Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

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gboudx
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7561 Postby gboudx » Thu Feb 18, 2010 4:58 pm

Snowman67 wrote:I don't know......maybe explain why they are forecasting all liquid when the preceding sentence they wrote just stated that both the GFS and ECMWF supported frozen precip. or perhaps state if they were favoring another model in lieu of the gfs or ecmwf. Without that additional information, it just looked a little strange to me.

Like I said, it's not whether it snows or doesn't, it was just written in a way that I found a little humorous. Sorry if that offends you.


Fair enough. Maybe send them an email to express your thoughts and provide some feedback. They're always looking for feedback on their website.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7562 Postby Nederlander » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:01 pm

18z is running... lets see what its got in store on this run..
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7563 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:05 pm

Looks like the G-IV will continue flying RECON...

000
NOUS42 KNHC 181800
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0100 PM EST THU 18 FEBRUARY 2010
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z FEBRUARY 2010
WSPOD NUMBER.....09-080

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. P99/ 46.0N 160.0E/ 20/1200Z
B. NOAA9 35WSW TRACK99
C. 20/0800Z
D. DROPS EVERY 20 MINUTES EAST OF 150E
E. 39,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 20/1800Z
F. TRACK: 36.5N 140.4E, 42.9N 149.1E, 46.1N 155.0E
45.6N 160.0E, 42.6N 157.0E, 41.1N 152.8E,
38.7N 154.7E, 37.7N 159.6E, 35.9N 153.6E,
37.9N 150.4E, AND 36.6N 139.4E

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE G-IV
TRACK 99 FOR 21/1200.
JWP
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7564 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:12 pm

Wooo 18z gfs.

Image

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by Ntxw on Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#7565 Postby txagwxman » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:12 pm

Porta---check out 18z!
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7566 Postby Snowman67 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:14 pm

Nederlander wrote:18z is running... lets see what its got in store on this run..


Portastorm will like the looks of it I think :D
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#7567 Postby wxman22 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:15 pm

18z GFS is onboard! FWIW
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#7568 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:15 pm

That's 2 runs today of a storm by the GFS with cold air hanging nearby\around.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7569 Postby Nederlander » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:17 pm

18z looking very good! even for us folks down here in se texas..
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7570 Postby Portastorm » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:19 pm

OK, I was just was revived by a co-worker after fainting, falling out of my chair and onto my office floor after seeing those 18z GFS panels. :lol:
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#7571 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:20 pm

Remember the wise words of Wxman 57. These models vary so much from each frame that is hard to pin it down. LOL. ( At least something like that...LOL)
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Re:

#7572 Postby Nederlander » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:35 pm

Tireman4 wrote:Remember the wise words of Wxman 57. These models vary so much from each frame that is hard to pin it down. LOL. ( At least something like that...LOL)


yep still 120 hrs or so out... need to start seeing some consistency now with the 0z and 06z runs
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7573 Postby Snowman67 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:37 pm

Portastorm wrote:OK, I was just was revived by a co-worker after fainting, falling out of my chair and onto my office floor after seeing those 18z GFS panels. :lol:


Slow deep breaths :eek: remember breath into the paper bag.

I got so excited for Portastorm after seeing the 18 gfs, I forgot the "e"
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#7574 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:43 pm

Porta...you may get your wish. After the Cockroach Ridge of Death plagued you for so long, you need a pick me up. :)
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#7575 Postby shibumi » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:46 pm

Check out the snowfall map from Twisterdata...

Image
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7576 Postby Tejas89 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:46 pm

Looks similar to before last week's storm, right? Except *colder*.. hmmm....
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#7577 Postby wxman22 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:47 pm

Shows about half an inch to 1 inch of snow over Southeast Texas...
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Re:

#7578 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 5:48 pm

shibumi wrote:Check out the snowfall map from Twisterdata...

Image



Really close to me. Gosh darned close to me.....
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7579 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Feb 18, 2010 6:00 pm

Here is a look at the last four runs of the GFS valid next Tuesday afternoon:

00z run = http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/ ... n_138l.gif
06z run = http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/ ... n_132l.gif
12z run = http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/ ... n_126l.gif
18z run = http://i43.photobucket.com/albums/e371/ ... n_120l.gif

Still no real consistency just yet...but hopefully that will change soon. All this back and forth is starting to give me a headache! lol
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

#7580 Postby cwp419 » Thu Feb 18, 2010 6:39 pm

Does anyone know if any new recon data went into the 18z run?
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