If only...
MONDAY IS SHAPING UP TO BE ONE OF THOSE COLD RAINY DAYS. THE
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA. BY MONDAY...THE
ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE PRETTY SATURATED...SO I DO EXPECT RAIN TO
FALL ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. IN ADDITION TO DEALING WITH
THE COLD RAIN...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE DEVELOPING OVER
THE AREA WHICH WILL INCREASE WINDS TO A STEADY 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE.
AS PREVIOUSLY DISCUSSED...
THIS TYPE OF WEATHER PATTERN WHERE AN
UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW IN COMBINATION WITH A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR SNOW FALL.
HOWEVER...THIS STILL DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WILL HAPPEN...AT LEAST
FOR US. THE ONLY THING THAT I CAN SEE HAPPENING IS A FEW REPORTS
OF SLEET...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE SET UP IS
THERE FOR SNOW...BUT THE COLD TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE ARE
JUST NOT THERE.
IF THIS SET UP OCCURS LATE IN DECEMBER OR IN
JANUARY...THEN THINGS WOULD BE COMPLETELY DIFFERENT. THE ONLY
THING THAT WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY ON MONDAY IS HOW
EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE DRY LAYER IS RAIN MOVES
ACROSS IT. I DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH RAIN TO COOL OFF
TEMPS TO NEAR FREEZING...BUT JUST IN CASE...WE WILL KEEP WATCHING
THINGS CLOSELY.
