Haris wrote:WXman57 wont like thaat NAM.
Big event in SCTX if it and hrrr verifies
And Southern Texas for snow if the 15z SREF verified.
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Haris wrote:WXman57 wont like thaat NAM.
Big event in SCTX if it and hrrr verifies
Haris wrote:WXman57 wont like thaat NAM.
Big event in SCTX if it and hrrr verifies
wxman57 wrote:Haris wrote:WXman57 wont like thaat NAM.
Big event in SCTX if it and hrrr verifies
I don't buy the NAM solution at all. I'm expecting cold rain with the chance of a quickly melting sleet pellet.
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:I would pay the Weather Gods money to make the NAM happen, except move the bullseyes over SW Houston and SW Montgomery County.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2022011818/namconus_asnow_scus_25.png
South Texas Storms wrote:wxman57 wrote:Haris wrote:WXman57 wont like thaat NAM.
Big event in SCTX if it and hrrr verifies
I don't buy the NAM solution at all. I'm expecting cold rain with the chance of a quickly melting sleet pellet.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss the NAM and HRRR. They certainly look reasonable if we see a stronger disturbance moving across Mexico. Cold temperatures won't be the problem...moisture looks to be the limiting factor right now.
wxman57 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:wxman57 wrote:
I don't buy the NAM solution at all. I'm expecting cold rain with the chance of a quickly melting sleet pellet.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss the NAM and HRRR. They certainly look reasonable if we see a stronger disturbance moving across Mexico. Cold temperatures won't be the problem...moisture looks to be the limiting factor right now.
I think that cold temperatures (Houston) will be the main problem. I believe that the NAM is too cold with its temperature forecast (at least I hope so). The air up north really isn't that cold. Only single digits in northern Montana.
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:I would pay the Weather Gods money to make the NAM happen, except move the bullseyes over SW Houston and SW Montgomery County.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2022011818/namconus_asnow_scus_25.png
wxman57 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:wxman57 wrote:
I don't buy the NAM solution at all. I'm expecting cold rain with the chance of a quickly melting sleet pellet.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss the NAM and HRRR. They certainly look reasonable if we see a stronger disturbance moving across Mexico. Cold temperatures won't be the problem...moisture looks to be the limiting factor right now.
I think that cold temperatures (Houston) will be the main problem. I believe that the NAM is too cold with its temperature forecast (at least I hope so). The air up north really isn't that cold. Only single digits in northern Montana.
Brent wrote:ThunderSleetDreams wrote:I would pay the Weather Gods money to make the NAM happen, except move the bullseyes over SW Houston and SW Montgomery County.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2022011818/namconus_asnow_scus_25.png
Lmao 10 inches. Good one NAM
wxman57 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:wxman57 wrote:
I don't buy the NAM solution at all. I'm expecting cold rain with the chance of a quickly melting sleet pellet.
I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss the NAM and HRRR. They certainly look reasonable if we see a stronger disturbance moving across Mexico. Cold temperatures won't be the problem...moisture looks to be the limiting factor right now.
I think that cold temperatures (Houston) will be the main problem. I believe that the NAM is too cold with its temperature forecast (at least I hope so). The air up north really isn't that cold. Only single digits in northern Montana.
rwfromkansas wrote:Just a caution that Tropical Tidbits tends to go nuts with snow etc.
This is Pivotal. Night and day....much less close to the coast. It does snow lots of freezing rain though.
https://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2022011818/072/sn10_acc.us_sc.png
Iceresistance wrote:NWS Houston is saying that there is a slight chance of light Wintry Mix Thursday Night, mostly north of I-10 for now.
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