Deep South Winter 2024-2025-2026

[Steve]

^^ yeah it’s getting close. Doesn’t look to severe but small tornados can pop up along and in front of those lines.

https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_ ... Z9fQ%3D%3D

[MississippiWx]

Everything still way down in the Gulf.

I don’t have much hope for this one. The only slight bit of hope is ensembles show moisture being thrown inland. That’s all I can see to hope for.

[Jag95]

Everything still way down in the Gulf.

I don’t have much hope for this one. The only slight bit of hope is ensembles show moisture being thrown inland. That’s all I can see to hope for.

Yeah, looks like the new Euro just hammered the last nail into the coffin of any hope on this one.

[Steve]

Power blinked and cable died. B**** *** ************ better come back before football.

[Steve]

If if was a skiff this overrunning rain and t storm that just passed by the airport was probably snowfall

[MississippiWx]

We’ve had flurries here all evening as the strong cold air advection squeezes out the remaining moisture. Cool to see it. Still praying for the storm for next weekend to come back on the models. It has done so for the East Coast. Gotta come more north in the Gulf for us in the Central Gulf states to have a chance. Ensembles show a little more promise still, but a long way to go on globals.

[Kingarabian]

Seeing some hints on the models for snow this weekend in eastern NC. Some models show it in relation to the gulf system while some others dont.

[Jag95]

We’ve had flurries here all evening as the strong cold air advection squeezes out the remaining moisture. Cool to see it. Still praying for the storm for next weekend to come back on the models. It has done so for the East Coast. Gotta come more north in the Gulf for us in the Central Gulf states to have a chance. Ensembles show a little more promise still, but a long way to go on globals.

Pretty cool. I haven't noticed anything here but haven't been outside today. The Euro made a pretty big change from the last time I looked and closes off the low south just south of the Panhandle as cold air fills in behind it Friday night. Just needs a little nudge left and a little slower. High on Saturday is mid-20s. Yikes.

[Ivanhater]

We’ve had flurries here all evening as the strong cold air advection squeezes out the remaining moisture. Cool to see it. Still praying for the storm for next weekend to come back on the models. It has done so for the East Coast. Gotta come more north in the Gulf for us in the Central Gulf states to have a chance. Ensembles show a little more promise still, but a long way to go on globals.

Pretty cool. I haven't noticed anything here but haven't been outside today. The Euro made a pretty big change from the last time I looked and closes off the low south just south of the Panhandle as cold air fills in behind it Friday night. Just needs a little nudge left and a little slower. High on Saturday is mid-20s. Yikes.

I read this and thought maybe you had a typo so I went and looked. Euro is indeed showing the high in the 20s this weekend

[snowpocalypse]

From Brad panovich yesterday.. central NC soundings. Crazy numbers from 850 to ground level.

[Steve]

We’ve had flurries here all evening as the strong cold air advection squeezes out the remaining moisture. Cool to see it. Still praying for the storm for next weekend to come back on the models. It has done so for the East Coast. Gotta come more north in the Gulf for us in the Central Gulf states to have a chance. Ensembles show a little more promise still, but a long way to go on globals.

Pretty cool. I haven't noticed anything here but haven't been outside today. The Euro made a pretty big change from the last time I looked and closes off the low south just south of the Panhandle as cold air fills in behind it Friday night. Just needs a little nudge left and a little slower. High on Saturday is mid-20s. Yikes.

I read this and thought maybe you had a typo so I went and looked. Euro is indeed showing the high in the 20s this weekend

That sucks and is terrible if it pans out (particularly without frozen precip). I am supposed to go back to New Orleans Thursday for a week and a half. Might have to run the water for the duration to keep the pipes flowing since I won't be around to run a space heater in the garage.

[Powellrm]

Major swing and a miss for GFS on this one. What’s been going on with the GFS? I know the GFS has its biases to take into account, but this has not inspired confidence.

[cajungal]

Of course everyone was excited when GFS was showing a blizzard on the Gulf coast a few days ago. I knew there was no way 2 years in a row we would get that. I would have been happy here in SE Louisiana to even see a few flakes. Such a waste of cold air this weekend

[Snoopie]

12z CMC and 06z ECMWF are starting to reverse course. Still a lot of model runs left before this weekend.

ETA: Icon has been trending stronger the last couple of runs as well.

[Harp.1]

12z CMC and 06z ECMWF are starting to reverse course. Still a lot of model runs left before this weekend.

ETA: Icon has been trending stronger the last couple of runs as well.

Reverse course how?

[Ivanhater]

And just like that. Models have the Gulf low much further north. Canadian back to snow along the coast

[Snoopie]

12z CMC and 06z ECMWF are starting to reverse course. Still a lot of model runs left before this weekend.

ETA: Icon has been trending stronger the last couple of runs as well.

Reverse course how?

Stronger storm. More Northern positioning. The GFS bombs out a little later than the other 3 but it still shows a pretty strong solution for the Eastern seaboard. That wasn't there a day ago.

[MGC]

Hating this cold air....I'm ready for pool weather. Looks to be a rather prolonged period of cold coming up. Go away winter......MGC

[MississippiWx]

The biggest thing to note is that the ensembles continue to trend wetter, and the operational are catching up to them. I have attached images of the ICON, Euro, and Canadian ensembles. The GFS is wetter than its operational as well, but not quite as aggressive as the others yet.

[3090]

12z CMC and 06z ECMWF are starting to reverse course. Still a lot of model runs left before this weekend.

ETA: Icon has been trending stronger the last couple of runs as well.

Reverse course how?

Look at the models. They will show you the reverse course of a more northerly track/position of the low in the GOA from previous runs if you recall. Pretty simple. Now does this mean anything difinitive? Heck no! Just another interesting run. And those QPF ratios are looking sweet!