Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9787
Age: 61
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: South Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6161 Postby Portastorm » Tue Feb 07, 2023 1:37 pm

wxman57 wrote:I'm quite confident now that the worst of the winter weather is behind us here in Texas. Possibly another light freeze here in Houston late next week, but that's about it. I know we've had freezes well into March in the past, but I'm hopeful that March will bring a return to 70s and 80s across SE TX. March just sounds warmer than February.


Based on these comments above, I am now expecting weather akin to The Day After Tomorrow coming to Texas soon. :lol:
10 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6162 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Feb 07, 2023 1:42 pm

Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I'm quite confident now that the worst of the winter weather is behind us here in Texas. Possibly another light freeze here in Houston late next week, but that's about it. I know we've had freezes well into March in the past, but I'm hopeful that March will bring a return to 70s and 80s across SE TX. March just sounds warmer than February.


Based on these comments above, I am now expecting weather akin to The Day After Tomorrow coming to Texas soon. :lol:

Right? I think he knows we could have another round of winter later this month. Then we can think about the warmth of March.
3 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6163 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 07, 2023 3:31 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I'm quite confident now that the worst of the winter weather is behind us here in Texas. Possibly another light freeze here in Houston late next week, but that's about it. I know we've had freezes well into March in the past, but I'm hopeful that March will bring a return to 70s and 80s across SE TX. March just sounds warmer than February.


Based on these comments above, I am now expecting weather akin to The Day After Tomorrow coming to Texas soon. :lol:

Right? I think he knows we could have another round of winter later this month. Then we can think about the warmth of March.


Blizzard confirmed :spam: :lol:
1 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5416
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6164 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Feb 07, 2023 5:46 pm

18z 3k NAM is pretty juiced up across DFW!

Image
4 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 985
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6165 Postby txtwister78 » Tue Feb 07, 2023 5:51 pm

Good news is parts of the San Antonio metro (cental and western areas) are receiving some nice rainfall this afternoon. Models increase this in both coverage/accumulation into the evening and overnight hours. Much needed

Image

https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2023020721/018/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png
3 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6166 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 7:19 pm

1.2 inches, I did not expect that already!
3 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6167 Postby Brent » Tue Feb 07, 2023 9:18 pm

Iceresistance wrote:1.2 inches, I did not expect that already!


Yeah we've been overperforming here too hopefully that's a good sign for y'all down south
2 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6168 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 9:21 pm

Brent wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:1.2 inches, I did not expect that already!


Yeah we've been overperforming here too hopefully that's a good sign for y'all down south

DFW is getting Lightning right now.
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

User avatar
Texas Snow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 728
Joined: Mon Oct 19, 2015 12:06 pm
Location: N. Dallas & Cedar Creek Lake

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6169 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:28 pm

:lol: Addison is reporting 47° with thunderSNOW right now. :lol:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... -MXZi9MG-o
Last edited by Texas Snow on Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"

Image

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6170 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Feb 07, 2023 10:35 pm

Texas Snow wrote::lol: Addison is reporting 47° with thundersnow right now. :lol:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... -MXZi9MG-o

Oh my Lord, maybe that the summer drought was so bad, they forgot what the term "Thunderstorm" is!
1 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6171 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 08, 2023 8:21 am

That thunder was loud!
2 likes   

Gotwood
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 340
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2022 7:18 pm
Location: Brock Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6172 Postby Gotwood » Wed Feb 08, 2023 8:26 am

Well I think they underestimated the rain totals in my area. Already received 1.15 inches since midnight and it’s still coming down hard.
4 likes   

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8897
Age: 20
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6173 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Feb 08, 2023 8:32 am

1.5 inches since Monday Night, parts of SE Oklahoma nearly got 4 inches in 24 hours.
4 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2134
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6174 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Feb 08, 2023 9:37 am

I'm at 1.8 inches, which is more than some models showed for sure, even for my area of Tarrant.

Looks like we may have a few hours more.
3 likes   

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6175 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Feb 08, 2023 9:42 am

rwfromkansas wrote:I'm at 1.8 inches, which is more than some models showed for sure, even for my area of Tarrant.

Looks like we may have a few hours more.

Tarrant getting some heavy rain this morning for sure.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5416
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6176 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Feb 08, 2023 10:35 am

DFW airport is now over 2" for this event, which puts us just over 1" ahead of schedule for the year. :raincloud:
3 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6177 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Feb 08, 2023 10:57 am

bubba hotep wrote:DFW airport is now over 2" for this event, which puts us just over 1" ahead of schedule for the year. :raincloud:

Some heavy rain headed for the airport now if not there already. Should increase the totals even more. Early next week looks beneficial as well.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37049
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6178 Postby Brent » Wed Feb 08, 2023 11:05 am

I can't remember the last time I've seen this much rain

And yeah there's already been talk of early next week. I mean if we can't have winter this is acceptable :lol:
3 likes   
#neversummer

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2703
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6179 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Feb 08, 2023 11:09 am

Brent wrote:I can't remember the last time I've seen this much rain

And yeah there's already been talk of early next week. I mean if we can't have winter this is acceptable :lol:

BIG thunder over my head setting off car alarms. Loving all the rain.
2 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6011
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6180 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Feb 08, 2023 11:35 am

Larry Cosgrove: “The vexing question: will the bitter cold in Canada move southward before winter is over?…”

“I see evidence from some of the predictive schemes that a very deep low will emerge from the southern branch into Mexico, and link with a storm in the polar westerlies out of the Gulf of Alaska on or around February 15. Forming an elongated, cold trough complex against an emerging -EPO styled ridge, a case can be made for strong cold advection into Texas and the Gulf Coast ten days from now. And, if the ECMWF and GGEM ensemble means are correct (deep breath now...), we could have a "last gasp of winter" in the last week of February across much of the USA. This has support from a stratospheric warming event in the Arctic Circle. But keep in mind that we have seen three SSW pulses this winter which translated to maybe 5 days of intense cold.”

 https://twitter.com/larrycosgrove/status/1623320954377228289


1 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 64 guests