Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6021 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:27 pm

My area is really close to 32°F
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1966
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6022 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:34 pm

Radar filling in west of me, is this the final wave?
0 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

losf1981
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 96
Joined: Fri Dec 15, 2017 2:09 pm
Location: Wichita Falls, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6023 Postby losf1981 » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:34 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:After this warm up, what is the rest of Feb looking like temp wise?


Cold building in source region again mid-month. Also, of interest for an extended winter into March/April...Strat Warm is working its way down and looks to be the real deal this time. March looks like a below normal temp month at this time

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/nhemi/t2m_f_anom/1675296000/1676592000-9qjkiJHSCwQ.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t10_anom/1675339200/1676700000-VoIwTc38s3Y.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t50_anom/1675339200/1676700000-RyNMAw6y7PE.png



hopefully this brings some "fun" winter weather to the WF area.
1 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6024 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:35 pm

I haven’t gone up much, still stuck at 31.5.

Sleet still on ground here still under the ice.

I hear roads are fine now. I think I have .25 of ice which isn’t too bad for infrastructure. If we did not have mostly sleet to start it would have been like Austin.

I want a dumping of snow but wait a few weeks so kids can get yearbook spreads done. I got a lot of work done yesterday so a nice blessing.
0 likes   

Itryatgolf
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 305
Joined: Mon Jul 18, 2022 8:04 pm
Location: Jackson tn

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6025 Postby Itryatgolf » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:42 pm

Orangeblood, hopefully we can get the SSW to come to fruition before it's too late to make a difference for us. We got a little ice and sleet in my location, but not as much as i was hoping for
0 likes   

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1966
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6026 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:50 pm

And I'm back down to 31F with frozen stuff falling. It's not over yet.
2 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6027 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:50 pm

33°F, I'm now above freezing.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

WacoWx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 552
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:14 pm
Location: NOT Waco, TX ----> Dallas, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6028 Postby WacoWx » Thu Feb 02, 2023 12:53 pm

Sitting at 32.4 the entire day. Hasn’t moved
1 likes   

Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1736
Age: 40
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6029 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:03 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:After this warm up, what is the rest of Feb looking like temp wise?


Cold building in source region again mid-month. Also, of interest for an extended winter into March/April...Strat Warm is working its way down and looks to be the real deal this time. March looks like a below normal temp month at this time

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/nhemi/t2m_f_anom/1675296000/1676592000-9qjkiJHSCwQ.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t10_anom/1675339200/1676700000-VoIwTc38s3Y.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t50_anom/1675339200/1676700000-RyNMAw6y7PE.png

Absolutely perfect.
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6030 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:09 pm

orangeblood wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:After this warm up, what is the rest of Feb looking like temp wise?


Cold building in source region again mid-month. Also, of interest for an extended winter into March/April...Strat Warm is working its way down and looks to be the real deal this time. March looks like a below normal temp month at this time

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/nhemi/t2m_f_anom/1675296000/1676592000-9qjkiJHSCwQ.png

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t10_anom/1675339200/1676700000-VoIwTc38s3Y.png
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/nhemi/t50_anom/1675339200/1676700000-RyNMAw6y7PE.png

This could also factor into a crazier storm season from March to June.
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

fendie
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 136
Joined: Sun Aug 26, 2012 10:33 am
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6031 Postby fendie » Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:15 pm

Lots of live oaks lost a limb or two in Central Texas. When the entirety of your surface area is covered in ice you are gonna be heavy. Of course, some species of trees that are used to cold weather have evolved to not have this issue. Such is life.

Hearing the “rain” fall from melting ice this morning was surreal. Bittersweet even. Hope everyone who lost power gets it back soon. The next few days some of us will be hearing a lot of chainsaws and branches getting tossed around.

Image

Image

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8557
Age: 56
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Lake Worth, TX (Tarrant Co.)

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6032 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:36 pm

been holding steady at 32 since 11am, not much melting going on. I need to make may way across the crunchy frozen backyard to retrieve more firewood. good times indeed :ggreen:

Update: I'm officially above freezing now, and rain is moving in. Won't take much to rid the trees of it's icy coating.
Last edited by CaptinCrunch on Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   

User avatar
Edwards Limestone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 333
Age: 34
Joined: Tue Dec 28, 2021 11:05 am
Location: Smithson Valley, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6033 Postby Edwards Limestone » Thu Feb 02, 2023 1:53 pm

Unexpectedly lost power last night in my Smithson Valley area neighborhood (rural Comal County)...for 14 hours.
5300 homes without power due to damaged/down LCRA transmission line crossing near 281/46- apparently a tractor trailer hit a low hanging high voltage line on 281?

My provider is NBU (New Braunfels Utilities) but I guess they purchase power from LCRA lines and since no power on the high voltage lines NBU was unable to deliver hence the outage.
1 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

HockeyTx82
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1966
Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
Location: Ponder, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6034 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Feb 02, 2023 2:02 pm

For those with mPING on your phone be sure and report the Groundhog on it today!
2 likes   
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)

User avatar
snowballzzz
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 126
Age: 30
Joined: Fri Dec 15, 2017 8:50 am
Location: Sunset, TX and Tulsa, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6035 Postby snowballzzz » Thu Feb 02, 2023 2:34 pm

103 hours spent at or below freezing. Finally at 34°!
0 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6036 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Feb 02, 2023 2:42 pm

Finally hit 32.0. I was surprised it took this long. Models warmed things up too fast again.
1 likes   

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6037 Postby Ntxw » Thu Feb 02, 2023 3:04 pm

Meso analysis shows light ZR (frz rain) or ZR sleet mix with the last batch if you're below freezing.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8557
Age: 56
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Lake Worth, TX (Tarrant Co.)

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6038 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Feb 02, 2023 3:08 pm

Ntxw wrote:Meso analysis shows light ZR (frz rain) or ZR sleet mix with the last batch if you're below freezing.



I can confirm that it is back to 32F here and FRZ Rain/Sleet mix. Trees are reglazing and you can hear the ice cracking as the branches move around. So much for being done with this stuff :lol:
0 likes   

Bhow
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 47
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2016 11:52 am

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6039 Postby Bhow » Thu Feb 02, 2023 3:21 pm

All hail King CMC? GFS and Euro got embarrassed by the crazy Canadian
3 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22473
Age: 66
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6040 Postby wxman57 » Thu Feb 02, 2023 3:29 pm

A blistering 43F here in SW Houston. I don't know if I can withstand this heat much longer. The only ice in SE TX was in freezers, thankfully. This is one reason why summer is good - no ice storms.
1 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 56 guests