Texas Spring 2024

[bubba hotep]

These winds in DFw are nuts, blowing patio furniture all over the place.

This front means business. Only 68 for a high tomorrow.

Yeah, winds were intense!

[bubba hotep]

Decent training across the DFW area with the big airport now over 2"

[Ntxw]

Almost 2.5, may be 3" day for the airport.

[bubba hotep]

Almost 2.5, may be 3" day for the airport.

Setting a new daily record rainfall total. Also, DFW is now 1"+ above normal for the year.

[Gotwood]

The big rains missed my area to the north and the south lol. Kinda happy we didn’t have to deal with any severe weather.

[ElectricStorm]

Getting some nice rain now with occasional rumbles. Severe event never really materialized here but I'll take it, can't really expect much from an early March event, although I am slightly disappointed considering we had less morning convection than expected. Would have thought we would have seen a better line here but I guess not. Wondering if that backbuilding convection in TX in the morning restricted moisture return.

Both 5% tornado areas didn't see anything produce today and I believe that KS cell was the only tor warned cell of the day. Seemed like a pretty good structure day though. Have a chance for more non-severe storms again tomorrow but those might be pretty isolated.

[captainbarbossa19]

Hi everyone! It has been a while. I just finished a set of exams this week and spring break is about to begin so I will be heading back to Texas tomorrow. Looking at models, the setup towards the end of next week looks interesting. Both the GFS and Euro show a cutoff low forming over the Southwest towards the middle of next week with the propagation of it being key for storms towards the end of next week. Euro solution is nicer with the cutoff low being nudged further south towards Mexico. This will eject several shortwaves towards our area if this were to occur. Personally, I want to see the 12z Euro today to see if it continues the trend, but I like the overall setup. A decaying El Nino setup generally favors above-average precip totals in spring for our area so I would not be surprised to see the GFS start caving to a Euro solution.

[cstrunk]

I picked up 2.45" since it started raining before midnight. I wasn't expecting quite that much.

[Texas Snowman]

Just in case there was any doubt…

 https://x.com/mikebettes/status/1766178166391869870

[gpsnowman]

Just in case there was any doubt…

 https://x.com/mikebettes/status/1766178166391869870

You know it was a warm winter when a windy 52 degree evening in early March feels cold.

[Brent]

Just in case there was any doubt…

 https://x.com/mikebettes/status/1766178166391869870

You know it was a warm winter when a windy 52 degree evening in early March feels cold.

Yeah I've seen so many people today shocked it's cold again and it's not even really that cold for early March Tulsa's record low for the month is on Monday at -3

We've also had a foot of snow in March before

[Iceresistance]

On Pi day of all days.


https://s9.gifyu.com/images/SUhCf.png

[captainbarbossa19]

Both the Euro and GFS now show a solution of an upper-level cutoff low developing towards mid-next week near the Arizona/Mexico border. The Euro has a trough swing down from the Midwest which breaks up the low by Sunday. Meanwhile, the GFS shows a weaker trough over the Midwest which allows the cutoff low to remain organized and slowly propagate eastward resulting in a longer period of rain chances. Regardless, this setup is looking increasingly likely with model agreement of some cutoff low forming. These types of setups almost always are heavy rain producers before the event is over, especially in the spring.

[Texoz]

Just in case there was any doubt…

 https://x.com/mikebettes/status/1766178166391869870

5.4 degrees above average. Yikes.

[gpsnowman]

Just purchased some eclipse glasses from Wal Mart. Hoping now for a sunny day for a full view. On the other hand, wouldn't it be kinda cool to have an overnight thunderstorm in the early afternoon?

[cheezyWXguy]

Thursday has my attention severe weather-wise in north Texas. Quality of moisture, bulk shear, and instability look sufficient going into Thursday evening. I’m most interested to see what kinematics look like as we get closer to the event. As far as what the gfs is showing, low level winds look borderline in strength but their directionality looks favorable for storms to ingest whatever streamwise vorticity is available. If I take the gfs at face value, it looks like predominantly a hail early/wind late threat as storms would start isolated and grow upscale through the evening. Probably some isolated tornado threat, but it doesn’t jump out to me yet unless low level shear increases with future runs. Decent amount of time for things to change.

[SnowintheFalls]

So is it looking safe to open pools and de-winterize boats at this point? Doesn't seem like any hard freezes in our immediate future.

[ElectricStorm]

Thursday has my attention severe weather-wise in north Texas. Quality of moisture, bulk shear, and instability look sufficient going into Thursday evening. I’m most interested to see what kinematics look like as we get closer to the event. As far as what the gfs is showing, low level winds look borderline in strength but their directionality looks favorable for storms to ingest whatever streamwise vorticity is available. If I take the gfs at face value, it looks like predominantly a hail early/wind late threat as storms would start isolated and grow upscale through the evening. Probably some isolated tornado threat, but it doesn’t jump out to me yet unless low level shear increases with future runs. Decent amount of time for things to change.

Yeah I agree, looks like mainly a hail/wind to threat. Could also see something Wednesday I'll think we'll see a slight risk from SPC at some point

[Brent]

So is it looking safe to open pools and de-winterize boats at this point? Doesn't seem like any hard freezes in our immediate future.

Sure seems like it I mean even up here all we could manage was 32 I've seen some of the apartment pools uncovered too

[Itryatgolf]

A pretty decent trough coming south around 240hrs with the -epo turning negative. Don't sleep on that but something to watch. Late season cold blast possible