Texas Winter 2014-2015

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#7241 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:06 pm

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This is my rain gauge from between the Wednesday event and the Friday event, for what it's worth. Once this melts I won't be able to tell how much of the liquid was snow and how much was just expansion of existing liquid when it froze into a solid, though I'm sure there's an equation for that involving the precise volume of my rain gauge that I could use to figure it out.

Reposting the full week's total since it's a new page.

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#7242 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:07 pm

Anyone notice Sunday's High drop 10 degrees, It was 54 I think yesterday or this morning.
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Re:

#7243 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:11 pm

TheProfessor wrote:Anyone notice Sunday's High drop 10 degrees, It was 54 I think yesterday or this morning.


Yup. Temperatures are really going to struggle until the snow cover melts away. I wonder how warm we will manage to get on Tuesday before the thunderstorms. I also wonder if latent soil moisture from all this snow will help us get some more instability into the air for that. I'm hungry for a good thunderstorm. :grrr:
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#7244 Postby Tcu101 » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:50 pm

TheProfessor wrote:Anyone notice Sunday's High drop 10 degrees, It was 54 I think yesterday or this morning.


Yes and trending colder for Wednesday too
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#7245 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:31 pm

Wednesday will likely keep trending colder I haven't looked today but last night several models had 20s for daytime highs at DFW (high likely early depending on fropa) and barely hitting freezing on Thursday too...

Actually just checking weatherbug we fall near freezing around daybreak Wednesday with high pops all day and temps falling into the upper 20s during that
Last edited by Brent on Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#7246 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:42 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Ice buildup around Denison is starting to get me a bit concerned. Still holding at 29 and the rain has gotten a little heavier in the last hour or two.

My wife and I went down the road for dinner - roads are slushy for the most part now. But the ice build up is between 1/4 inch and 1/2 inch thick now and there is a significant glaze building on trees and powerlines around our part of town.

The ice buildup is enough that we lost our satellite reception a short while ago, the dish is caked with ice. If this keeps up for a few more hours, I'm afraid power disruption isn't too far away.

Same here. We have been having freezing rain and freezing drizzle on and off all day. It's been persistent since dark.
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#7247 Postby Tcu101 » Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:49 pm

It's crazy how a deep snow pack can create it's own cold climate. Holding temps down more than the models predict
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Re:

#7248 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:12 pm

Brent wrote:Wednesday will likely keep trending colder I haven't looked today but last night several models had 20s for daytime highs at DFW (high likely early depending on fropa) and barely hitting freezing on Thursday too...

Actually just checking weatherbug we fall near freezing around daybreak Wednesday with high pops all day and temps falling into the upper 20s during that


I imagine those models showing 20s for highs are also showing a sleet/snow pack coinciding with those temps. My local Weatherbug says it's still 31 but the resumption of the sound of dripping water implies I've gotten above freezing now in south Garland.
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#7249 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:22 pm

All the major models are showing a high impact winter storm. Especially the Euro/ENS/control. GFS is on and off with qpf as usual but it's there and the Canadian gives it all, sleet snow and everything in between. I think looking at the consensus FW and surrounding WFO's will probably consider putting up winter storm watches come Monday.
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Re: Re:

#7250 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:33 pm

somethingfunny wrote:
Brent wrote:Wednesday will likely keep trending colder I haven't looked today but last night several models had 20s for daytime highs at DFW (high likely early depending on fropa) and barely hitting freezing on Thursday too...

Actually just checking weatherbug we fall near freezing around daybreak Wednesday with high pops all day and temps falling into the upper 20s during that


I imagine those models showing 20s for highs are also showing a sleet/snow pack coinciding with those temps. My local Weatherbug says it's still 31 but the resumption of the sound of dripping water implies I've gotten above freezing now in south Garland.


Yeah if theres no sleet/snow pack it won't be as cold but the model agreement on there being a sleet/snow pack is pretty insane for 4 days out...

just like the GGEM last night showing that 2 for Austin, that also happened to be where it had the most accumulation
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Re:

#7251 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:35 pm

Tcu101 wrote:It's crazy how a deep snow pack can create it's own cold climate. Holding temps down more than the models predict


Snow is white and reflects sunshine... just like how asphalt absorbs it...

It also radiates well... I had a clear night last January in Alabama with 4 inches of snow on the ground and I hit zero degrees... my coldest temperature I ever personally witnessed in 20 years...
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Re:

#7252 Postby Portastorm » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:36 pm

gpsnowman wrote:Crap, Porta, I feel awful for you and other Austinites. Before last week, the DFW area had barely sniffed winter. I have an idea. If next weeks weather pattern does not favor the Austin area and does Big D, drive on up!! Plenty of Metroplexers to accommodate the great Portastorm. First Shiner Bock is on me, the rest are on Ntwx and Orangeblood and Iorange55. :wink: Beer will flow like wine. :lol:


Haa! Sounds like great fun and I've never passed up a cold Shiner Bock. :wink:

Shoot ... it may be time to move the PWC north. You Metroplexers get it all: tornadoes, storms, drought, sleet, snow. It's ground zero for severe weather. I may to pitch the idea to Mrs. Portastorm.
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#7253 Postby Tcu101 » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:42 pm

Ntxw wrote:All the major models are showing a high impact winter storm. Especially the Euro/ENS/control. GFS is on and off with qpf as usual but it's there and the Canadian gives it all, sleet snow and everything in between. I think looking at the consensus FW and surrounding WFO's will probably consider putting up winter storm watches come Monday.


If this ends up happening somebody better file a missing person report because Lucy has been kidnapped :P
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#7254 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:45 pm

0z GFS, this would be the finale.

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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7255 Postby SouthernMet » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:48 pm

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Re: Re:

#7256 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:50 pm

Portastorm wrote:Haa! Sounds like great fun and I've never passed up a cold Shiner Bock. :wink:

Shoot ... it may be time to move the PWC north. You Metroplexers get it all: tornadoes, storms, drought, sleet, snow. It's ground zero for severe weather. I may to pitch the idea to Mrs. Portastorm.


I remember reading an article or a paper that centered the most extreme and varying weather (with all types to the to the umph level) in the country was centered around the Oklahoma/Kansas/Missouri/Arkansas border. This region gets it all blizzard warnings, EF5 tornadoes, 110+ heat, tropical remnant floods, monster hail. The closer you are to this region the more extreme your weather is. DFW gets what Austin gets but more and bigger. OKC gets what DFW gets but more and bigger. etc etc.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7257 Postby Brent » Sun Mar 01, 2015 12:02 am

SouthernMet wrote::uarrow: and then 12 hours later : http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... cus_19.png


A foot of snow in Austin Texas.

A half a foot in DFW

What a way to end winter lol

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#7258 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 01, 2015 12:31 am

Still at or under the freezing mark in northern Grayson County. Closing in on 50 consecutive hours at 32 degrees or below. Second lengthy stretch of sub-freezing weather here in the past seven days (nearly 100 hours of sub-freezing weather in the past week). Very impressive.
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#7259 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 01, 2015 12:32 am

@BigJoeBastardi: From the PLAINS EAST. Feb likely the coldest winter month since the late 1970s. Against the norms, colder than any month last winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015

#7260 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 01, 2015 12:37 am

My confidence is quickly increasing in a high impact winter storm wednesday into thursday for about 1/2 of texas. And i do think someone in central, or west central texas will get *buried*. (and no not austin at this time)

I will say this again, atm, it doesn't appear to be to be anything to write home about - regarding temps though.
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