Texas Fall 2022

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harp
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1541 Postby harp » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:01 pm

Cool!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1542 Postby Ntxw » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:15 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:
harp wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:A reminder that we’ll move over to the Texas Winter 2022-2023 (https://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=22&t=122811&start=40) thread on December 1st.

In the meantime, how about this?
:spam:
Unfortunately, that’s from almost 2 weeks ago.
https://twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1593280023716401155?s=46&t=_o4-w-xKfga9ILh5eaPTtQ


True, which is why I should have added this from Eric Webb from earlier today… :D

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1597692778644852736?s=46&t=_o4-w-xKfga9ILh5eaPTtQ


To add the easy forecast is the blocking. The models are consistent. What isn't consistent is the wild shifts of troughs/ridges across the US. It will be a little while before the dust settles.

MJO keeps amplifying 6-7-8-1 and weakening passing the other phases. This just tells us seasonable favorability is out in the west Pacific. It's not that the MJO is looping, it weakens elsewhere and strengthens when constructive.

Meanwhile front is sweeping through NTX at this hour.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1543 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:44 pm

Debris ball east of Starkville, MS

Close call for captianbarbarossa19!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1544 Postby aggiecutter » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:51 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1545 Postby Itryatgolf » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:55 pm

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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1546 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:55 pm


December does look cold after all, also please look at the 12z CFS on Pivotal Weather, VERY ACTIVE late December!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1547 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 7:56 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:

Link: https://youtu.be/u_psbYi9Y9I

Fixed the video for you ;)
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1548 Postby Brent » Tue Nov 29, 2022 9:01 pm

This wind is crazy. It is hard to believe it was 70 degrees at lunch
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1549 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 9:06 pm

Brent wrote:This wind is crazy. It is hard to believe it was 70 degrees at lunch

Lawton recently had a 51 mph wind gust
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1550 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Nov 29, 2022 9:42 pm

Iceresistance wrote:

Fixed the video for you ;)


This forecast is very meh. He has Texas with above normal temps in December.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1551 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 6:17 am

Today is the last day for Meteorological Fall.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1552 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:03 am

Iceresistance wrote:Today is the last day for Meteorological Fall.


At least we’ll end it on the right note with a beautiful fall-like day!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1553 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:39 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Today is the last day for Meteorological Fall.


At least we’ll end it on the right note with a beautiful fall-like day!

Winter really wants to get going here to end the Meteorological Fall.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1554 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:05 am

Another freeze IMBY. That's 6 for the month. Wow.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1555 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:08 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Another freeze IMBY. That's 6 for the month. Wow.

It was colder than expected, my house fell to 22°F this morning

Kenton, OK fell to 6°F, with no snow cover!
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1556 Postby Ntxw » Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:45 am

DFW will finish around -1.3F below normal for November and 6.40" of rainfall well above normal. Was a chilly month!

We will see up and down temperature swings through the weekend as battle between blocking setting up to the north and ridging to the south. After that with such a strong blocking set up in place, no choice but for colder, stormy weather to set in.
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1557 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:58 am

Ntxw wrote:DFW will finish around -1.3F below normal for November and 6.40" of rainfall well above normal. Was a chilly month!

We will see up and down temperature swings through the weekend as battle between blocking setting up to the north and ridging to the south. After that with such a strong blocking set up in place, no choice but for colder, stormy weather to set in.

Yep, I'm in the Temperature Rollercoaster!

Everything is still in line for a nasty December Cold Wave with a very negative NAO and AO, the PNA is trending more towards Neutral in Mid to Late December. I've also heard that the snowpack in the Northern Hemisphere is the highest since 1967, I think that this tells Y'all that this winter has serious potential.

The CFS has recently been showing a very active Late December, yesterday's 12z had snowstorm after snowstorm starting on Christmas, and ending it with a snow depth of 1-2 feet in Oklahoma and into Missouri (I'm going to be there in Late December, this is going to be fun)
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1558 Postby starsfan65 » Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:23 pm

What is the AO and NAO index currently?
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1559 Postby Ntxw » Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:58 pm

Reminder discussion will shift to the official winter thread after midnight tonight for meteorological winter DJF! Link below.

Texas Winter Thread 2022-2023
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Re: Texas Fall 2022

#1560 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Nov 30, 2022 3:49 pm

It’s 47 and sunny in Denison. The leaves are beautiful and this is just a spectacular fall day to end the month of November on.

I love snow, cold, and winter, but fall—real fall!—is my favorite time of year. Hate to see this great month go, but then again it’s time to battle Wxman 57 and his wall, right?!? :D
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