Yeah, I noticed that too. I think Houston will be 27 or below on Sat. night.Tyler wrote:Corpus Christi NWS is giving Victoria upper 20's saturday morning. If Victoria is going to see upper 20's, Houston will easily see the mid 20's..
Upcoming cold for the South (Models, Maps, Discussions)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Extremeweatherguy
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Tyler
Extremeweatherguy wrote:Yeah, I noticed that too. I think Houston will be 27 or below on Sat. night.Tyler wrote:Corpus Christi NWS is giving Victoria upper 20's saturday morning. If Victoria is going to see upper 20's, Houston will easily see the mid 20's..
12 GFS MOS temp guidance says 41 degrees as the low for Victoria Sunday morning. This means that Corpus Christi is going 13 degrees cooler than the guidance. Impressive!
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Extremeweatherguy
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Yeah..I live to see them take a risk like that...especially since they will be right in the end. As for the 12Z GFS MOS...I can't wait to see it tomorrow. If the 18Z trend can continue for a few runs...then many NWS offices will HAVE to change their tune.Tyler wrote:Extremeweatherguy wrote:Yeah, I noticed that too. I think Houston will be 27 or below on Sat. night.Tyler wrote:Corpus Christi NWS is giving Victoria upper 20's saturday morning. If Victoria is going to see upper 20's, Houston will easily see the mid 20's..
12 GFS MOS temp guidance says 41 degrees as the low for Victoria Sunday morning. This means that Corpus Christi is going 13 degrees cooler than the guidance. Impressive!
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Extremeweatherguy
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HAS ANYONE SEEN THE 12Z NOGAPS! It is by far the coldest of any model I have seen. It has 850mb temps. down to between -10C and -15C on Sunday. It also has thickness values down to 528hpa. Another intresting thing is that it has a 1036mb High over Texas on Sunday! Could you imagine the radiational cooling. I am in no way saying the NOGAPS will be anywhere close to right...but if it were (-10 to -15C temps.) and clear, windless skies could lead to lows reaching levels not seen in February since the 1800s.
http://www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml
^^Here is a link that shows precip. and thickness, but I can not find one that shows 850mb temps. other than on accuweather.com professional (which I have and got it from).^^
http://www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml
^^Here is a link that shows precip. and thickness, but I can not find one that shows 850mb temps. other than on accuweather.com professional (which I have and got it from).^^
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Tyler
Extremeweatherguy wrote:HAS ANYONE SEEN THE 12Z NOGAPS! It is by far the coldest of any model I have seen. It has 850mb temps. down to between -10C and -15C on Sunday. It also has thickness values down to 528hpa. Another intresting thing is that it has a 1036mb High over Texas on Sunday! Could you imagine the radiational cooling. I am in no way saying the NOGAPS will be anywhere close to right...but if it were (-10 to -15C temps.) and clear, windless skies could lead to lows reaching levels not seen in February since the 1800s.
http://www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml
^^Here is a link that shows precip. and thickness, but I can not find one that shows 850mb temps. other than on accuweather.com professional (which I have and got it from).^^
Hey Extreme, THATS extreme!! Geez... You'd have to wrap me up in a bubble to get me out in that cold. Single digits. lol. Damn.
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Extremeweatherguy
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Tyler
What the heck, my forecast for the next few days...
Tonight, clear and cool, lows in the mid to upper 30s, light freeze for rural areas and the normal cool spots.
Tommorow, sunny and a bit warmer, highs in the upper 60s.
Tommroow night, clear and cool, lows in the upper 30s
Thursday, sunny, highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday night, clear, lows in the mid 40s.
Friday, slight chance of showers, highs around 60.
Friday night, chance of a cold rain, lows around 40.
Saturday, cloudy, possible clearing late, COLD, highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Saturday night, partly cloudy early then clear, very cold, hard freeze likely for all of inland sections of SE TX, lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Sunday, mostly sunny, still cool, highs in the lower 50s.
Sunday night, clear and still cold, lows around 30.
And to start the work week, sunny and bit warmer but still cool, highs in the mid to upper 50s.
Tonight, clear and cool, lows in the mid to upper 30s, light freeze for rural areas and the normal cool spots.
Tommorow, sunny and a bit warmer, highs in the upper 60s.
Tommroow night, clear and cool, lows in the upper 30s
Thursday, sunny, highs in the lower 60s.
Thursday night, clear, lows in the mid 40s.
Friday, slight chance of showers, highs around 60.
Friday night, chance of a cold rain, lows around 40.
Saturday, cloudy, possible clearing late, COLD, highs in the mid to upper 40s.
Saturday night, partly cloudy early then clear, very cold, hard freeze likely for all of inland sections of SE TX, lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Sunday, mostly sunny, still cool, highs in the lower 50s.
Sunday night, clear and still cold, lows around 30.
And to start the work week, sunny and bit warmer but still cool, highs in the mid to upper 50s.
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Tyler
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Portastorm
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Tyler, I won't be quite so bold as you but I believe that Austin metro will see a low temperature Sunday morning of 30 degrees. The forecasted low is currently 33 degrees. I bet we hit 27 or 28 at my house here in north Austin.
