C/S TX Weather: Seasonal with some rains

[Shoshana]

We went to Dallas for the fair Friday and the weather was perfect!

Any idea if the remains of Hurricane Rick will eventually soak us?

[Portastorm]

We went to Dallas for the fair Friday and the weather was perfect!

Any idea if the remains of Hurricane Rick will eventually soak us?

The majority of NWSFOs in Texas are saying the bulk of the moisture will indeed flow over our state later this coming week. We have a trough/frontal system blowing through Wednesday night and then "Rick" or whatever is left of him will move over us late this week potentially causing lots of overruning rains.

Something to watch for sure.

[somethingfunny]

We went to Dallas for the fair Friday and the weather was perfect!

Any idea if the remains of Hurricane Rick will eventually soak us?

The majority of NWSFOs in Texas are saying the bulk of the moisture will indeed flow over our state later this coming week. We have a trough/frontal system blowing through Wednesday night and then "Rick" or whatever is left of him will move over us late this week potentially causing lots of overruning rains.

Something to watch for sure.

Ft. Worth NWS mentioned last night that "Pacific moisture" - didn't mention Rick by name - was now expected to come in farther south than before and they removed the low POPs from the southern counties' forecasts. So it's looking to be more of an event for Austin and points southward. (That's good, you guys still aren't out of the drought!)

[Portastorm]

Wednesday looks like it will be an "active" one around these parts ... then clearing and perhaps another fabulous, Chamber of Commerce weekend. Nice!!

-----------------
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
342 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2009

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-200900-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
342 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2009

...COLD FRONT EXPECTED WEDNSDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

A COLD FRONT WILL BE ENTERING THE HILL COUNTRY LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND WILL REACH THE TEXAS COAST BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
AS THE FRONT INTERACTS WITH GULF MOISTURE AND SOME MOISTURE FROM
THE REMNANTS OF PACIFIC HURRICANE RICK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 WITH ONE INCH AMOUNTS
LIKELY. RAINFALL TOTALS NEARING TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF I-10 AND EAST OF I-37.

THE CORE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM HURRICANE RICK WILL MOVE ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON THE
NORTHERN FRINGE OF THIS SYSTEM. AS A RESULT...SCATTERED ELEVATED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS WILL END ACROSS
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.

[Portastorm]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
354 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2009

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-220300-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...GEORGETOWN...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO...SAN MARCOS...AUSTIN...BASTROP...GIDDINGS...
BRACKETTVILLE...UVALDE...HONDO...SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...
SEGUIN...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...EAGLE PASS...CRYSTAL CITY...
PEARSALL...PLEASANTON...FLORESVILLE...KARNES CITY...GONZALES...
CUERO...HALLETTSVILLE...CARRIZO SPRINGS
354 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2009

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

THE UPPER LEVEL REMNANTS AND TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
FORMER EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE RICK WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL INTERACT WITH
A SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
THIS WILL CREATE A TROPIC-LIKE AIRMASS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 3 INCHES OR SO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY EAST OF A JUNCTION TO CARRIZO SPRINGS LINE.
THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE IN THE URBAN AREAS OF AUSTIN AND SAN
ANTONIO WHERE RUNOFF WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRIEFLY FLOOD
CREEKS...STREET INTERSECTIONS...CULVERTS AND HIGHWAY UNDERPASSES.

THE RAINS WILL END WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT LEADING
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS LATER ON THURSDAY INTO THIS WEEKEND.

[srainhoutx]

From Nesdis...

ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-OKZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 10/21/09 2254Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-2232Z CW
.
LOCATION...TEXAS...S OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...CRP...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...INCREASING RAINFALL RATES ACROSS TX/OK
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RAINFALL RATES INCREASING AHEAD OF
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AS THE ENERGY FROM THE REMNANTS OF RICK BEGINS
TO CROSS E OF THE RIO GRANDE. CLOUD TOP COOLING HAS BEEN NOTED OVER
THE PAST 2 HRS ACROSS SRN AND ERN TX AND WITH NEAR 2.0" PWS ACROSS
THE REGION...HVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SETUP ACROSS SRN AND ERN TX
THIS EVENING. AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINS LIKELY TO OCCUR INVOF KCOT (TX)
NNEWD TO AROUND KTUL OVER THE NEXT 6 HRS..

A S/WV SEEN ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE UL LOW OVER NM...IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO BE A FACTOR IN THE HVY RAINS ACROSS TX/OK THIS EVENING.
THIS S/WV WILL ROTATE EWD ACROSS TX PANHANDLE AND CENTRAL TX THIS
EVENING...AND IN COMBINATION WITH THE ENERGY AND INCREASED UL DIVERGENCE
FROM REMNANTS OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 1-2"
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS THROUGH 12Z (SEE HPC QPF GRAPHIC).
.
ATTM...BATCH OF HVY RAINS ARE FALLING ACROSS
BEXAR...COMAL...BLANCO... HAYS...BURNET AND TRAVIS COUNTIES IN SRN TX.
RAINFALL RATES ARE LIKELY IN EXCESS OF 1.0"/HR. BATCH OF HVY RAINS ARE
SLOWLY TRACKING NEWD.

