Road trip to Amarillo.
Texas Winter 2022-2023
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Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The SPC has a Slight Risk for severe storms Next Monday (12/12) for NE Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, SW Missouri, NW Louisiana, and most of Arkansas.
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
6z GFS might be the most realistic in a while.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:6z GFS might be the most realistic in a while.
Still has no clue how to handle the blocking up high. Yeah, the surface output is better for cold lovers, but it’s not trustworthy and completely collapses the blocking regime when the Euro and Canadian strengthen it.
Until it has a reasonable 500mb pattern, there’s no reason to look at it.
0 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:The SPC has a Slight Risk for severe storms Next Monday (12/12) for NE Texas, Eastern Oklahoma, SW Missouri, NW Louisiana, and most of Arkansas.
Image for it
https://s4.gifyu.com/images/day7prob-4.gif
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
I'm sick of the humid heat here in Houston. That is all.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5248
- Age: 40
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
SoupBone wrote:I'm sick of the humid heat here in Houston. That is all.
December 2021 repeat so far here in Louisiana, downright disgusting.
1 likes
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
PTrackerLA wrote:SoupBone wrote:I'm sick of the humid heat here in Houston. That is all.
December 2021 repeat so far here in Louisiana, downright disgusting.
Just took at look at the analogs, it's more west based compared to the December 2015 Super El Nino
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
-
Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
What does this mean? Meanwhile, the GFS operational remains defiant…
0 likes
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Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8910
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
harp wrote:What does this mean? Meanwhile, the GFS operational remains defiant…
GFS tries the omega snowstorm in New Mexico and Texas.
Yeah, the GFS also wants the MJO to jump in Phase 1, 2, and 3.
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Don’t know why y’all still check on the new GFS… several here and elsewhere have told you it’s worthless versus the others when it comes to accuracy
1 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
The Direct Weather guy on YouTube is the worst lol I just watched his latest video and he’s telling everyone now that it looks like the cold isn’t coming.
0 likes
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ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:The Direct Weather guy on YouTube is the worst lol I just watched his latest video and he’s telling everyone now that it looks like the cold isn’t coming.
Kid in his basement that thinks he’s smart because he can read the GFS on TT?
2 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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texas1836
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 223
- Age: 53
- Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 10:10 am
- Location: Ruidoso, New Mexico
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Cpv17 wrote:The Direct Weather guy on YouTube is the worst lol I just watched his latest video and he’s telling everyone now that it looks like the cold isn’t coming.
That guy is worthless!!!
0 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:Cpv17 wrote:The Direct Weather guy on YouTube is the worst lol I just watched his latest video and he’s telling everyone now that it looks like the cold isn’t coming.
Kid in his basement that thinks he’s smart because he can read the GFS on TT?
Lol yeah. I have no clue what some people are seeing. Basically every sign is pointing towards a cold outbreak.
0 likes
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texas1836
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 223
- Age: 53
- Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 10:10 am
- Location: Ruidoso, New Mexico
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Iceresistance wrote:harp wrote:What does this mean? Meanwhile, the GFS operational remains defiant…
GFS tries the omega snowstorm in New Mexico and Texas.
Yeah, the GFS also wants the MJO to jump in Phase 1, 2, and 3.
I moved from McKinney to Ruidoso NM recently, and I can't make heads or tails up here using the GFS.
I work remote for a landscape maintenance company in the North Texas area. As part of the remote deal I still have to be the company weather guy. Storm2K, you all, are in my tool bag, so thanks.
5 likes
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ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1398
- Age: 41
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
texas1836 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:harp wrote:What does this mean? Meanwhile, the GFS operational remains defiant…
GFS tries the omega snowstorm in New Mexico and Texas.
Yeah, the GFS also wants the MJO to jump in Phase 1, 2, and 3.
I moved from McKinney to Ruidoso NM recently, and I can't make heads or tails up here using the GFS.
I work remote for a landscape maintenance company in the North Texas area. As part of the remote deal I still have to be the company weather guy. Storm2K, you all, are in my tool bag, so thanks.
I've learned more from here the last 11 years, than I have from a textbook or blog post. I rarely watch models surface output now. I try to do it the old fashioned way as much as possible.
5 likes
#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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South Texas Storms
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4003
- Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023
Most of the model guidance outside of the GFS continues to indicate well below normal temperatures returning during the 7-14 day time period. Confidence is pretty high for that far out that our warm pattern will be coming to an end by late next week.
9 likes
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