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
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Portastorm
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Tyler, I won't be quite so bold as you but I believe that Austin metro will see a low temperature Sunday morning of 30 degrees. The forecasted low is currently 33 degrees. I bet we hit 27 or 28 at my house here in north Austin.
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
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Extremeweatherguy
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I guess I will issue my prediction too (for the Houston area):
Tonight - Clear and cold. Lows in the middle 30s areawide, except upper 30s and lower 40s southeast of Downtown. Lows will hit freezing in normally colder spots.
Tomorrow - Mostly sunny and nice. High near 70. A few extra clouds appear late in the day.
Tomorrow night - Variable clouds with a light 10-15mph breeze. Lows in the middle 30s NW of Houston, to near 40 downtown to near 45 at the coast.
Thursday - Mostly sunny and cool. Highs in the lower 60s. Light breeze.
Thursday night - Increasing clouds. Lows in the middle to upper 40s areawide.
Friday - Mostly cloudy and breezy. 30% chance of passing showers. Cool. Highs in the lower 60s.
Friday night - Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. Breezy and chilly. Lows in the upper 30s NW of Houston, to the middle 40s SE of Houston.
Saturday - Mostly cloudy and cold with a stiff north breeze at 10-20mph (gusts to 30mph) and a 20% chance of showers. Highs in the middle 40s areawide.
Saturday night - Partly cloudy and very cold. Winds dying. 10% chance of some wintry precipitation. Lows near 24 NW of Houston, 28 Downtown, and 32 at the coast.
Sunday - Clearing and chilly. Highs in the lower 50s.
Sunday night - Clear, calm, and cold. Lows near 26 NW of Houston, 29 Downtown, and 33 at the coast.
Tonight - Clear and cold. Lows in the middle 30s areawide, except upper 30s and lower 40s southeast of Downtown. Lows will hit freezing in normally colder spots.
Tomorrow - Mostly sunny and nice. High near 70. A few extra clouds appear late in the day.
Tomorrow night - Variable clouds with a light 10-15mph breeze. Lows in the middle 30s NW of Houston, to near 40 downtown to near 45 at the coast.
Thursday - Mostly sunny and cool. Highs in the lower 60s. Light breeze.
Thursday night - Increasing clouds. Lows in the middle to upper 40s areawide.
Friday - Mostly cloudy and breezy. 30% chance of passing showers. Cool. Highs in the lower 60s.
Friday night - Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers. Breezy and chilly. Lows in the upper 30s NW of Houston, to the middle 40s SE of Houston.
Saturday - Mostly cloudy and cold with a stiff north breeze at 10-20mph (gusts to 30mph) and a 20% chance of showers. Highs in the middle 40s areawide.
Saturday night - Partly cloudy and very cold. Winds dying. 10% chance of some wintry precipitation. Lows near 24 NW of Houston, 28 Downtown, and 32 at the coast.
Sunday - Clearing and chilly. Highs in the lower 50s.
Sunday night - Clear, calm, and cold. Lows near 26 NW of Houston, 29 Downtown, and 33 at the coast.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Tue Feb 07, 2006 9:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tyler
Portastorm wrote:Tyler, I won't be quite so bold as you but I believe that Austin metro will see a low temperature Sunday morning of 30 degrees. The forecasted low is currently 33 degrees. I bet we hit 27 or 28 at my house here in north Austin.
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
I will be bold then
I'll say 22 for you. Models continue to strengthen the high as it moves in. 0z NAM is encouraging.
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Tyler
Portastorm wrote:Tyler wrote:Portastorm wrote:Tyler, I won't be quite so bold as you but I believe that Austin metro will see a low temperature Sunday morning of 30 degrees. The forecasted low is currently 33 degrees. I bet we hit 27 or 28 at my house here in north Austin.
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
I will be bold then
Whoa Nellie?! 22 .... aye carumba!
If the Euro verifies, you'll be right.
You mean if the Euro, Canadian, Nogaps, Nam, and JMA verifies, then I'll be right.
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Portastorm
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Tyler wrote:Portastorm wrote:Tyler wrote:Portastorm wrote:Tyler, I won't be quite so bold as you but I believe that Austin metro will see a low temperature Sunday morning of 30 degrees. The forecasted low is currently 33 degrees. I bet we hit 27 or 28 at my house here in north Austin.
Highs Sunday won't get above 50. Current high progged is 54.
That's as far as I'm going to go!
I will be bold then
Whoa Nellie?! 22 .... aye carumba!
If the Euro verifies, you'll be right.
You mean if the Euro, Canadian, Nogaps, Nam, and JMA verifies, then I'll be right.
Yeah, what he said.
I'm anxious to see the 0z run of the GFS and see if its wised up or not.
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Extremeweatherguy
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Tyler
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Tyler
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Portastorm
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:That's weird. Tyler quoted portastorm before portastorm even wrote anything. That's a first...
My PC was acting up and I thought I double posted ... so I deleted it. Yeah, weird science over here right now.
Speaking of weird science ... the big question is what will the GFS do with its 0z run tonight?
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