Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
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The difference however, as did the 18z GFS, is now a S\W to N\E orient in in the 500mb energy and precip charts vs west to east (Probably not a good thing if you're far S\E Texas wanting snow) which was the case how the GFS had it when we first looked at this storm. That could play some havoc on pinpointing exactly where the heaviest stuff will fall.
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:32 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:new nam looks a lot better for college station doesnt it?
Definitely
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msstateguy83
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:yay! how much is it saying?
I'd say 3-4 inches of snow should it verify. Shows about a half inch of QPF. Assuming a 7.5-to-1 ratio ... that would be what I would think would fall.
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Trends folks... all season the 'adjustments' have been S IMHO. NAM is also abit cooler and lingering with QPF. Also notice the Upper Flow due S in the Plains. A coastal trough/low? We shall see. 
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Portastorm wrote:Storm Tracker SA-CS wrote:yay! how much is it saying?
I'd say 3-4 inches of snow should it verify. Shows about a half inch of QPF. Assuming a 7.5-to-1 ratio ... that would be what I would think would fall.
isnt it still trending further south though in each run? so it could go up some?
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Yes, it's still trending south.
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southerngale
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Re:
Ntxw wrote:The difference however, as did the 18z GFS, is now a S\W to N\E orient in in the 500mb energy and precip charts vs west to east (Probably not a good thing if you're far S\E Texas wanting snow) which was the case how the GFS had it when we first looked at this storm. That could play some havoc on pinpointing exactly where the heaviest stuff will fall.
Of course.
This is maddening. I give up. It's shifting south and still giving me the shaft. Figures.
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my Cowboys my Rockets my Astros
my Cowboys my Rockets my Astros No don't get me wrong, the run looks very good if you want snow, much better than the previous. I just noted how the energy looks. The entire complex is actually further south, if a coastal low forms all bets are off
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Porta.... I think it's Austin's turn, finally!!! I am so excited. The local weathermen here are still saying light accumulation, but if that model shifts just a tad bit further south, we are talking INCHES!!!!
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Portastorm
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Rockets420 wrote:Porta.... I think it's Austin's turn, finally!!! I am so excited. The local weathermen here are still saying light accumulation, but if that model shifts just a tad bit further south, we are talking INCHES!!!!
Easy fella ... e-a-s-y.
Yes it looks good right now but slight shifts in model guidance and suddenly, what was 1-2 inches becomes a "trace." No kidding ... I'm not going to feel confident until tomorrow night and we see the highest QPF swath across our area. As Fort Worth said in their afternoon forecast discussion today, we probably won't get a real good idea about what will happen until 6-12 hours prior to the event beginning.
OT, how about our boys winning the hockey game tonight?! That was exciting!!
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Re: Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)
Portastorm wrote:Rockets420 wrote:Porta.... I think it's Austin's turn, finally!!! I am so excited. The local weathermen here are still saying light accumulation, but if that model shifts just a tad bit further south, we are talking INCHES!!!!
Easy fella ... e-a-s-y.
Yes it looks good right now but slight shifts in model guidance and suddenly, what was 1-2 inches becomes a "trace." No kidding ... I'm not going to feel confident until tomorrow night and we see the highest QPF swath across our area. As Fort Worth said in their afternoon forecast discussion today, we probably won't get a real good idea about what will happen until 6-12 hours prior to the event beginning.
OT, how about our boys winning the hockey game tonight?! That was exciting!!
Help push that snow a little further south to San Antonio for my friend as well! Keep the snow train moving.
The game was intense. First time I screamed for a hockey game.
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