Texas Winter 2022-2023
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Might be mostly East Coast, but this -NAO may last for months!
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1598416981371555840
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1598416981371555840
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:Might be mostly East Coast, but this -NAO may last for months!
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1598416981371555840?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Let’s hope not. The EC gets plenty of exciting weather. It seems like many of these mets on Twitter and the YouTubers are really biased towards the east. Year after year after year.
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- CaptinCrunch
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8557
- Age: 56
- Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
- Location: Lake Worth, TX (Tarrant Co.)
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The El Nino like pattern continues through next weekend with rain chances increasing by mid week. Also note the highs are trending up to mid 60s rather than the mid 50s the models had just 72 hrs ago. Looks like another wet 3-4 days next week similar to Thanksgiving weekend.
As for the "Winters Coming" alert Well, yes it's coming but not till after we past the mid month, and closer to the Winter Solstice, so Christmas thru New Years day could be very interesting
As for the "Winters Coming" alert Well, yes it's coming but not till after we past the mid month, and closer to the Winter Solstice, so Christmas thru New Years day could be very interesting
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
12z GFS already started, that was quick.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Might be mostly East Coast, but this -NAO may last for months!
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1598416981371555840?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Let’s hope not. The EC gets plenty of exciting weather. It seems like many of these mets on Twitter and the YouTubers are really biased towards the east. Year after year after year.
We want the severe negative NAO to stick. Period.
It helps us with prolonged cold. But yeah, a EPO flexing every other week would make our winter very nice.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The GFS is still showing wildly different solutions on every run.
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Might be mostly East Coast, but this -NAO may last for months!
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1598416981371555840?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Let’s hope not. The EC gets plenty of exciting weather. It seems like many of these mets on Twitter and the YouTubers are really biased towards the east. Year after year after year.
We want the severe negative NAO to stick. Period.
It helps us with prolonged cold. But yeah, a EPO flexing every other week would make our winter very nice.
Oh yeah, for sure! I just hope we don’t get glancing blows with the main action east of us.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Good news is, none of it has happened yet. The ridge feature that will help pump the -NAO and eventual -AO is sitting over our heads right now!
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- starsfan65
- Category 2
- Posts: 675
- Age: 46
- Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
What kind of ridge is it?Ntxw wrote:Good news is, none of it has happened yet. The ridge feature that will help pump the -NAO and eventual -AO is sitting over our heads right now!
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Ntxw wrote:Good news is, none of it has happened yet. The ridge feature that will help pump the -NAO and eventual -AO is sitting over our heads right now!
The dust has yet to settle, the GFS is still having wildly different outcomes on every run.
Once the dust settles, we can have a much better look for what is eventually going to come later this month.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The end of the 12z GFS has temperatures near -60°F near Alaska under a 1056 mb HP.
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
12z GEFS is ugly. No blocking in western/NW Canada throughout the entire run.
The EPS looks a tad bit better though.
The EPS looks a tad bit better though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
starsfan65 wrote:What kind of ridge is it?Ntxw wrote:Good news is, none of it has happened yet. The ridge feature that will help pump the -NAO and eventual -AO is sitting over our heads right now!
One that is giving us above average temps and a lot of humidity lol
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- ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:12z GEFS is ugly. No blocking in western/NW Canada throughout the entire run.
The EPS looks a tad bit better though.
Just saw a post on social media where Cosgrove and Chisholm
urging traders to ignore GFS. Both agreed Canadian and Euro have a better handle on the coming pattern.
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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- TropicalTundra
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 567
- Joined: Wed Oct 16, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: Temple, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
What's the possibility of ice in Oklahoma tomorrow night and Sunday morning? Hi-Res models has close to freezing temps and precip
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Summer's for hibernation, Winter’s my vacation
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Please don't use my posts as forecast, I'm a complete meteorology noob! I just like cold weather, alright?
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I wonder where he posted that? I don’t see it on his Facebook page.ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:12z GEFS is ugly. No blocking in western/NW Canada throughout the entire run.
The EPS looks a tad bit better though.
Just saw a post on social media where Cosgrove and Chisholm
urging traders to ignore GFS. Both agreed Canadian and Euro have a better handle on the coming pattern.
0 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The CPC has us with above average temps all the way into mid December lol
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8897
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
TropicalTundra wrote:What's the possibility of ice in Oklahoma tomorrow night and Sunday morning? Hi-Res models has close to freezing temps and precip
Low, the dew point is between 33°F and 35°F.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:I wonder where he posted that? I don’t see it on his Facebook page.ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:12z GEFS is ugly. No blocking in western/NW Canada throughout the entire run.
The EPS looks a tad bit better though.
Just saw a post on social media where Cosgrove and Chisholm
urging traders to ignore GFS. Both agreed Canadian and Euro have a better handle on the coming pattern.
1 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
- txtwister78
- Category 4
- Posts: 985
- Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
- Location: San Antonio
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