Texas Winter 2014-2015

[Texas Snowman]

@BigJoeBastardi: RT @SarahFortnerWx: 10 total days in February with snow on the ground in LR... this was the most since 1936. #arwx

[gpsnowman]

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/fifthave/?cam=nyc5th_str
Kool cams for us people not in the N-Hem

Had to map where Airlie was exactly, not much going on near the equator I assume, although your winter starts in a few months. Nice camera footage. Do a lot of Australians crave winter weather? If you follow this board you must know we do.

[TheProfessor]

I know a girl in Australia who is mesmerized by Winter weather, she loves the pics I posted her, heck she lover that little ice storm on new years that collected on trees. She never gets snow or any winter weather where she's at so I guess the pictures are the next best thing.

[Ralph's Weather]

There is a good chance that Tuesday will be the only day over 50 for a 2 week period for a large portion of Texas. That is crazy any time of year and especially as we head into spring.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Thankfully it looks as if this weeks ice will miss me. The snow was really nice early this weekend but the ice that followed was not. I think I'm actually ready for spring.

[Texas Snowman]

From earlier today:

@NWSFortWorth: As of 6 AM, the temperature at DFW is still 32F. This is the 55th consecutive hour at or below freezing! #dfwwx #txwx

[Texas Snowman]

And this...

@NWSFortWorth: Climo statistics for Feb 2015: DFW was the 24th coldest,Waco was 18th coldest
#DFWWX #CTXWX

[Ntxw]

Posted last year, posting again this year for fun! Interesting cold factoids for DFW in March.

Coldest March on record: 1915 average 46.6F which is almost as cold as we just experienced in February just now!
Snowiest March: 1942 with 6.1 inches
Coldest March low: 10F in 1943
Lowest high temperature: 25F in 1948

[SouthernMet]

SREF : http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/sref ... WFALL_MAX_

[Wntrwthrguy]

SREF : http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/sref ... WFALL_MAX_

Looks like a good run for the Austin area.

[Texas Snowman]

Looks like a good run for a lot of folks in Texas...

[BigB0882]

What's up with Twisterdata lately? It is running the 00z now but the last set it ran was yesterday's 00z. I notice it missed a few other runs previously, as well.

[stormlover2013]

What is 00 gfs showing

[BigB0882]

What is 00 gfs showing

It is only out to 30 hours on Twisterdata so I don't know yet. I am very curious to see if it holds any ice for us in southeast Louisiana. I am sure you are curious about the same. I know this is our last shot so I am enjoying the model run excitement, even if nothing comes of it.

[Brent]

Looks like a good run for a lot of folks in Texas...

Got that right!

[somethingfunny]

Posted last year, posting again this year for fun! Interesting cold factoids for DFW in March.

Coldest March on record: 1915 average 46.6F which is almost as cold as we just experienced in February just now!
Snowiest March: 1942 with 6.1 inches
Coldest March low: 10F in 1943
Lowest high temperature: 25F in 1948

I'll never get over DFW missing the snowiest winter record by half a freaking inch in 2009-2010 because the big airport only recorded 2" on March 21 while I had 6" of snow here just 15 miles to the east. Could have set the snowiest March record with that one storm too.

[TXdaddy217]

Hey Everyone. New member here .... Thank You vbhoutex for all of your help. I am in Abilene and hope to give all the information I can about what is happening in this part of Texas. We enjoyed 4 inches of snow this past week (Sorry Portastorm, I know you are aching for some). Hopefully we can get some to everybody before the season ends.
Anyways, you all rock and I look forward to getting to know all of you and spread some winter cheer to all of Texas.

Howdy TxDaddy!

Thank you for the awesome welcome. Makes ya feel good to be a Texan.

[Texas Snowman]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
423 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-022100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE...
SHERMAN...DENISON...BONHAM...PARIS...GRAHAM...OLNEY...JACKSBORO...
DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...FLOWER MOUND...
THE COLONY...PLANO...GREENVILLE...COMMERCE...COOPER...
SULPHUR SPRINGS...BRECKENRIDGE...MINERAL WELLS...WEATHERFORD...
BRIAR...FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...ROCKWALL...TERRELL...
KAUFMAN...FORNEY...WILLS POINT...CANTON...GRAND SALINE...VAN...
EDGEWOOD...EMORY...POINT...EAST TAWAKONI...CISCO...EASTLAND...
RANGER...GORMAN...STEPHENVILLE...DUBLIN...GRANBURY...
OAK TRAIL SHORES...GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE...
ENNIS...MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...ATHENS...GUN BARREL CITY...
COMANCHE...DE LEON...GOLDTHWAITE...HAMILTON...HICO...CLIFTON...
MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...HILLSBORO...CORSICANA...TEAGUE...
FAIRFIELD...PALESTINE...LAMPASAS...COPPERAS COVE...GATESVILLE...
KILLEEN...TEMPLE...FORT HOOD...WACO...MARLIN...MEXIA...
GROESBECK...BUFFALO...CENTERVILLE...JEWETT...OAKWOOD...CAMERON...
ROCKDALE...HEARNE...FRANKLIN...CALVERT
423 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS MID WEEK...

