Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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MGC
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#681 Postby MGC » Sat Dec 10, 2022 11:33 am

Look to Siberia for extreme cold. That cross polar flow.....brrrr. Lets hope the real cold stays in Russia...... MGC
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#682 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Dec 10, 2022 11:38 am

MGC wrote:Look to Siberia for extreme cold. That cross polar flow.....brrrr. Lets hope the real cold stays in Russia...... MGC


Naw. I’d take the real cold after the last 9 days of absolute hell.
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#NeverSummer

I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#683 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Dec 10, 2022 11:44 am

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
MGC wrote:Look to Siberia for extreme cold. That cross polar flow.....brrrr. Lets hope the real cold stays in Russia...... MGC


Naw. I’d take the real cold after the last 9 days of absolute hell.

Before we return to cold and rid the area of humidity, we do have two solid rain chances today and Tuesday. Then I don't want to see 70s again until March.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#684 Postby MGC » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:11 pm

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:
MGC wrote:Look to Siberia for extreme cold. That cross polar flow.....brrrr. Lets hope the real cold stays in Russia...... MGC


Naw. I’d take the real cold after the last 9 days of absolute hell.


This humidity is nothing....think back to August. I'm enjoying the warmth. Just got back from a month in Reno, cold and snow on the ground the whole time I was there.....MGC
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#685 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:20 pm

Man, that 12 GFS run is a thing of beauty. May it be so.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#686 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:21 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Man, that 12 GFS run is a thing of beauty. May it be so.

Soon, the 18z is going to make it crazier! (My prediction)
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#687 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:29 pm

James Spann just posted that cross-polar flow will set up setting the stage for a cold Christmas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#688 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:42 pm

Until Wxman57 books his flight to South America I'm not getting my hopes up.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#689 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:44 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Until Wxman57 books his flight to South America I'm not getting my hopes up.

He won't book a flight until the Cold Air is over me and DFW.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#690 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:56 pm

While not the high counts in January and February, Juniper (the mountain cedar hatred) is the main allergen in the count. Any warm winter day is hellish extra for me in that regard, need any kind of wind direction out of the north. The more the better.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#691 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:57 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Until Wxman57 books his flight to South America I'm not getting my hopes up.


I think he doesn’t really bite till he’s 100% certain the cold is coming and then he’ll switch to his other personality and become the cold miser from time to time lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#692 Postby Brent » Sat Dec 10, 2022 12:58 pm

Nothing is etched in stone obviously but I'm pretty sure it's not gonna be 80 on Christmas anywhere nearby this year :lol: whether it's actually really cold or not is the real question
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#693 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:05 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:Until Wxman57 books his flight to South America I'm not getting my hopes up.


I think he doesn’t really bite till he’s 100% certain the cold is coming and then he’ll switch to his other personality and become the cold miser from time to time lol

Or he runs away!
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#694 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:27 pm

We learned the hard way (or didn’t since we never got one) to get a snow shovel. Back in Kansas you can get all your winter needs even in Walgreens. Here it’s hard to find it even in Home Depot. So off to Amazon today. Not going to risk it. Better to be prepared and not need it.
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#695 Postby orangeblood » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:35 pm

Lol GFS Op is clueless, just look at its MJO forecast from last night

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#696 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:38 pm

Really like the Canadian ENS and its handling of the upcoming pattern flip to cold. The first shot next weekend looks to have some punch behind it and then you get the second colder shot in the lead up to Christmas. I think it has a much better handle on what lies ahead.

Image

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#697 Postby WacoWx » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:46 pm

Hail returns on radar in Dallas. These storms are popping up quickly!
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#698 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Dec 10, 2022 1:48 pm

WacoWx wrote:Hail returns on radar in Dallas. These storms are popping up quickly!

Yep. Getting a heavy downpour at work right now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#699 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sat Dec 10, 2022 2:24 pm

That setup is incredible on the GFS. Oh boy. Going to be a wild week on the forums.
How did the CMC handle temps for Feb ‘21? The GFS is not doing well, currently.

Also, I will be driving from my current home in Denver to Galveston on Friday to visit my mom and go hunting till the 22nd. Whatever happens down there, I’ll be experiencing with you guys.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#700 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Dec 10, 2022 2:29 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:That setup is incredible on the GFS. Oh boy. Going to be a wild week on the forums.
How did the CMC handle temps for Feb ‘21? The GFS is not doing well, currently.

Also, I will be driving from my current home in Denver to Galveston on Friday to visit my mom and go hunting till the 22nd. Whatever happens down there, I’ll be experiencing with you guys.

The CMC did well, but had some issues with it's cold bias with way too temperatures and also had a somewhat dry tendency on the moisture.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!


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