Texas Winter 2024-2025

Winter Weather Discussion

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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7901 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 08, 2025 12:10 pm

wxman22 wrote:The front just moved through here, winds gusting out of the north a up to 40 mph.

I'm at work all day eagerly waiting for the parking lot flags to switch directions.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7902 Postby lukem » Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:30 pm

Just hit Albany, TX.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7903 Postby wxman22 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:38 pm

Even on the day that these shallow fronts move through the Global models don't handle the air well. According to the GFS it should be 62 right now, we're currently already at 52 degrees.The GFS doesn't have us get down to the low 50's until 6 pm this evening... BTW the NAM has been doing a WONDERFUL job up here this week with temperatures.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7904 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 1:45 pm

A pleasant, but somewhat cool bike ride this morning. Temp is up to 81 at present. Can't beat this for February weather! I'm still not seeing any significant cold next week or the week after for Texas. D-FW area could get into the mid to upper 20s one night, while we're in the 40s for lows. Snow confined to northern OK. Nothing abnormal about the pattern, just as one would expect in February. My walls will hold just fine. I gave my pilot the rest of the winter off.

MAWA!
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7905 Postby TomballEd » Sat Feb 08, 2025 2:16 pm

Snow would be cool, but 80s then 60s/70s the next 5 days are fine by me.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7906 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 08, 2025 2:19 pm

Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7907 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 08, 2025 2:34 pm

Ntxw wrote:Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.

Going to be close. I don't like record highs.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7908 Postby snownado » Sat Feb 08, 2025 3:11 pm

Ntxw wrote:Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.


And the record's been broken at DFW

86*F as of the 2pm observation...
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7909 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 3:16 pm

You know this weather is hot garbage as it hit 87 here, im officially sentencing spring weather to life in prison without the possibility of parole lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7910 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 08, 2025 3:33 pm

snownado wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.


And the record's been broken at DFW

86*F as of the 2pm observation...


Was between hour reading of 88F, if it stands right before the wind shift. Front has cleared the airport.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7911 Postby snownado » Sat Feb 08, 2025 4:01 pm

Ntxw wrote:
snownado wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.


And the record's been broken at DFW

86*F as of the 2pm observation...


Was between hour reading of 88F, if it stands right before the wind shift. Front has cleared the airport.


Per Delkus, this is also the warmest day since Oct. 30th (high was 87*F).
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7912 Postby snownado » Sat Feb 08, 2025 5:11 pm

Ntxw wrote:
snownado wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Front is through I-35W in Tarrant and Denton counties. DFW is 84F and record for the date is 85F.


And the record's been broken at DFW

86*F as of the 2pm observation...


Was between hour reading of 88F, if it stands right before the wind shift. Front has cleared the airport.


FWD officially called 88*F for the high.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7913 Postby Gotwood » Sat Feb 08, 2025 6:12 pm

As I expected and usually happens January was peak winter this year. Spring thread will be started early this year.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7914 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 6:16 pm

Im not completely sold on spring making a permanent visit just yet, models have been very consistent in bringing the stratospheric polar vortex closer to NA around the 18-19th of the month, obviously climatology argues we warm up, but that being said, if the vortex especially since its the stratospheric one, ends up on the NA side of the globe, id argue we definitely would be in for a delayed spring
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7915 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Feb 08, 2025 6:43 pm

Our best shot of winter precipitation will come Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon. Right now temps look to be 5-7 degrees to warm even with the blended models for Wednesday-Thursday when we will be at the coldest readings. Let's see how tomorrow goes, current forecast high is 52, so let's see if we make it out of the 40s.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7916 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Feb 08, 2025 9:01 pm

My Kansas family will get another 8-10 inches this week.

They have had a great winter.
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7917 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 10:44 pm

00z ICON looks more like the CMC, highs in the low- mid 40’s for even se texas, cold air overtakes the entire state, brief return flow before another surge of arctic air comes dowm
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7918 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Feb 08, 2025 11:33 pm

GFS trending colder into the medium range , arctic air spilling all the way down into mexico, nothing crazy, but mid 40’s for highs and upper 20’s for lows, arctic air always wins no matter the models trying to hold it back
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7919 Postby Brent » Sun Feb 09, 2025 3:31 am

We never did warmup here.... Models were a total disaster with cold air as usual

Nothing would surprise me next week
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025

#7920 Postby wxman22 » Sun Feb 09, 2025 10:34 am

Brent wrote:We never did warmup here.... Models were a total disaster with cold air as usual

Nothing would surprise me next week


I agree, even the NAM is busting with temps today, it had us only getting down to 36 degrees last night. We made it down to 31 degrees this morning. And its only 35 right now. The WRF ARW was the closest with temps. The WRF's tend to do a good job with shallow airmasses like this one.
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