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JonathanBelles
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Wet today

#1021 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:23 am

TORNADO WARNING
FLC029-067-123-071400-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0021.080307T1319Z-080307T1400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
819 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL DIXIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
SOUTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
SOUTHEASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STEINHATCHEE...


* UNTIL 900 AM EST

* AT 817 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 26 MILES WEST OF STEINHATCHEE...MOVING EAST AT
50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DEKLE AND KEATON BEACH BY 830 AM EST...
9 MILES NORTH OF STEINHATCHEE BY 845 AM EST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NORTH
FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2973 8355 2981 8361 2982 8361 2983 8363
2993 8370 3001 8329 2976 8313 2966 8340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1319Z 259DEG 44KT 2974 8380

$$

38-GODSEY
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#1022 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:32 am

possible tornado report from earlier:

1230 CHAIRES LEON FL 3044 8412 SEVERAL HOUSES DAMAGED, TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN (TAE)
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#1023 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:36 am

Area under Tornado Warning:

Image
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Tornado Watch for North Florida

#1024 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:37 am

TORNADO WARNING
FLC029-071415-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0022.080307T1331Z-080307T1415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
831 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DIXIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CROSS CITY...

* UNTIL 915 AM EST

* AT 829 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 27 MILES WEST OF CROSS CITY...OR 16 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF STEINHATCHEE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
AT THE DIXIE COUNTY COAST NEAR ROCKY CREEK AT 840 AM EST...
CROSS CITY BY 900 AM EST...

SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE!

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NORTH
FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2951 8342 2966 8341 2969 8338 2967 8336
2969 8334 2972 8334 2978 8325 2982 8293
2959 8294 2945 8329
TIME...MOT...LOC 1331Z 246DEG 48KT 2950 8353

$$

38-GODSEY
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Re:

#1025 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:39 am

fact789 wrote:Pretty much everything expanded:

Image

Image

Image


Wow. I don't know what to say. This is going to be a long night. Where on the SPC website did you get those images anyways?
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Re: Re:

#1026 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:43 am

images omited

Evil Jeremy wrote:Wow. I don't know what to say. This is going to be a long night. Where on the SPC website did you get those images anyways?


if you click on the convective outlooks tab on the SPC page, click on the day 1 oulook, the three tabs are on the top.
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#1027 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:43 am

Image
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#1028 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:46 am

TWC says 2 fatalities from Capitola, FL (outside Tally) and one injury after 2 houses were blown off their foundations.

1225 CAPITOLA LEON FL 3045 8409 TORNADO SIGHTED AT BUCK LAKE ROAD. (TAE)

wind:
1215 UNK 5 SE TALLAHASSEE LEON FL 3039 8422 CARS WERE DAMAGED BY FURNITURE THAT WAS TOSSED AROUND OUTSIDE A STARBUCKS IN SOUTHWOOD. A POWER OUTAGE WAS ALSO REPORTED. (TAE)

1230 UNK N CAPITOLA LEON FL 3045 8409 TREES DOWN, TRAFFIC LIGHT BLOWN OFF LINE. (TAE)

1245 UNK SE CRAWFORDVILLE WAKULLA FL 3018 8437 AS MANY AS 30 TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE (TAE)
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#1029 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:48 am

ORNADO WARNING
FLC067-123-071430-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0023.080307T1344Z-080307T1430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
844 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MAYO...
EAST CENTRAL TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 930 AM EST

* AT 841 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 19 MILES WEST OF MAYO...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
PERRY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MAYO BY 905 AM EST...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NORTH
FLORIDA.
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#1030 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:50 am

Rain is marching in from the south already and the self-destructive sunshine is out here.
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#1031 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Mar 07, 2008 8:53 am

Image

Sorry but I have to go!
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Re: Re:

#1032 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:03 am

fact789 wrote:images omited

Evil Jeremy wrote:Wow. I don't know what to say. This is going to be a long night. Where on the SPC website did you get those images anyways?


if you click on the convective outlooks tab on the SPC page, click on the day 1 oulook, the three tabs are on the top.


So if I am reading this right, South Florida has about a 5% chance of having a tornado and a 15% chance of high winds?
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#1033 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:07 am

See ya Sandy

9am update from me: (none of the below is official)
Layfayette, dixe, gilcrest, levy, Alachua, and counties NE to Jacksonville need to watch this line as it does have hail signatures and straight line winds involved. I think that the farther south this line goes, the weaker it will get. All west Central Florida needs to watch the line until tonight. I think cells will develop in front of the line with the heating of the day.
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Re: Re:

#1034 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:09 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:
fact789 wrote:images omited

Evil Jeremy wrote:Wow. I don't know what to say. This is going to be a long night. Where on the SPC website did you get those images anyways?


if you click on the convective outlooks tab on the SPC page, click on the day 1 oulook, the three tabs are on the top.


So if I am reading this right, South Florida has about a 5% chance of having a tornado and a 15% chance of high winds?


Except for extreme SF yes. The chances drop off the farther south you go.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Tornado Watch for North Florida

#1035 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:12 am

Not surprising, almost all of Florida is in the "Severe Weather" circle in the latest NOAA forecast graphic. I won't be surprised to see some new Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado watches or Mesoscale Discussions issued within the next hour or so.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaa.gif
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#1036 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:14 am

report from earlier as well as a second tornado in Keaton Beach:

1306 CAPITOLA LEON FL 3045 8409 *** 2 FATAL *** TWO HOUSES WERE BLOWN OFF THEIR FOUNDATIONS ON WHITE HOUSE ROAD AND CAPITOLA ROAD. ONE PERSON IS MISSING AND THERE ARE 2 SUSPECTED FATALITIES. (TAE)

1330 KEATON BEACH TAYLOR FL 2982 8359 A HOUSE WAS DAMAGED BY A POSSIBLE TORNADO ON MARINE DRIVE AND BEACH ROAD. THE SALEM NOAA WEATHER RADIO WAS KNOCKED OFF THE AIR. POWER LINES WERE ALSO DOWNED WITH ONE PO (TAE)
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Tornado Watch for North Florida

#1037 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:18 am

TORNADO WARNING
FLC121-071445-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TO.W.0003.080307T1413Z-080307T1445Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
913 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN SUWANNEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA


* UNTIL 945 AM EST

* AT 912 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES NORTH OF
LURAVILLE...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF MAYO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LIVE
OAK.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
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#1038 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:21 am

Live Oak looks like its gonna have a very close encounter with a tornado.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Tornado Watch for North Florida

#1039 Postby dizzyfish » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:26 am

Give me your best guess as to when the weather should start to deterioate in the Tampa area.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread-Tornado Watch for North Florida

#1040 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Mar 07, 2008 9:32 am

Wind will be a threat where tornadoes arent in this one. Lake City watch out!

TORNADO WARNING
FLC023-121-071515-
/O.NEW.KJAX.TO.W.0004.080307T1425Z-080307T1515Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
925 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN SUWANNEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
COLUMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1015 AM EST

* AT 921 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR OBRIEN...OR
11 MILES NORTHWEST OF ICHETUCKNEE SPRINGS STATE PARK...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WELLBORN...COLUMBIA...SUWANNEE VALLEY...WINFIELD...LAKE CITY...
WATERTOWN AND LULU.

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3013 8246 3007 8253 3004 8253 2990 8263
3000 8294 3022 8296 3034 8272 3034 8269
3036 8268 3047 8246
TIME...MOT...LOC 1425Z 247DEG 48KT 3010 8285

$$

SANDRIK
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