Texas Winter 2014-2015
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Little, itty, bitty flakes falling in Kaufman right now. When is the next chance suppose to start?
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Re:
Wntrwthrguy wrote:Is the RGEM model giving the Austin area any accumulation tomorrow or just light non-accumulating snow?
It shows y'all being on the edge with around .5".
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
txtiff wrote:Little, itty, bitty flakes falling in Kaufman right now. When is the next chance suppose to start?
Looks like snow could again fall in North Texas starting tomorrow morning with chances all day.
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- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Porta just to reinterate what I said yesterday again, RGEM nailed yesterday's event.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Ralph's Weather wrote:txtiff wrote:Little, itty, bitty flakes falling in Kaufman right now. When is the next chance suppose to start?
Looks like snow could again fall in North Texas starting tomorrow morning with chances all day.
Sounds good to me!
With what we saw yesterday, I won't mind if things don't go as planned (again).
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:Porta just to reinterate what I said yesterday again, RGEM nailed yesterday's event.
I'd gladly take 0.5" of snow tomorrow. Beggars can't be choosers.
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
But I'm expecting nothing that way I won't be disappointed.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:SouthernMet wrote:Porta just to reinterate what I said yesterday again, RGEM nailed yesterday's event.
I'd gladly take 0.5" of snow tomorrow. Beggars can't be choosers.![]()
But I'm expecting nothing that way I won't be disappointed.
That's what I'm doing for my chances of more wintry precip, expecting nothing.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.
- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
CMC gives north texas significant accumulations tomorrow.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:SouthernMet wrote:Porta just to reinterate what I said yesterday again, RGEM nailed yesterday's event.
I'd gladly take 0.5" of snow tomorrow. Beggars can't be choosers.![]()
But I'm expecting nothing that way I won't be disappointed.
Who knows Porta? Maybe this can be our snow day! I'm not expecting anything either but you figure we have to get a surprise one of these days!
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Any post should not be taken as a forecast. I am just an amateur living the dream.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
downsouthman1 wrote:Portastorm wrote:SouthernMet wrote:Porta just to reinterate what I said yesterday again, RGEM nailed yesterday's event.
I'd gladly take 0.5" of snow tomorrow. Beggars can't be choosers.![]()
But I'm expecting nothing that way I won't be disappointed.
That's what I'm doing for my chances of more wintry precip, expecting nothing.
Or we could get 0.0005" of freezing drizzle. Why buck the trend? The trend is our friend -- NOT.
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
![Wink :wink:](./images/smilies/icon_wink.gif)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:CMC gives north texas significant accumulations tomorrow.
![Surprised :eek:](./images/smilies/icon_eek.gif)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
TarrantWx wrote:SouthernMet wrote:CMC gives north texas significant accumulations tomorrow.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... cus_16.png
Looks like models are trying to focus in on that heavy band setting up between Abilene and Fort Worth. Someone out there could get lucky tomorrow.
Although, 1-3 inches for a large portion of North Texas is nothing to sneeze it.
Edit: Didn't I say just yesterday I wasn't going to do this again?
![Mad :x](./images/smilies/icon_mad.gif)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
TarrantWx wrote:SouthernMet wrote:CMC gives north texas significant accumulations tomorrow.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... cus_16.png
Nooooo I have to go back to work tomorrow!
![Rolling Eyes :roll:](./images/smilies/icon_rolleyes.gif)
![Rolling Eyes :roll:](./images/smilies/icon_rolleyes.gif)
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Portastorm wrote:
I'd gladly take 0.5" of snow tomorrow. Beggars can't be choosers.![]()
But I'm expecting nothing that way I won't be disappointed.
12Z GFS has air over Austin sub-freezing through Friday morning, but with very little moisture. It has increasing moisture by 21Z (3pm) but the warm nose re-develops as the precip starts. Surface temps in the mid 30s with a shallow sub-freezing layer around 4000-6000 ft up. Not a profile for snow. The only chance might be right as the precip starts, but more than likely the warming aloft will occur about the same time.
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- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Iorange don't worry every model has 850mb temps favorable for snow and sfc temps won't be an issue as you guys won't hit the freezing mark all day.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Brent wrote:TarrantWx wrote:SouthernMet wrote:CMC gives north texas significant accumulations tomorrow.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... cus_16.png
Nooooo I have to go back to work tomorrow!![]()
I won't to believe this map, I really do, but snow maps have not been kind to us.
![cry :crying:](./images/smilies/s.gif)
![Rolling Eyes :roll:](./images/smilies/icon_rolleyes.gif)
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:Iorange don't worry every model has 850mb temps favorable for snow and sfc temps won't be an issue as you guys won't hit the freezing mark all day.
Yeah, wxman's nose doesn't look like it's going to be a factor tomorrow. Just wonder how much precip will break out. I hope everyone sees at least a few flakes falling. It's disappointing when people on this board get left out.
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