TheProfessor wrote:a CAPE of 1000 J/Kg isn't very favorable for severe weather. It needs to be closer to 2,000 J/kg, And it needs to be near 3,000 J/Kg to attract storm chasers who want to collect data. Ant the big events are usually higher than that, I pretty sure the May 1999 Moore, Oklahoma tornado had a CAPE near 7,500 J/Kg. So with a CAPE as low as 1000 J/Kg, I'm not expecting anything much worse than what storm prediction center is forecasting ,which is some large hail and maybe a couple of tornadoes. Unless we have one of those freak events like Jarrell, TX 1997 where their CAPE increased by like 5,000 J/Kg causing a mini tornado outbreak.
Some good analysis, good to look for those things in the spring severe wx thread. To be fair though our friend TarrantWX wasn't suggesting any kind of big outbreak just perhaps a couple of severe thunderstorms. We'll have to wait and see though, it's not your typical spring severe weather outbreak, more like something you see in winter kind of set ups for thunderstorms.