Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[Weatherdude20]

Ok, 12Z all in. Meteogram still has 0.4" liquid equivalent for DFW area Tuesday, up from less than 0.1" at 06Z and down from the 0.6" at 00Z. We saw that with the last event, lots of variance from run to run as far as amounts.

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/dfwgfs12zfeb19.gif

As for the sounding forecast, the GFS does forecast a mostly snow event again. Maybe a trace of rain at the start, but that's it. With 0.4" liquid, that could mean 2-4" snow. However, I suspect that we may see future runs bump the precip up a bit. Wouldn't be surprised if we saw a 4-8" event across Next Tuesday. Even more would be possible, but that would mean crawling way out on a limb.

12Z GFS Sounding Forecast (for those who can read them):
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/readyout/3385 ... f_anim.gif

Have I mentioned that I'm really hating this winter lately?

With that from you, I'm officially on board. Same forecast 3-6" for DFW locally 6+ (the 6+ may actually be I-20 south this time, but as with last storm GFS can vary on amounts *going from an inch to 6+ for the metroplex with that one* but ended up along I-20 and just north). That record better be on it's heels right now...

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

Hahaha WOW 2-4", was my original estimate, then 3-6"! Now probably 4-8"+, our forecasts are getting closer.

The ECMWF will be an important run. Cross Your Fingers!

[HockeyTx82]

Hey all, I have been reading just not signing in or posting since last Thursday. Anyhow, I am excited for next week, I hope we smash that record. People around the office think I am nuts that we might get snow next week........


I will be sure and stay on top of it this weekend.

[wxman57]

12z snow accumulation graphics are in here:

http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.htm

Here's one for NE TX. Note 3-4" DFW area and up to 8-10" just NE of Brownwood. Hey! Even 1-2" for portastorm!

[Ntxw]

I expect the heavy precip shield to widen as we get closer, very close for comfort. And OMG wxman! He's still getting it together man, don't tease him like that! Therapy isn't cheap

[txagwxman]

No go on the GEM model...see what the ECMWF does shortly.

[wxman22]

Lol if we could just sag that snow line just a little more southward maybe we could pick up a quick inch in the Houston area also

[edawg95]

Quick question for y'all...what days are we talking about next week for Snowmaggedon 2?

[Ntxw]

No go on the GEM model...see what the ECMWF does shortly.

GEM swings that energy north and dissipates it. That doesn't look likely with the PV expecting to hold.

Quick question for y'all...what days are we talking about next week for Snowmaggedon 2?

IF there is a significant snow event, it would be Monday night - Weds.

[WacoWx]

I think we should call the potential storm Snowpocalypse. Any takers?

[srainhoutx]

No go on the GEM model...see what the ECMWF does shortly.

Looks like the shortwave wants to take a CA vacation. It never really moves E.

[Tireman4]

Have I mentioned that I'm really hating this winter lately?



You Wxman57...no way...LOL...Well I am sure you will have plenty of heat and sunshine for your rides..oh by the way..OT...Lance Armstrong will win the Tour De France....back to the channel... I agree...still waffling too much to nail down anything...

[Ntxw]

I think we should call the potential storm Snowpocalypse. Any takers?

I've heard DC-Baltimore area use that. Probably taken.

[southerngale]

:uarrow: nawww, like it but need to shift it a little east where the 10-12" area is smack over dfw heheeh

DFW Snowmageddon 2?????

you guys have had your fair share in DFW.. time to share the wealth with the south...

Yeah!

I'd love to see them get another mountain of snow... we just want in on the action also. And I'm not greedy... a few inches will do.

[txagwxman]

ECMWF closer to the GFS now.

[Tireman4]

ECMWF closer to the GFS now.

Is this good or bad?

[Nederlander]

I think we should call the potential storm Snowpocalypse. Any takers?

I think for my area, I will call it 33DegreeRainPart67

[southerngale]

Guys, just a reminder as I've seen a lot of maps posted with the original link... try Photobucket, TinyPic, Imageshack, etc. when posting weather maps and images. If you post an image (with the original link), then that image will change eventually and we will have a disparity between text and image. Also, it's nice to be able to read a post a few hours or even days later, and be able to see the image that's being discussed.

[Ntxw]

Hard to tell with large gaps in missing data free, but ECMWF is about the same as the GFS.

[southerngale]

I think we should call the potential storm Snowpocalypse. Any takers?

I think for my area, I will call it 33DegreeRainPart67

LOL. Sad, but likely true.

[wxman57]

ECMWF closer to the GFS now.

Is this good or bad?

Good if you want snow, bad if you're tired of cold like me. Yes, the 12Z Euro is a lot closer to the 12Z GFS, showing another snow event for Texas next week. Little confidence in the details of amounts and location at this time, though.