Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
starsfan65
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 675
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
Location: Garland,Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9321 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:38 pm

Ntxw wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
The flow ahead of it is igniting more storms in the more juicy air near DFW and northeastward. See bubba's graphic from the SPC.
when is the rain going to end?


Early morning hours depending where you are.
DFW Airport might break the record for the wettest February ever!!
0 likes   

User avatar
Cerlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1177
Age: 22
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 12:06 am
Location: Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9322 Postby Cerlin » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:42 pm

Absolutely pouring now in Frisco.
0 likes   
Undergraduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma and Operator at the Oklahoma Mesonet.
All opinions independent of employers and the university.

User avatar
starsfan65
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 675
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
Location: Garland,Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9323 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:44 pm

Ntxw wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
The flow ahead of it is igniting more storms in the more juicy air near DFW and northeastward. See bubba's graphic from the SPC.
when is the rain going to end?


Early morning hours depending where you are.
When is this line going to move southeast?
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9324 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:45 pm

starsfan65 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
starsfan65 wrote:when is the rain going to end?


Early morning hours depending where you are.
DFW Airport might break the record for the wettest February ever!!


Probably from the latest radar. There is also concern of flooding, don't forget there is a flood watch. Training is serious business in already saturated ground.

Pouring at the airport right now.
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9325 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:57 pm

Pouring again in north FW.

Loving the CASA radar app. Neat to compare with RadarScope. Airport appears to be getting it hard.
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9326 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:59 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Pouring again in north FW.

Loving the CASA radar app. Neat to compare with RadarScope. Airport appears to be getting it hard.


Yeah the airport is getting clobbered. The reading at 9:53pm will be interesting.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6011
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9327 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:01 pm

Hope this extremely wet February bodes well for the rest of the year!
3 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
starsfan65
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 675
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
Location: Garland,Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9328 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:01 pm

Ntxw wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Pouring again in north FW.

Loving the CASA radar app. Neat to compare with RadarScope. Airport appears to be getting it hard.


Yeah the airport is getting clobbered. The reading at 9:53pm will be interesting.

By time the rain reading comes in, it will say a record has been broken for the wettest February ever.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9329 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:24 pm

Just training over the airport

February going out with a bang
0 likes   
#neversummer

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9330 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:29 pm

Radar estimates have well over an inch over most of the airport area.
0 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9331 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:53 pm

The record looks like it will be done here in the next few minutes...but

 https://twitter.com/NWSFortWorth/status/969057312102141953




 https://twitter.com/NWSFlashFlood/status/969056644230414336


0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9332 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:03 pm

funny hasnt even rained a drop yet here :lol:
0 likes   
#neversummer

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9333 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:06 pm

DFW just blew the record. Received 2.03" the past hour...up to ~9.13" for the month

Edit: 9.13

Still pouring at the airport. Wettest month since November 2015. We still got way to go yet, might be wettest month since May 2015 by midnight.
2 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 32
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9334 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:18 pm

It's past 00Z March 1st, why is everyone still here? : P
2 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6011
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9335 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:19 pm

Unbelievable! Wow!!! :eek:

I’d guess DFW keeps climbing the wettest winters chart too.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9336 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:23 pm

1900hurricane wrote:It's past 00Z March 1st, why is everyone still here? : P


lets not rush spring

although all this rain is kind of similar :roflmao:
1 likes   
#neversummer

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9337 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:24 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Unbelievable! Wow!!! :eek:

I’d guess DFW keeps climbing the wettest winters chart too.


Just to put it into perspective. Our wettest season is 11.46" total (March-April-May) for spring. We've nearly received an entire spring worth of rain in a month. Drought cancel in northeast quarter of Texas

The SOI correlation to DFW qpf is remarkable. The SOI is to rain, as the EPO is to cold.

Just look at the monthly SOI and you can almost pick out the wet or dry months.

Code: Select all

2015  1    -8.7  1
2015  2    -0.5  4
2015  3   -10.7  3
2015  4    -3.1  1
2015  5   -13.11  3
2015  6   -10.30  1
2015  7   -13.83  1
2015  8   -19.02  1
2015  9   -16.66  1
2015 10   -21.30  1
2015 11    -3.23  4
2015 12   -10.08  3
2016  1   -21.75  3
2016  2   -19.06  1
2016  3    -6.34  1
2016  4   -19.07  3
2016  5     2.83  4
2016  6     3.72  5
2016  7     3.70  5
2016  8     4.67  5
2016  9    13.82  4
2016 10    -4.51  3
2016 11     0.68  4
2016 12     0.43  5
2017  1     0.50  5
2017  2    -2.24  5
2017  3     3.80  4
2017  4    -6.31  3
2017  5     0.68  4
2017  6    -9.45  3
2017  7     6.51  4
2017  8     3.50  2
2017  9     6.16  5
2017 10    10.64  2
2017 11    10.40  2
2017 12    -2.61  3
2018  1     8.93  4
2018  2    -7.74  3
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1808
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9338 Postby Haris » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:48 pm

Anybody thinks squall line W of us makes it to atx
0 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

User avatar
Haris
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1808
Joined: Mon Nov 27, 2017 8:19 pm
Location: ( Bee Cave) West Austin, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9339 Postby Haris » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:48 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:Unbelievable! Wow!!! :eek:

I’d guess DFW keeps climbing the wettest winters chart too.


Just to put it into perspective. Our wettest season is 11.46" total (March-April-May) for spring. We've nearly received an entire spring worth of rain in a month. Drought cancel in northeast quarter of Texas

The SOI correlation to DFW qpf is remarkable. The SOI is to rain, as the EPO is to cold.

Just look at the monthly SOI and you can almost pick out the wet or dry months.

Code: Select all

2015  1    -8.7  1
2015  2    -0.5  4
2015  3   -10.7  3
2015  4    -3.1  1
2015  5   -13.11  3
2015  6   -10.30  1
2015  7   -13.83  1
2015  8   -19.02  1
2015  9   -16.66  1
2015 10   -21.30  1
2015 11    -3.23  4
2015 12   -10.08  3
2016  1   -21.75  3
2016  2   -19.06  1
2016  3    -6.34  1
2016  4   -19.07  3
2016  5     2.83  4
2016  6     3.72  5
2016  7     3.70  5
2016  8     4.67  5
2016  9    13.82  4
2016 10    -4.51  3
2016 11     0.68  4
2016 12     0.43  5
2017  1     0.50  5
2017  2    -2.24  5
2017  3     3.80  4
2017  4    -6.31  3
2017  5     0.68  4
2017  6    -9.45  3
2017  7     6.51  4
2017  8     3.50  2
2017  9     6.16  5
2017 10    10.64  2
2017 11    10.40  2
2017 12    -2.61  3
2018  1     8.93  4
2018  2    -7.74  3


South and central TX got little, what did we miss?
0 likes   
Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#9340 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 28, 2018 11:54 pm

Haris wrote:South and central TX got little, what did we miss?


Some bad luck, a bit closer to the SE ridge and push back from the cooler air boundary. In the winter time -PNA can often benefit more the northern half of the state vs the southern half which tends to do somewhat better with a +PNA. Just a general obscure view. I often look at the I-10 corridor (or close) with linkage to the southeast US climate at times.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K



Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 54 guests