Texas Fall 2022

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#241 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 30, 2022 10:11 pm

Monthly SOI average for September is at 18.89, highest since May.

Fall is likely going to be a scorcher. :x
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#242 Postby Ntxw » Sat Oct 01, 2022 11:13 am

Pretty stable weather to continue. Looks about average to maybe a couple degrees above.

One third year analog year is 2000. Back then early October flipped dramatically from the record heat in September. After some hot opening days to October a complete reversal occurred the second week of October with record low max days (50s) and lows around 40 for a couple for DFW. I don't think we will see that kind of flip this year, it would already be on the radar. We'll probably ride this pattern through November at least the first half.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#243 Postby dpep4 » Sat Oct 01, 2022 4:03 pm

Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#244 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Oct 01, 2022 4:21 pm

dpep4 wrote:Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL


We need the rain to keep away the drought. That is the only thing that is preventing the perfect weather is the drought.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#245 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Oct 01, 2022 4:35 pm

I’m loving the weather. Not too hot or cool. I can wait on cold until mid-November with weather like this. Just need a little rain.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#246 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Oct 01, 2022 5:59 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
dpep4 wrote:Near perfect weather the last few days in DFW. The only persons I've heard or seen complain about it are on this board. LOL


We need the rain to keep away the drought. That is the only thing that is preventing the perfect weather is the drought.


Yeah we need rain. It’s especially bad in Oklahoma right now.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#247 Postby SoupBone » Sat Oct 01, 2022 7:05 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:I’m loving the weather. Not too hot or cool. I can wait on cold until mid-November with weather like this. Just need a little rain.


I would like upper 70's as highs but I do like the upper 50's in the morning. I hope it stays like this for a while, but I already see the low 90's creeping back.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#248 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:07 am

If the 6z gfs is correct, we could see some rain chances come back into the picture in about 10-11 days. Honestly looks kind of like a severe weather setup to me, but it’s still so far out. If future runs keep this pattern maybe it’s something to watch
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#249 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:27 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:If the 6z gfs is correct, we could see some rain chances come back into the picture in about 10-11 days. Honestly looks kind of like a severe weather setup to me, but it’s still so far out. If future runs keep this pattern maybe it’s something to watch


We're mostly having dry fronts in the next 5-7 days though, at least we won't reach the 100s again, hopefully.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#250 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Oct 02, 2022 10:38 am

I just looked at how much I'm below normal on rainfall YTD, it's awful.

My area is 12-13 inches below normal. :(
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#251 Postby Ntxw » Sun Oct 02, 2022 1:06 pm

Latest GFS and recent Euro runs build a decent cold air mass over Canada and sends a chunk this way about 10-14 days away. Would be a 'real' front and not just climo change air if true.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#252 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Oct 02, 2022 3:55 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I just looked at how much I'm below normal on rainfall YTD, it's awful.

My area is 12-13 inches below normal. :(


I’ve had 16” YTD. Normally would be between 35-40” rn.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#253 Postby Brent » Sun Oct 02, 2022 4:20 pm

I am loving this weather but yes we need a good soaking rain for awhile. I noticed earlier the creek next to my apartment has basically dried up and the Arkansas River isn't much better down the road
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#254 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Oct 02, 2022 5:08 pm

Brent wrote:I am loving this weather but yes we need a good soaking rain for awhile. I noticed earlier the creek next to my apartment has basically dried up and the Arkansas River isn't much better down the road


The Little River south of town is almost completely dried up.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#255 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Oct 03, 2022 6:43 am

KFOR is showing highs in the mid-60s next week! Maybe they and I are too hopeful for this upcoming cold front.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#256 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Oct 03, 2022 7:40 am

46 this morning!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#257 Postby cstrunk » Mon Oct 03, 2022 7:51 am

Another week of beautiful temperatures (except one 90F day) with no rain in sight.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#258 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:26 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:46 this morning!


Got down to 49°F with a wind chill (What?) of 47°F
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

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Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#259 Postby TropicalTundra » Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:37 am

Yukon Cornelius wrote:46 this morning!


Made it down to around 52 degrees in CTX.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#260 Postby Ntxw » Mon Oct 03, 2022 8:47 am

Chamber of commerce weather, great for the state fair.

FYI in a week's time average highs should be mid to upper 70s and lows mid 50s.
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