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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 8:39 am
by DonWrk
Not a whole lot of rain being forecasted over the next week. Crazy how about 5 days ago, my area was in the 3-5 inch zone on the 7 day map and haven't gotten a drop. The cooler temps are a blessing though. As long as those heaters stay away for a good while longer.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 8:40 am
by Ntxw
Indeed deep south Texas will be hot as the heat ridge settles in Northern Mexico. But late this weekend an unusual early Summer cold front will cool most of us off, especially the northern half of the state.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 8:41 am
by Ntxw
DonWrk wrote:Not a whole lot of rain being forecasted over the next week. Crazy how about 5 days ago, my area was in the 3-5 inch zone on the 7 day map and haven't gotten a drop. The cooler temps are a blessing though. As long as those heaters stay away for a good while longer.


That's the issue when you're talking about a system that comes in from the gulf. It's usually confined better the closer you are to the coast, Gulf of Mexico.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 9:08 am
by Rgv20
Toasty Friday thru the Weekend! :cry:

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Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect Friday, with similar "feels like" temperatures expected again on Saturday. Heat advisories are issued for "feels like" temperatures between 111 and 115; the more dangerous Heat *Warning* is for values greater than 115. In simple terms, a warning means that rapid onset of heat stroke, which can be deadly, is likely for persons not hydrated properly and outdoors for a prolonged period of time. Schedule activities accordingly...and as always, stay safe and stay cool.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 11:05 am
by weatherdude1108
Rgv20 wrote:Toasty Friday thru the Weekend! :cry:

http://i67.tinypic.com/24ybcdz.png
Heat Advisories and Excessive Heat Warnings are in effect Friday, with similar "feels like" temperatures expected again on Saturday. Heat advisories are issued for "feels like" temperatures between 111 and 115; the more dangerous Heat *Warning* is for values greater than 115. In simple terms, a warning means that rapid onset of heat stroke, which can be deadly, is likely for persons not hydrated properly and outdoors for a prolonged period of time. Schedule activities accordingly...and as always, stay safe and stay cool.


That's miserable, and downright dangerous heat! :onfire: :blow: :firedevil:

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 11:30 am
by Cpv17
DonWrk wrote:Not a whole lot of rain being forecasted over the next week. Crazy how about 5 days ago, my area was in the 3-5 inch zone on the 7 day map and haven't gotten a drop. The cooler temps are a blessing though. As long as those heaters stay away for a good while longer.


Here in Wharton we were in the 2-3” zone and we got 9-13” in the area.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:23 pm
by Rgv20
Heat Index of 119! :eek:

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 4:08 pm
by DonWrk
Ntxw wrote:
DonWrk wrote:Not a whole lot of rain being forecasted over the next week. Crazy how about 5 days ago, my area was in the 3-5 inch zone on the 7 day map and haven't gotten a drop. The cooler temps are a blessing though. As long as those heaters stay away for a good while longer.


That's the issue when you're talking about a system that comes in from the gulf. It's usually confined better the closer you are to the coast, Gulf of Mexico.


I believe the system went farther north into Oklahoma. Not the system that was coming from the Gulf. Seemed like we were right in the middle of sinking air for a few straight days.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 4:35 pm
by Rgv20
Heat Index of 123! :eek: :eek:

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 5:57 pm
by Cpv17
Rgv20 wrote:Heat Index of 123! :eek: :eek:

http://i64.tinypic.com/1z5osxf.png


I don’t understand how dew points could be that high during the middle of the day like that.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 8:15 pm
by Rgv20
:uarrow: I don't recall ever seeing dew points in the 80s in the afternoon down here but Brownsville, Harlingen, and Edinburg record it and McAllen was at 79 :eek:

 https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1137110334659973120



Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 9:14 pm
by Ntxw
DonWrk wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
DonWrk wrote:Not a whole lot of rain being forecasted over the next week. Crazy how about 5 days ago, my area was in the 3-5 inch zone on the 7 day map and haven't gotten a drop. The cooler temps are a blessing though. As long as those heaters stay away for a good while longer.


That's the issue when you're talking about a system that comes in from the gulf. It's usually confined better the closer you are to the coast, Gulf of Mexico.


I believe the system went farther north into Oklahoma. Not the system that was coming from the Gulf. Seemed like we were right in the middle of sinking air for a few straight days.


A large trough like what came through usually develops precip with the high moisture content in the air. But the gulf system is what consolidated the best lift around it limited closer to it, central Texas and gulf coast. Voiding the region between the immediate trough center and gulf low.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Fri Jun 07, 2019 11:12 pm
by Brent
Rgv20 wrote:Heat Index of 123! :eek: :eek:

http://i64.tinypic.com/1z5osxf.png


that's just... beyond words :eek:

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 11:05 am
by bubba hotep
Decent east trend on the 12z models with the storms tomorrow, looks a lot better for DFW to get something out of this system.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 11:12 am
by bubba hotep
bubba hotep wrote:Decent east trend on the 12z models with the storms tomorrow, looks a lot better for DFW to get something out of this system.


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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 11:13 am
by Rgv20
Quite the Heat Wave we are having down here... :sun:

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 11:22 am
by bubba hotep
Rgv20 wrote:Quite the Heat Wave we are having down here... :sun:

http://i63.tinypic.com/20atke9.png


That is filthy!

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 3:34 pm
by jasons2k
I'm currently at 96 with a heat index of 111. Yeah, it's hot.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 8:19 pm
by bubba hotep
Upgrade to Slight for tomorrow along I35 and westward

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:11 am
by Brent
Day 1 is now enhanced for damaging wind from DFW back to the southwest, perhaps a bow echo?

At some point by early to mid afternoon, explosive convective
initiation will occur across north/central TX, either along the
southward-moving cold front or on an outflow boundary from morning
convection in OK. Very steep low- and mid-level lapse rates will be
present ahead of the front, and the potential for rapid and
efficient acceleration of convective downdrafts should be maximized
where the strongest instability will reside through at least early
evening. At least scattered damaging winds appear probable, if not
likely, from north-central TX extending westward towards the Edwards
Plateau. Given the degree of instability expected, significant wind
gusts in excess of 65 kt will be possible.