Texas Winter 2022-2023

[EnnisTx]

Seems they think Dallas will be above freezing. No warning for Dallas.

No, just that Dallas will be more sleet than rain, but this could all change.

[Ntxw]

Yeah this is going to transition from somewhat exciting to lets hope your power stays on.

[WinterMax]

NWS-Norman, I may be out of school even on Friday because of Power Outages!

https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png
https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png

Looks like your area will be mostly dry until 4or 5 pm tomorrow, except for some flurries. But at your location you may get snow showers tomorrow evening. That would be my choice. Good luck bro.

#SchoolsOutForever Lol

[rwfromkansas]

Oops I didn’t think about the warning to the east just oh Dallas isn’t in it.

I’ve enjoyed the sleet. It’s snow-ish. I will not enjoy freezing rain.

Because even with buried lines power eventually gets iffy.

[WinterMax]

I think for you guys up around Denison/Sherman, tomorrow afternoon could get interesting again. Shout out to my friends at Holiday Inn Express Denison, my old stomping grounds for suitcase jobs.

[harp]

NWS-Norman, I may be out of school even on Friday because of Power Outages!

https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png
https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png

Looks like your area will be mostly dry until 4or 5 pm tomorrow, except for some flurries. But at your location you may get snow showers tomorrow evening. That would be my choice. Good luck bro.

#SchoolsOutForever Lol

What’s your temp over dere in Ville Platte? We still dripping in the 70’s here in Jefferson parish.

[Ralph's Weather]

Turned to mostly sleet in Lindale

[WinterMax]

NWS-Norman, I may be out of school even on Friday because of Power Outages!

https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png
https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png

Looks like your area will be mostly dry until 4or 5 pm tomorrow, except for some flurries. But at your location you may get snow showers tomorrow evening. That would be my choice. Good luck bro.

#SchoolsOutForever Lol

What’s your temp over dere in Ville Platte? We still dripping in the 70’s here in Jefferson parish.

43 last check down from a high of 50 this morning, with a light mist. It feels eerily like a winter storm, without the ice lol. I think this will likely be our last hurrah. “Missed it by ———-that much” haha.

[bubba hotep]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

[Gotwood]

Yeah this is going to transition from somewhat exciting to lets hope your power stays on.

I will keep everyone updated I am doing damage evaluation with Oncor.

[cstrunk]

Temp rose to 36F today. It has since fallen back to 33.1F. Still right on the edge.

[gboudx]

NWS-Norman, I may be out of school even on Friday because of Power Outages!

https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png
https://s3.gifyu.com/images/Uh-oh.png

Looks like your area will be mostly dry until 4or 5 pm tomorrow, except for some flurries. But at your location you may get snow showers tomorrow evening. That would be my choice. Good luck bro.

#SchoolsOutForever Lol

What’s your temp over dere in Ville Platte? We still dripping in the 70’s here in Jefferson parish.

Where are you in the JP? I grew up in Harvey.

[orangeblood]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

Considering the FW office is chasing temps and always 2-3 Deg F behind, probably during overnight shift! Way too reliant on computer forecasting these days....

Been tracking the WRF models handling of temps, it seems to have the best grasp within Texas. Here are its temp at 6pm tomorrow



HRRR at same time


Just this slight difference will make a big difference with Ice accretion

[Ntxw]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

Playing it safe with probabilities. But judging by area temps everyone is about the 24-28 range. Everyone should expect the same results.

[Ntxw]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

Considering the FW office is chasing temps and always 2-3 Deg F behind, probably during overnight shift! Way too reliant on computer forecasting these days....

Been tracking the WRF models handling of temps, it seems to have the best grasp. Here are its temp at 6pm tomorrow

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ncep-wrf-arw-conus/tx/t2m_f/1675166400/1675296000-BLtafRXepD4.png

HRRR at same time
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hrrr/tx/t2m_f/1675188000/1675296000-IQFLz64umeA.png

Just this slight difference will make a big difference with Ice accretion

The eastern zones are also the more impactful ones too. The amount of big, heavy trees from west to east is noticeable if you ever drive across the DFW metro.

[txtwister78]

No major changes for SC TX region. Winter Storm Warning continues until Thursday morning with surrounding counties under an advisory.

 https://twitter.com/iembot_ewx/status/1620526042392981504

[orangeblood]

Also, notice what the HRRR is showing under the ULL Thursday...

[harp]

Looks like your area will be mostly dry until 4or 5 pm tomorrow, except for some flurries. But at your location you may get snow showers tomorrow evening. That would be my choice. Good luck bro.

#SchoolsOutForever Lol

What’s your temp over dere in Ville Platte? We still dripping in the 70’s here in Jefferson parish.

Where are you in the JP? I grew up in Harvey.

Harahan

[Gotwood]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

Considering the FW office is chasing temps and always 2-3 Deg F behind, probably during overnight shift! Way too reliant on computer forecasting these days....

Been tracking the WRF models handling of temps, it seems to have the best grasp within Texas. Here are its temp at 6pm tomorrow

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ncep-wrf-arw-conus/tx/t2m_f/1675166400/1675296000-BLtafRXepD4.png

HRRR at same time
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hrrr/tx/t2m_f/1675188000/1675296000-IQFLz64umeA.png

Just this slight difference will make a big difference with Ice accretion

If it’s still 26 it might be all sleet In the areas they just placed under ice storm warning.

[Ralph's Weather]

How long until the Ice SW is expanded?

Considering the FW office is chasing temps and always 2-3 Deg F behind, probably during overnight shift! Way too reliant on computer forecasting these days....

Been tracking the WRF models handling of temps, it seems to have the best grasp within Texas. Here are its temp at 6pm tomorrow

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ncep-wrf-arw-conus/tx/t2m_f/1675166400/1675296000-BLtafRXepD4.png

HRRR at same time
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hrrr/tx/t2m_f/1675188000/1675296000-IQFLz64umeA.png

Just this slight difference will make a big difference with Ice accretion

HRRR keeps trying to warm us too quickly. Combine WRF type temps with QPF of other models and NE TX will be in trouble also.