Texas Winter 2021-2022

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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2441 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 15, 2022 3:57 pm

Hopefully that storm next weekend trends west :lol: the Euro buries the SE again but it also did this week and isn't going to verify :lol: most of them over there are gonna be lucky to see what I saw
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2442 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:03 pm

No accumulations in Norman yet. Drove around OKC and saw light accumulations around Yukon and Piedmont just NW of OKC.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2443 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:06 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Batteries exploded in my Ambient Weather 1400-IP, and replacement isn’t working, so I guess I will have to get a new weather station. Ugh.


I never have luck with weather stations. Every single one I’ve ever owned has broke on me within a few weeks or months.


I got it in 2016, so at least it’s been awhile.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2444 Postby orangeblood » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:08 pm

Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Whoa :double: that may throw a wrinkle into those United Nations Carbon targets
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2445 Postby kingwood_tx1999 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:10 pm

Well you guys in north TX and Oklahoma got some flurries. Don't be greedy! It's our time next weekend here in houston

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2446 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:22 pm

Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Apparently, that video of the explosion is not from last evening's eruption, it's from a smaller eruption last month. There are no known videos of the current explosion.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2447 Postby Portastorm » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:23 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Whoa :double: that may throw a wrinkle into those United Nations Carbon targets


The eruptions have been from underwater volcanic activity, so there won’t be a lot of ash as a result. However the question is how much extra water vapor was pumped into the global atmospheric equation … and what impact, if any, it has on our weather.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2448 Postby Haris » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:31 pm

Image

Best run yet (not saying much though lol)
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2449 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:48 pm

Portastorm wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Whoa :double: that may throw a wrinkle into those United Nations Carbon targets


The eruptions have been from underwater volcanic activity, so there won’t be a lot of ash as a result. However the question is how much extra water vapor was pumped into the global atmospheric equation … and what impact, if any, it has on our weather.


Photos and satellite imagery would indicate that a tremendous ash cloud covers the region. Even though the explosion was underwater, it threw ash up very high into the atmosphere. I was reading that the explosion was heard over 5000 miles away in Alaska. I heard one audio clip from Fiji.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2450 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 4:51 pm

Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/kKyvKxv/85-EF3-E07-F7-C4-468-A-BEF2-9-CC5-A8076787.png [/url]

Best run yet (not saying much though lol)


That’s true but it keeps going more in the right direction with each run it seems.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2451 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:14 pm

Got dry slotted! Oh well, winter looks promising, I’m sure there will be more chances in the future.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2452 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:24 pm

Cerlin wrote:Got dry slotted! Oh well, winter looks promising, I’m sure there will be more chances in the future.

So did Tulsa for a while, I may be one of the lucky ones in Central Oklahoma? It's STILL snowing outside!

The Snowflakes are getting big outside, 25°F
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2453 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:31 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Whoa :double: that may throw a wrinkle into those United Nations Carbon targets


The eruptions have been from underwater volcanic activity, so there won’t be a lot of ash as a result. However the question is how much extra water vapor was pumped into the global atmospheric equation … and what impact, if any, it has on our weather.


Photos and satellite imagery would indicate that a tremendous ash cloud covers the region. Even though the explosion was underwater, it threw ash up very high into the atmosphere. I was reading that the explosion was heard over 5000 miles away in Alaska. I heard one audio clip from Fiji.


The satellite imagery is definitely real. This is in a region that is ENSO sensitive and we already have a Nino like forcing going on over the IDL.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2454 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:31 pm

Cerlin wrote:Got dry slotted! Oh well, winter looks promising, I’m sure there will be more chances in the future.


Yeah I'm still optimistic even if next week doesnt pan out there's always February...

Still some flurries here but i was expecting a little more today for sure but it was crazy for about an hour how heavy it was
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2455 Postby 3090 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:38 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Apparently, that video of the explosion is not from last evening's eruption, it's from a smaller eruption last month. There are no known videos of the current explosion.


So it is someone trying to fool the world of us? Just wondering how do you know it is NOT, from yesterday?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2456 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:40 pm

3090 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:FYI in world news massive volcanic eruption near Tonga in the South Pacific. One of the most intense we've seen via Satellite in a long while. This was likely a very quick explosive eruption.

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1482437044785889286

https://twitter.com/WeatherdotUS/status/1482319932369125381


Apparently, that video of the explosion is not from last evening's eruption, it's from a smaller eruption last month. There are no known videos of the current explosion.


So it is someone trying to fool the world of us? Just wondering how do you know it is NOT, from yesterday?


I don't think if anyone was that close to the recent explosion would have survived no less film it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2457 Postby Golf7270 » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:42 pm

Ntxw, do you think the niño like forcing can persist into February? Just curious
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2458 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:45 pm

18z GFS through 240+ looks like the 12z Euro. Can't get a big Southern Plains snowstorm with this type of pattern. Need something to change.

Image
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2459 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:46 pm

Golf7270 wrote:Ntxw, do you think the niño like forcing can persist into February? Just curious


I think so. Nina is terminating. This big, slow mjo wave has dug a deep and expansive warm pool beneath. Feedback will quickly shift the tropics.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2460 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 15, 2022 5:50 pm

bubba hotep wrote:18z GFS through 240+ looks like the 12z Euro. Can't get a big Southern Plains snowstorm with this type of pattern. Need something to change.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022011518/gfs_apcpn_us_41.png


Hopefully we can get some west shifts like this week

The GFS does try for another flizzard up here Thursday night
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