HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Not sure what the rest of the run will do but 18z is already earlier in the run showing more -EPO ridge than 12z.
What does that mean?
The more -EPO the more Western Canada is loaded with cold.
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HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Not sure what the rest of the run will do but 18z is already earlier in the run showing more -EPO ridge than 12z.
What does that mean?
HockeyTx82 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Not sure what the rest of the run will do but 18z is already earlier in the run showing more -EPO ridge than 12z.
What does that mean?
Iceresistance wrote:18z GFS has the snow possibly delayed, but there is consistency right now for something big on the week before Christmas.
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
He knows it is coming. You have to respect he is great at trolling some of y’all.
Yeah I think he knows it’s coming but I believe he really isn’t sold yet on the direction and he could be leaning towards us only getting a glancing blow. At least that’s how I perceived it.
I see nothing that suggests a moderately or extremely positive PNA in the next two to three weeks. Negative NAO, negative EPO… high latitude blocking across the board.
A slightly positive PNA still puts us squarely in the mix although the forecast is for it to remain neutral to slightly negative.
Hell, I’m almost to the point where I won’t be expecting anything north of 65 degrees the rest of the month once we pass the 15th.
Ntxw wrote:18z GFS went nuts lalaland with North American cold. .
Iceresistance wrote:Ntxw wrote:18z GFS went nuts lalaland with North American cold. .
I'm going to post that, if that verified, we would be facing a cold that may rival December 1983 or 1989 in terms of the lowest temperatures!
Cerlin wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2022120712/gem_T2m_scus_41.png Don’t think this was posted from the 12z suites, but the Crazy Canadian is back at it again!
bubba hotep wrote:Something that jumps out at me is that this is setting up to be a long-duration cold event. Watch how the cold actually continues to build in our source region after the first push. Typically, we would see those cold anomalies rotate eastward, followed by a warmup.
https://i.ibb.co/Kjh7kLR/4040911f-2647-4a7a-af3c-187175d06b40.gif
Iceresistance wrote:Cerlin wrote:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2022120712/gem_T2m_scus_41.png Don’t think this was posted from the 12z suites, but the Crazy Canadian is back at it again!
18z GFS is even COLDER! (How often can I say that? )
https://s9.gifyu.com/images/18z-GFS-OOF.png
https://s9.gifyu.com/images/18z-GFS-OOF.png
Cpv17 wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Something that jumps out at me is that this is setting up to be a long-duration cold event. Watch how the cold actually continues to build in our source region after the first push. Typically, we would see those cold anomalies rotate eastward, followed by a warmup.
https://i.ibb.co/Kjh7kLR/4040911f-2647-4a7a-af3c-187175d06b40.gif
Yeah. With the -AO and -NAO locked in, the progressive pattern could possibly get thrown out the window.
And remember, temps would likely be even colder if there’s a snowpack over us.
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