Unlike some Nina years, this one developed quick so Nina impacts should be felt by December. Therefore, the southeast ridge will be our enemy. However, we should be in a solidly -NAO by December, so the southern Appalachians could do very well early in the winter. A Ohio Valley-Apps runner storm track should be the norm although I wouldn't rule out a coastal runner or three during the times when the SE ridge breaks down and it will, so people in the deep south shouldn't completely give up hope for a snowstorm, but areas further south and east are going to be the main areas that the SE ridge will keep everything mostly warm and dry IMO. But for early winter I expect something simular to the current pattern with the ridge gradually building in and by Febuary it will be in full blowtorch mode. Now for the midsouth I fully expect some Severe wx and Ice storms this winter and areas that is notorious for CAD could see quite a bit of ice this winter.
Here is my winter forecast map and comments, critisism, and questions will be appreciated
Thanks
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