Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6541 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 28, 2022 2:41 pm

February will end with 5 freezes in Houston, 4 in the first week. Lowest was 27F on the 4th, 5th, and 6th. High was 80 on the 17th. Month was 5.8F below normal. Looking forward to an above normal (temperatures) March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6542 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Feb 28, 2022 3:11 pm

Interesting...

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6543 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 28, 2022 5:16 pm



Yeah definitely below normal up here 50s for highs next week which is below normal now

Meanwhile its 70 degrees and theres still ice in the shade although today is definitely working on it
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6544 Postby CaptinCrunch » Tue Mar 01, 2022 1:11 pm

Don't be surprised to see a couple of freezes through the first 2 weeks of March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6545 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Mar 03, 2022 4:15 pm

Latest CPC forecast looks beautiful!
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6546 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Mar 03, 2022 5:05 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Latest CPC forecast looks beautiful!


This is just crazy, when was the last time I've seen this in March?

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https://s7.gifyu.com/images/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contours-1.png

Also, beware of bitterly cold wind chills, strong winds combined with the bitterly cold temperatures, winter is not going away easily.

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https://s7.gifyu.com/images/wind_probhazards_d8_14_contours.png
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6547 Postby WeatherNewbie » Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:00 am

just had a burst of graupel in richardson. wasn't expecting that...
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6548 Postby Texas Snow » Mon Mar 07, 2022 11:24 am

Yep, a few sleet showers here this morning.

Although nothing major, NWS says Winter ain't over yet.

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6549 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Mar 07, 2022 5:20 pm

This is SE TX centric from Jeff Lindner at Harris County Flood Control:

[
[b]Strong cold front likely late this week with potential for sub-freezing temperatures over much of the area. [b]

Surface cold front has moved off the coast this morning with cooler air mass filtering into the region. Light rain showers will linger into the noonish hour and then begin to dry from north to south as a deeper dry layer advances into the region. Temperatures will go nowhere today with continued cold air advection, clouds, and light rain with many areas remaining in the 50’s and some areas falling into the 40’s.

Break in the rainfall will be short lived as a coastal trough/low begins to develop tonight along the stalling front off the lower TX coast. Strong southerly transport will begin above the entrenched surface cold dome yielding lift and increasing moisture over the area. Showers will begin to develop from the Corpus and Matagorda Bay area’s late tonight and then expand NNE across southeast TX on Tuesday. There may be enough instability for some thunder also especially near the coast with banded precipitation will be most likely. Could see some moderate to at times heavy rainfall on Tuesday especially south of I-10, but with very dry grounds across the region this will be welcomed.

Rainfall amounts of .50-.75 of an inch will be possible with locally higher totals, especially south of I-10. Temperatures will remain in the 40’s and 50’s on Tuesday with increasing northeast winds, clouds and rainfall.

Slow clearing on Wednesday with some showers lingering near the coast and then much warmer with mostly sunny conditions on Thursday and highs back in the mid 70’s.

Friday:

Modified arctic air mass spills down the plains and into TX on Thursday and this front will likely be off the coast on Friday. As with similar fronts this season, will go with the fastest and colder solutions as global models have been too slow and warm with these fronts over the last month. A few showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front, but the rainfall looks slight at best with the greatest forcing off to the north and east (common in La Nina springs). High temperatures will be prior to the front with temperatures falling into the 50’s and possibly the 40’s during the day on Friday with strong northerly winds.

Of more importance will be how cold behind the front with a good chance that many areas will fall to or below freezing for Saturday and Sunday mornings. This looks to be a light freeze, although some areas north and west (Columbus to College Station to Huntsville) could see upper 20’s. Normally a freeze of this magnitude is a little concern for the region, but with vegetation starting to break dormancy and for agriculture interest that may have planted a bit early there is concern with such a freeze.

As we move through the week and get a better handle on the intensity of this cold air mass, temperatures will likely be adjusted some.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#6550 Postby Ntxw » Mon Mar 07, 2022 8:50 pm

FYI we have moved to the Spring thread linked below. Come join us and discuss the coming March winter event :D.

Spring Thread
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