Florida Weather

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LarryWx
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Re: Florida Weather

#17641 Postby LarryWx » Fri Jun 14, 2024 8:11 am

jlauderdal wrote:
LarryWx wrote:Due to the widespread heavy rains and clouds, Key West buoy water temp dropped from 32.0C 4 days ago to 30.0C now.

We were lucky in SE Florida; the complex was winding up and hit hostile conditions as it moved east through the glades. Miami NWS Employee Sami Hadi presented a simple and effective explainer,follow him and you will learn things. 13.65 over 4 days, no problem at my house with the assistance of a pump in my pool. This morning looks interesting, less than 2 inches of rain will flood today.
https://x.com/SammyHadiWx/status/1801387469599916458

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/ ... 35&yr=2024


https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1801 ... 03706.html
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Also from Jeff:
“The linear trend of SLR along the USSEC in 2010–2022 in observations is ~10.8 mm/year, which is 3–4 times larger than that in 1920–2009 ( ~ 2.6 mm/year).’The authors attribute this to climate change, AMOC changes and internal variability in AMOC and NAO’“
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More on the accelerated SLR along the SE US:

“The rate of sea level rise (SLR) along the Southeast Coast of the U.S. increased significantly after 2010. While anthropogenic radiative forcing causes an acceleration of global mean SLR, regional changes in the rate of SLR are strongly influenced by internal variability. Here we use observations and climate models to show that the rapid increase in the rate of SLR along the U.S. Southeast Coast after 2010 is due in part to multidecadal buoyancy-driven Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variations, along with heat transport convergence from wind-driven ocean circulation changes. We show that an initialized decadal prediction system can provide skillful regional SLR predictions induced by AMOC variations 5 years in advance, while wind-driven sea level variations are predictable 2 years in advance. Our results suggest that the rate of coastal SLR and its associated flooding risk along the U.S. southeastern seaboard are potentially predictable on multiyear timescales.”

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612- ... /figures/1

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-024-00670-w
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Re: Florida Weather

#17642 Postby Nuno » Fri Jun 14, 2024 12:23 pm

Quiet morning and now training thunderstorms popping up over Dade county. Coming down heavy atm.
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HurricaneBelle
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Re: Florida Weather

#17643 Postby HurricaneBelle » Fri Jun 21, 2024 9:06 pm

Prayers to those in NE Florida affected by 92L's naked swirl.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17644 Postby psyclone » Fri Jun 21, 2024 9:40 pm

If this naked swirl lands in FL it will be our 2nd of the year since 90L made landfall in pinellas. I'm just happy to see a bit of a lightshow tonight in the bay area. We're falling behind in the thunderstorm department around here..
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Re: Florida Weather

#17645 Postby LarryWx » Sat Jun 22, 2024 12:39 pm

Key West buoy water temp is 5F cooler than it was 3.5 weeks ago thanks to the wetter pattern. It is now 29.4C/84.9F. Great news for the coral for now.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17646 Postby LarryWx » Tue Jun 25, 2024 1:19 am

The much wetter pattern vs last year at the same time has been helping immensely with keeping Key West and vicinity SSTs significantly lower. Last year June 10-24 KW buoy water averaged an astounding ~32C/89.6F thanks to the combo of drier than normal/near constant sunshine during the day/GW. This year that same period has averaged just under 30C/86.0F to the great relief of the coral.

Key West Buoy data:

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/data/realtime2/KYWF1.txt
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Re: Florida Weather

#17647 Postby HurricaneBelle » Sat Jun 29, 2024 8:19 pm

No tropical threats yet for the state but the rainy season has returned to West Central Florida after taking 2023 off and it is glorious.
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