadrunner4]

Bexar County has been included in the WSW. Predictions are showing <1” of Snow & Sleet accumulation and up to a tenth of an inch in ice accumulation.

I guess the moisture needed for more snow isn’t there for us this time. Looking forward to Spring at this point.

Have fun for me, ETX folks!!

[Ralph's Weather]

21 with a wind chill of 9. If nothing else this January has been able to be consistently cold.

[wxman57]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

[ThunderSleetDreams]

21 with a wind chill of 9. If nothing else this January has been able to be consistently cold.

Best January in some time! This is what winter is supposed to be like.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

NWS upgraded my WSW totals. Went from up to 3 inches of wintry mix to 5 inches and they removed the words “llight to moderate” to “heavy precipitation”

I am breaking out the 3500 and thunder band chasing this one.

[sphelps8681]

Along the I-10 corridor this will be an epic event.

I still think I10 is mostly sleet. Gonna have to get further away from the coast to be safe. 190 looks like a good centerline for the heavier snow. Even along I20 I feel comfortable that we have a shot at some very quickly accumulating showers though they will be spotty.

Your forecast for the I-10 corridor in Louisiana is certainly in contrast with all of the major guidance, NWS offices and many professional mets.

I thought the same. 110 coming from the East around Houston is closer to the coast. As you get to Beaumont I10 does go up North farther from the coast and extends through Louisiana. Watching a Nws live briefing now and forcast for me N of Beaumont and Louisiana is 4-6 inches or more.

[Brazoria_cnty99]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

What is the warm nose looking like for Angleton?

[Ralph's Weather]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

I noticed that I'm this mornings models. Still find that hard to trust but hopefully it is real for this down south. No one wants sleet and ice if they can have snow. A pure Gulf low event with no warm nose doesn't make sense, if you have good moisture then that comes from WAA unless counteract it with CAA source. This Arctic high doesn't seem strong enough to beat WAA. I may be wrong though.

[wxman57]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

What is the warm nose looking like for Angleton?

It's there at the start around 6pm tomorrow but gone after sunrise Tuesday. In all my 45 years in Houston, I've never seen such good support for heavy snow. That includes the 2004 Christmas miracle snow.

[Tireman4]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

Well never in my lifetime ( or 20 years here and knowing you) would I have thought I would hear this. Oh my gracious

[Brazoria_cnty99]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

What is the warm nose looking like for Angleton?

It's there at the start around 6pm tomorrow but gone after sunrise Tuesday. In all my 45 years in Houston, I've never seen such good support for heavy snow. That includes the 2004 Christmas miracle snow.

So we should snow down here after sunrise?

[ArcticOutbreak1989]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

Is there any chance this ends up being similar to the March Superstorm of ‘93 for some in the Deep South and Gulf Coast? It reminds me so much of what I remember from back then, the only thing I see missing is the severe weather potential in Florida.

[wxman57]

GFS, EC, and NBM are trending colder for Houston with no warm nose aloft - heavier snow Tuesday. Workers have abandoned my two walls and are fleeing for their lives!

Is there any chance this ends up being similar to the March Superstorm of ‘93 for some in the Deep South and Gulf Coast? It reminds me so much of what I remember from back then, the only thing I see missing is the severe weather potential in Florida.

No. I was working that storm in '93. Nothing like it.