bubba hotep wrote:00z HRRR fires some nasty cells across DFW tomorrow evening.
Interesting. I honestly ignored tomorrow completely since the risk zone is so narrow and DFW is almost not even in it.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
bubba hotep wrote:00z HRRR fires some nasty cells across DFW tomorrow evening.
bubba hotep wrote:00z HRRR fires some nasty cells across DFW tomorrow evening.
snownado wrote:bubba hotep wrote:00z HRRR fires some nasty cells across DFW tomorrow evening.
HRRR is pretty much on its own there.
All of the other models are either a fat goose egg for everyone, or delay intiation until just SE of DFW (I.E. repeat of 5/8/24).
So I mean, as interesting as the HRRR may be, I see no reason to bet against the seasonal trend.
Cpv17 wrote:snownado wrote:bubba hotep wrote:00z HRRR fires some nasty cells across DFW tomorrow evening.
HRRR is pretty much on its own there.
All of the other models are either a fat goose egg for everyone, or delay intiation until just SE of DFW (I.E. repeat of 5/8/24).
So I mean, as interesting as the HRRR may be, I see no reason to bet against the seasonal trend.
The other models usually don’t pick up on things like the HRRR does though.
snownado wrote:Cpv17 wrote:snownado wrote:
HRRR is pretty much on its own there.
All of the other models are either a fat goose egg for everyone, or delay intiation until just SE of DFW (I.E. repeat of 5/8/24).
So I mean, as interesting as the HRRR may be, I see no reason to bet against the seasonal trend.
The other models usually don’t pick up on things like the HRRR does though.
Just to clarify, I was including the other CAMs (NBM, ARW, 3km NAM, etc.) as well when I said "all of the other models."
HockeyTx82 wrote:SPC just went enhanced for DFW for today......
bubba hotep wrote:The 12z SPC HREF is pretty aggressive along the entire ENH zoned.
HockeyTx82 wrote:bubba hotep wrote:The 12z SPC HREF is pretty aggressive along the entire ENH zoned.
Why I feel this will catch people off guard today?
This one just seems like a sleeper with potential to really fire off.
It's the hail and wind threat I'm worried about, not so much a tornado.
bubba hotep wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:bubba hotep wrote:The 12z SPC HREF is pretty aggressive along the entire ENH zoned.
Why I feel this will catch people off guard today?
This one just seems like a sleeper with potential to really fire off.
It's the hail and wind threat I'm worried about, not so much a tornado.
The hail threat looks to be high-end if storms can get going.
snownado wrote:With the excessive rainfall we've seen, the elevated dewpoints should be no surprise.
The bigger concern should be thus far, the wet soils have not worked to keep temps in check (nothing extreme yet due in part to all of the cloud cover, but it's been consistently above-normal with fairly efficient heating when there are breaks in the clouds), despite what some have been hoping for...
Ntxw wrote:snownado wrote:With the excessive rainfall we've seen, the elevated dewpoints should be no surprise.
The bigger concern should be thus far, the wet soils have not worked to keep temps in check (nothing extreme yet due in part to all of the cloud cover, but it's been consistently above-normal with fairly efficient heating when there are breaks in the clouds), despite what some have been hoping for...
I think most of us have accepted at this point being below normal for a monthly has become a rarity, seldom more than one or two months. We are approaching mid decade (2025) and already the averages in the next cycle will be higher than the 2010s which we are consistently above. This is the numbers.
We just want to avoid the long duration heatwaves at this point.
snownado wrote:bubba hotep wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:
Why I feel this will catch people off guard today?
This one just seems like a sleeper with potential to really fire off.
It's the hail and wind threat I'm worried about, not so much a tornado.
The hail threat looks to be high-end if storms can get going.
The story of 2024 for DFW (with emphasis on the bolded).
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 26 guests