Texas Winter 2013-2014

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SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9201 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:20 pm

rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode
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#9202 Postby TheProfessor » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:21 pm

:uarrow: I hope so
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9203 Postby iorange55 » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:22 pm

SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9204 Postby TrekkerCC » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:23 pm

The band the RAP picked up might be forming out west. If you look at the Dyess Air Force Base NWS Radar (near Abilene), there is another line of sleet or frozen precipitation showing up west of Decatur. If it holds together and lift continues to increase, this event might not be over quite so soon.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9205 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:24 pm

iorange55 wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.


according to rap, precip is just about to fill in out west any minute now
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9206 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:25 pm

TrekkerCC wrote:The band the RAP picked up might be forming out west. If you look at the Dyess Air Force Base NWS Radar (near Abilene), there is another line of sleet or frozen precipitation showing up west of Decatur. If it holds together and lift continues to increase, this event might not be over quite so soon.


exactly. it might not look too menacing atm but these are developing thunderstorms..
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#9207 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:26 pm

Talk about March Madness.

At this time yesterday, it was 77 degrees in Denison. Today, at 2:20 p.m. in the afternoon on March 2, the temp is 22 degrees. That's a 55 degree difference in 24 hours. Mind boggling!

In Oklahoma City, it is 13 degrees. In Amarillo, it is 8 degrees.

Wow, just wow. Has got to be one of the "Top 10" Arctic fronts of all-time in North Texas during the month of March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9208 Postby Ntxw » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:27 pm

iorange55 wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.


Why on earth would they say that when the low and best lift is still out in New Mexico?
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9209 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:28 pm

don't believe me, just look at the development in palo pinto county, that's just the beginning
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9210 Postby iorange55 » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:28 pm

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.


Why on earth would they say that when the low and best lift is still out in New Mexico?


I have no idea. I was shocked when she said it. It was Colleen Coyle.

She said, "This band out by Decatur will probably be the last of it."
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#9211 Postby Ralph's Weather » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:29 pm

This storm is baffling. A given location could see 65 degrees, then a 40 degree temp drop followed by rain and freezing rain, then thundersleet, then snow from clouds a couple thousand feet up then 10 degrees by morning all in a day's time.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9212 Postby SouthernMet » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:29 pm

Ntxw wrote:
iorange55 wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.


Why on earth would they say that when the low and best lift is still out in New Mexico?


thank you. & nws also says this in the fd.. Don't know why people are panicking and saying "this is it??"
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9213 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:32 pm

iorange55 wrote:
SouthernMet wrote:rap says this thing is about to turn really ugly. convective activity about to explode


We'll see. The local mets are going to look really silly if that turns out to be true. Like I said, WFAA just came on television and basically said the event was ending after the band by Decatur.


I realize that this has been a tricky forecast but I think the perception by the public (from what I'm seeing on FB and social media) is that the local mets already look a bit silly.

Some hugged the big models too much and said this would be a light, low impact kind of event. Some considered the others models that were painting a more serious picture to be outliers. They underestimated the severity of the cold air and amount of precip and have been playing catch-up today.

If it doesn't get any worse, it's already pretty bad in some parts of North Texas. I'd say we're 1/3 of the way here in Grayson County to the severity of the early December sleet storm that brought 2-4 inches of sleet to Sherman/Denison.

If convection does explode again, then wow, just wow. Historic kind of stuff IMO, at least for March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9214 Postby iorange55 » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:33 pm

Just watched it back to make sure I didn't hear it wrong, but that's what she said.

Hopefully there weren't that many people listening to her.
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#9215 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:52 pm

79 in Hondo, station ERV maybe 25 miles north is reporting 39. Wow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9216 Postby bighaben » Sun Mar 02, 2014 3:56 pm

Just drove home from The Woodlands to Huntsville. 72 and rainy down there, 42 with a drizzle up here, guess the front passed through.

Checked the weather channel app on my phone for funsies, wasn't supposed to be near 40 until 8pm tonight...seems a little WRONG.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#9217 Postby orangeblood » Sun Mar 02, 2014 4:02 pm

Enhanced precip bands should begin to breakout across the Metroplex soon....
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#9218 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 02, 2014 4:05 pm

Precip is just light frozen mist right now in Denison. We've gone up a degree to 23.
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#9219 Postby WeatherNewbie » Sun Mar 02, 2014 4:06 pm

The band out west seems to be weakening. Wonder if it will make it to the Metroplex.
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#9220 Postby Texas Snowman » Sun Mar 02, 2014 4:08 pm

@BigJoeBastardi: dont know if this is the greatest temp difference ever in state of Texas, but its currently 87 in McAllen and 7 above in Pampa- 80 degrees.
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