[vbhoutex]

From HPC:

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
911 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2009

...VALID 03Z THU OCT 22 2009 - 00Z FRI OCT 23 2009...
...REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHIC UNDER...DAY 1 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...


SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FFG TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 WNW GLE 10 SSW ADH 25 WNW MLC MLC 35 ESE AQR 10 NW SLR
10 SW CRS 20 ESE PWG 10 N GTU BMQ 30 SSE BWD 25 N 7F9 20 ENE RPH
20 WNW 1F9 30 WNW GLE.


THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINS OVR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
TX FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WHERE THE INTERACTION OF CNVCTV
CELLS COULD RESULT IN INTENSE RNFL RATES OVR LOCALIZED AREAS.
COMBO OF STG MID LVL DYNAMICS..FAVORABLE UPR JET DYNAMICS..FNTL
CNVGNC AND A VRY MOIST AMS PER PWS NEAR 2.00 INCHES WILL SUPPORT
THE ACTVTY. AMTS OF 1.00 TO 2.00 INCHES IN AN HOUR OR SO AND/OR
AMTS APCHG 3.00 TO 4.00 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR STORM TOTALS IN
THE OUTLOOK AREA.


...SERN TX NEWD THRU LWR MS VLY...

MEANWHILE...REMNANTS OF RICK WILL ADVANCE RAPIDLY NEWD AND ITS
INTERACTION WITH THE FRONTAL BAND COULD RESULT IN A STRIPE OF VERY
HVY RAINS FM SERN TX NEWD THRU THE LWR MS VLY DURING THE DAY TMW.
ECMWF AND CMC MODELS STGLY SUPPORTIVE OF THIS SCENARIO AND THE
VERY HI PWS AND STG NWD MSTR FLUX IN PLACE THERE ARE ALSO
IMPRESSIVE. HOWEVER FFG NUMBERS ARE VERY HIGH SUGGESTING LIMITED
THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE RAINS. COULD SEE QUICK 2.00 INCH RNFL TOTALS
HERE WITH 3.00 TO 4.00 INCHES FOR STORM TOTALS BEING POSSIBLE.

KORTY

[Portastorm]

Flash Flood Watch
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
823 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INTERACT WITH A MOIST AIRMASS FLOWING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
GULF. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING...THEN BECOME NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY
BEFORE TAPERING OFF MONDAY NIGHT. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. THIS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING.

TXC013-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-149-177-187-209-255-259-285-
287-453-491-493-261100-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0010.091026T0900Z-091027T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATASCOSA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT-
FAYETTE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-KENDALL-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS-
WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BASTROP...SAN ANTONIO...
BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...CUERO...LA GRANGE...
GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...BOERNE...
HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS...AUSTIN...GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE
823 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT MONDAY
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...ATASCOSA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...
CALDWELL...COMAL...DEWITT...FAYETTE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...
HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON
AND WILSON.

* FROM 4 AM CDT MONDAY THROUGH 7 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING

* AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INTERACT WITH A MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE AREA. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING...THEN
BECOME NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE MORNING
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 4 INCHES OR MORE CAN
BE EXPECTED. THESE RAINS WILL FALL ACROSS AREAS THAT RECEIVED
HEAVY RAINS LAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. DUE TO THE
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS...THIS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
FLASH FLOODING.

[Portastorm]

Wow ... what a difference a day makes in the weather. At 8:30 this Monday morning, we have moderate rain falling and being whipped around by a stout north wind. Temps dropped from the low 70s at midnight and are now in the mid to upper 50s.

But nobody here is complaining, believe me!

[Shoshana]

*shiver* 53F here at noon. And cold a (thankfully) wet. Had to push the pup off the patio so she's do her business....

We are getting weeds we usually see in March. How confused are they?

[Portastorm]

We received about 2.3 inches of rain between 4 a.m. and 7 p.m. yesterday (Monday). Looks like this next system on Thursday could be equally as wet!

[Shoshana]

We got 2.6" of rain Monday.

[Portastorm]

Here's a Special Weather Statement issued this (Wed) morning by NWSFO New Braunfels:

...A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN IS COMING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKING ON
THURSDAY. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP MAINLY
ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM KERRVILLE TO SAN ANTONIO TO VICTORIA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION...BRIEF PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281. RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS METRO AREAS AS WELL
AS CREEKS... STREAMS...STREET INTERSECTIONS...CULVERTS AND HIGHWAY
UNDERPASSES.

CLOUDY...COOLER...AND WET CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR FRIDAY BUT
ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH
NEAR NORMAL HIGHS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL LOWS ARE
FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS AND A GRADUAL WARMING
TREND IS IN STORE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

[Portastorm]

We picked up another 2 inches of rain in the last day or so as we head into Thanksgiving week. There's something we can be THANKFUL for!