A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.
WITH COLD AIR ALREADY IN PLACE...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
GENERATE MOSTLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION AS IT
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND THEN CHANGEOVER
TO SLEET ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION BY THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING
HOURS WEDNESDAY. SOME SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING...AND SOME FREEZING RAIN WILL BE A
POSSIBILITY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN-MOST COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE
REGION.

* LOCATION...ALL OF NORTH TEXAS

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF NORTH
TEXAS. WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS. THURSDAY
MORNING ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS.

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...MAINLY SLEET...WITH SOME SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN POSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATION AND IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS REMAIN UNCERTAIN AT
THIS TIME...BUT WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW FREEZING DURING
THE AFTERNOON IT WOULD TAKE LITTLE TO PRODUCE DETERIORATING ROAD
CONDITIONS AND SOME TRAVEL DELAYS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PLEASE MONITOR FUTURE FORECASTS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WINTER WEATHER ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$

[Texas Snowman]

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015/

...COLD AND WET TODAY...WARMER TUESDAY...MUCH COLDER AND WINTRY
PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE FOR SOME AREAS WEDNESDAY...WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...

TODAY...
AN UPPER LOW CAN BE SEEN ON THE MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
SPINNING OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES OVER NORTH TEXAS EAST OF THE UPPER LOW. AT THE
SURFACE...SHALLOW COLD AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S AND
40S TODAY. THETA-E SURFACES INDICATE THAT THE PERSISTENT
ISENTROPIC ASCENT WE HAVE EXPERIENCED OVER THE WEEKEND WILL
CONTINUE ONCE AGAIN TODAY...PROVIDING LOW CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL
LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE
ALONG AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR WHERE THE STRONGEST
LIFT RESIDES. A FEW STATIONS IN THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES ARE
HOVERING AROUND 32 THIS MORNING. BRIEF PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
MAY PRODUCE LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED SURFACES IN THESE
LOCATIONS...BUT ICY ROADS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

TUESDAY...
RETURN FLOW SHOULD MAKE ITS WAY TO THE SURFACE AS A WARM FRONT
LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...PROVIDING WARMER
CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB INTO THE 60S FOR MOST AREAS...WITH A FEW 70S POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTIES. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL AREAS WITH MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL TOTALS
EXPECTED.

A SPLIT FLOW REGIME WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CONUS AT THIS
TIME. AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL DEEPEN ACROSS
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...SENDING ANOTHER SOUTHWARD SURGE
OF COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE RED RIVER TUESDAY NIGHT BUT SHOULD REMAIN JUST NORTH
OF NORTH TEXAS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY
OVER THE NORTHEAST COUNTIES WHERE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL BE STRONGEST.

WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
THE FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON
WEDNESDAY...CROSSING THE RED RIVER IN THE MORNING AND CLEARING
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES IN THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LOW
TO OUR WEST WILL OPEN UP AND TRAVEL EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE SOUTHERN
STREAM...CROSSING NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT APPEARS AT THIS
TIME THAT ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE STRONGEST
AFTER THE COLD AIR IS ALREADY IN PLACE...GIVING US ANOTHER CHANCE
TO SEE SOME WINTER WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

WE CONTINUE TO RUN INTO THE ISSUE OF THE AMOUNT OF MODEL
DISCREPANCIES BEING HIGH ENOUGH TO CAST UNCERTAINTY ON THE
SPECIFICS OF PRECIP TYPE/TIMING AND ACCUMULATIONS. EXCEPTIONALLY
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AT THE SURFACE IS BEING ADVERTISED BY
THE VAST MAJORITY OF AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE. AT THIS TIME...IT
LOOKS LIKE RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE REGION DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...THEN ACROSS THE
REST OF THE AREA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PRECIPITATION WOULD LIKELY TRANSITION TO ALL SLEET AS TEMPERATURES
FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S /LATE AFTERNOON IN THE NORTH
AND EVENING IN THE SOUTH/. TEMPERATURE PROFILES STILL SHOW THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW MIXING WITH SLEET ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TWO-THIRDS OF THE REGION DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIODS
BUT CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY LOW ON EXACTLY WHERE AND WHEN. THOUGH
ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND SNOW ARE UNCERTAIN...WE DO HAVE ENOUGH
INFORMATION TO KNOW THAT SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE A POSSIBILITY FOR
MOST OF NORTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MORE DETAILS
WILL BE UNCOVERED AS WE MONITOR THE APPROACHING SYSTEM OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.

REST OF THE WEEK...
A CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL LINGER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING...THEN THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
EAST OF THE AREA LATER IN THE DAY. ANOTHER SOUTHERN STREAM LOW
WILL DEVELOP OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO ON THE HEELS OF OUR MIDWEEK
SYSTEM. LOW END CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES OVER THE WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST
ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS.

30

&&

[Portastorm]

3z SREF shows a potent and possibly dangerous winter storm for much of Texas later this week. If it comes close to verifying ... oh my!