Cpv17 wrote:ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The Direct Weather guy on YouTube is the worst lol I just watched his latest video and he’s telling everyone now that it looks like the cold isn’t coming.
Kid in his basement that thinks he’s smart because he can read the GFS on TT?
Lol yeah. I have no clue what some people are seeing. Basically every sign is pointing towards a cold outbreak.
Sort of like what happened in 2021 (not suggesting that specifically is on the table here) but the reaction from many "enthusiasts" along with a few local mets in my area even at that time was to dismiss that particular pattern potential/setup in favor of daily operational model runs (in that case the Euro) which obviously proved to be out to lunch right up until a few days before the event itself. I think all of us who were on this site then remember that daily contradiction similar to an extent with what the GFS has shown. Ensembles this far out are still your best bet as mets on this site have reinforced.
The big takeaway in my opinion is put your trust in those who have experience in the field and more importantly a track record of being able to recognize these pattern signals (despite the models) over someone doing a bit on a YouTube channel who might very well get an A in software graphics presentation, but beyond that it goes downhill quickly from there. Just saying.
Btw that's not to say that individual shouldn't get an "attaboy" for loving the weather (as we all do). I think as it relates to that aspect, I say more power to him but in the end verify your sources is all. Again, just my .02.