Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Quixotic]

The 12-13 ssw dumped into Europe if I remember correctly.

[Cerlin]

Hoping the outbreak comes either before next weekend or after because I'm gonna be out of town

[srainhoutx]

The 12-13 ssw dumped into Europe if I remember correctly.

It did, but the 1979 and 1997 SSW Event didn't and this event appears much stronger than 12-13 and somewhat similar to the 79/97 event in strength and February timing. Still need to see indication of a full wind reversal, but some "hints" have been observed today that suggest that wind reversal may have begun. We will know in about 3 days or so.

[CaptinCrunch]

It's 32 here at the house, and I smell a major bust with the over night forecast, with temps in the 20s anything that falls will be sleet, and if the precipitation is heavier than models have shown it can cool the column enough higher up that a brief change over to snow may be possible. Don't think temps for Sunday will make it out of the upper 30s.

[srainhoutx]

Winter Weather Advisories about to be hoisted for Kerr, Gillespie, Llano, and Burnet Counties by EWX until 6 PM tomorrow

Edit to add Blanco County to WWA. A special Weather Statement is coming for higher elevations in Williamson, Travis, Kendall, Bandera, Edwards, and Val Verde Counties for. Amounts in the Special Weather Statement expected to very light with no impact expected in Metro Austin...at this time.

[Ntxw]

The 12-13 ssw dumped into Europe if I remember correctly.

You may be thinking of 2011-2012. EPO was very positive that winter and the Pacific overwhelmed any SSW impacts. Easier path was Europe.

The late winter 2013 SSW had snow in the SE US in March and some unusual cold. It also was when the NE Pac warm blob got going.

As usual the Pacific tropics dictates if the SSW works or not for NA. 1985 and 2010 (along with analogs srain mentioned) had better Pac

[Haris]

18z nam continues to show ice in the atx metro. I am curious who wins

[Brent]

Hoping the outbreak comes either before next weekend or after because I'm gonna be out of town

Yep same here I'll be in NYC next weekend watch Dallas get buried in snow and NYC have record highs

[Haris]

Hoping the outbreak comes either before next weekend or after because I'm gonna be out of town

Yep same here I'll be in NYC next weekend watch Dallas get buried in snow and NYC have record highs

Ill be in NYC too at the same time! WOW! We better get snow in NY. And if TX sees it, and NY does not, ill be soooo MAAAD LOL

[gboudx]

Just got txt alert of WWA for DFW.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
302 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...


TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-134-146-156>159-110515-
/O.EXA.KFWD.WW.Y.0005.180211T0600Z-180211T1800Z/
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Ellis-Navarro-Lampasas-Coryell-
Bell-McLennan-
Including the cities of Bowie, Nocona, Gainesville, Sherman,
Denison, Bonham, Paris, Graham, Olney, Jacksboro, Decatur,
Bridgeport, Carrollton, Denton, Lewisville, Flower Mound, Plano,
McKinney, Allen, Frisco, Greenville, Commerce, Cooper,
Sulphur Springs, Breckenridge, Mineral Wells, Weatherford, Briar,
Fort Worth, Arlington, Dallas, Rockwall, Heath, Terrell, Kaufman,
Forney, Canton, Grand Saline, Wills Point, Van, Edgewood, Emory,
East Tawakoni, Point, Waxahachie, Ennis, Midlothian, Corsicana,
Lampasas, Copperas Cove, Gatesville, Killeen, Temple, Fort Hood,
and Waco
302 PM CST Sat Feb 10 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON CST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected overnight. Total ice accumulations
of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch are expected.

* WHERE...Areas along and north of a line from Athens to Temple.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in very slippery
conditions on sidewalks, roads and bridges. Freezing rain may
transition to sleet before ending around midday Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of freezing rain
will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads.
Slow down and use caution while driving. The latest road
conditions for Texas can be found at drivetexas.org.

[Brent]

Hoping the outbreak comes either before next weekend or after because I'm gonna be out of town

Yep same here I'll be in NYC next weekend watch Dallas get buried in snow and NYC have record highs

Ill be in NYC too at the same time! WOW! We better get snow in NY. And if TX sees it, and NY does not, ill be soooo MAAAD LOL

Haha that's awesome i think its a long shot but my luck with snow has been awful

Lets see if this winter wx advisory goes better than the last several

[Ralph's Weather]

WWA for western NE TX down to Smith County.

[Texas Snow]

[Yukon Cornelius]

Starting to clear off here from the west. It’s going to be a cold cold night.

[bubba hotep]

Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.

[Brent]

Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.

Curse of the winter wx advisory lol

[Snowman67]

Winds shifting to the North on the north side of Tomball

[bubba hotep]

The 12-13 ssw dumped into Europe if I remember correctly.

You may be thinking of 2011-2012. EPO was very positive that winter and the Pacific overwhelmed any SSW impacts. Easier path was Europe.

The late winter 2013 SSW had snow in the SE US in March and some unusual cold. It also was when the NE Pac warm blob got going.

As usual the Pacific tropics dictates if the SSW works or not for NA. 1985 and 2010 (along with analogs srain mentioned) had better Pac

I think Q is right, the '13 event was in January and most of the US ended up above avg temp wise for January and February. I don't know if the cooler March across portions of the US can be tied back to the January event or not.

[SGJ]

Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.

Curse of the winter wx advisory lol

It is why when I read posts about next weekend I chuckle...
I have never lived anywhere like this, where winter weather events literally disappear / dissipate right at the moment they are supposed to happen.
Crazy.
If we could get just one solid winter weather event here in DFW, it all sure would be easier to take!!!

[bubba hotep]

15z SREF came in even drier again, about 0.05" at DFW.

18z RGEM



3K NAM



12K NAM



GFS