[Portastorm]

Western parts of the EWX CWA still will be seeing some copious tropical moisture the next few days while the rest of us have diurnally driven scattered convection. Lots of rain over the Rio Grande out near Del Rio and that ought to create some healthy levels downstream. In their morning AFD, EWX said we'll be on the wet side of an inverted trough late this week so more rains.

[Portastorm]

Incidentally for any of you folks in my area of the state (central and south central Texas), here is a link to a nifty website developed by a former Austin TV on-air met, Mike Clay:

http://www.centraltexaszoomradar.com/

Mike is now an on-air met in Florida but keeps his ties to native Texas strong.

[Portastorm]

000
WGUS64 KEWX 081047
FFAEWX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
547 AM CDT THU JUL 8 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUED FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING...

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO OR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
HOWEVER...TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL INDUCED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INLAND FROM THE COAST THIS
MORNING CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SOILS OVER MOST OF THESE
AREAS ARE SATURATED AFTER COPIOUS RAINFALL AMOUNTS LEFT BEHIND
FROM FORMER HURRICANE ALEX LAST WEEK. ESTIMATED 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER ISOLATED SPOTS.


TXC013-019-021-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-137-149-163-171-177-
187-209-255-259-265-271-285-287-299-323-325-385-453-463-465-491-
493-507-081915-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-100709T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-
DEWITT-DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-
HAYS-KARNES-KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-
REAL-TRAVIS-UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLEASANTON...BANDERA...BASTROP...
SAN ANTONIO...BLANCO...BURNET...LOCKHART...NEW BRAUNFELS...
CUERO...CARRIZO SPRINGS...ROCKSPRINGS...LA GRANGE...PEARSALL...
FREDERICKSBURG...GONZALES...SEGUIN...SAN MARCOS...KARNES CITY...
BOERNE...KERRVILLE...BRACKETTVILLE...HALLETTSVILLE...GIDDINGS...
LLANO...EAGLE PASS...HONDO...LEAKEY...AUSTIN...UVALDE...DEL RIO...
GEORGETOWN...FLORESVILLE...CRYSTAL CITY
547 AM CDT THU JUL 8 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...ATASCOSA...
BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...
COMAL...DEWITT...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FAYETTE...FRIO...
GILLESPIE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...KENDALL...
KERR...KINNEY...LAVACA...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...
REAL...TRAVIS...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND
ZAVALA.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO OR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM BONNIE IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY.
HOWEVER...TROPICAL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL INDUCED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INLAND FROM THE COAST THIS
MORNING CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.SOILS OVER
MOST OF THESE AREAS ARE SATURATED AFTER COPIOUS RAINFALL AMOUNTS
LEFT BEHIND FROM FORMER HURRICANE ALEX LAST WEEK. ESTIMATED 4 TO
8 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
ISOLATED SPOTS.

* DUE TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINS SO FAR THIS SUMMER...RESIDENTS AND
VISITOR PLANNING TO BE NEAR LARGER STREAMS AND RIVERS SHOULD
BE PREPARED FOR RIVER RISES THAT RESPOND FASTER THAN USUAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR
THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...PLAN NOW FOR WHAT
YOU WILL DO IF FLASH FLOODING DEVELOPS. STAY INFORMED AND BE
READY TO ACT IF YOU SEE FLOODING OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS
ISSUED.

&&

$$

[Portastorm]

Looks like we're finally drying out here in south central and central Texas. It will be a nice respite although it has been beneficial to receive the 5-10 inches of rain the area has seen in the last two weeks (since about June 26th).

[Portastorm]

Looks like the early to middle part of this next week will be wet thanks to yet another TUTT low ... to be followed by building high pressure from the Bermuda High. Here is Saturday's morning's AFD out of NWS Austin/San Antonio:

DISCUSSION...
TUTT LOW OVER THE NW GULF CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD THIS MORNING
WITH DRIER AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN CWA AHEAD OF THE TUTT.
A FEW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN CWA WHERE AIRMASS REMAINS
MOIST WITH PW`S NEAR 2 INCHES. WILL CONTINUE ISOLATED MORNING
SHOWERS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA THIS MORNING...AND NEAR
THE RIO GRANDE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW SEA BREEZE SHOWERS ALSO
POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE TUTT MOVES
INTO THE MIDDLE TX COAST. THE TUTT WILL SLOW AND MOVE INTO S
CENTRAL TX TONIGHT AND LINGER OVER NW TX MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN INCREASED RAIN CHANCES STARTING SUNDAY INTO MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK ASA DEEP TROPICAL TAP OF MOISTURE PUMPS INTO S TX AND ON
THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS PATTERN WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH BETTER
CHANCES OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE A
BIT DEEPER.

BY LATE NEXT WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...IT APPEARS THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL LOWER RAIN
CHANCES AND INCREASE MAX TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD...AS WE HEAD INTO THE CLIMATOLOGICAL HOTTEST
PART OF THE YEAR.

[Portastorm]

Looks like a more typical summer pattern is upon us. Triple-digit high temps progged for the first week of August for central and south-central Texas. Kinda amazing that we've yet to hit 100 here in AUS. I believe that won't last much longer.