Texas Fall 2023

[Stratton23]

Yeah it appears the leading edge of the colder airmass / front is progressing south much faster than most of the guidance, almost into the dfw area, global models are already a good 5-8 degrees l too warm, it will be colder than forecast! Bring it on!

I believe the secondary push of the really cold air with the reinforcing front will arrive Saturday night- early Sunday morning

[Gotwood]

Yeah it appears the leading edge of the colder airmass / front is progressing south much faster than most of the guidance, almost into the dfw area, global models are already a good 5-8 degrees l too warm, it will be colder than forecast! Bring it on!

I believe the secondary push of the really cold air with the reinforcing front will arrive Saturday night- early Sunday morning

I was thinking this earlier today however the front really hit a wall and the hourly forecast seem to lineup pretty well. I’m more interested in the rain possibility’s.

[JayDT]

Flood Watch including Dallas and Tarrant counties until tomorrow morning.. 2-4 inches of rain with isolated areas getting 6+

[Gotwood]

Flood Watch including Dallas and Tarrant counties until tomorrow morning.. 2-4 inches of rain with isolated areas getting 6+

Hope some of that pushes west.

[bubba hotep]

Flood Watch including Dallas and Tarrant counties until tomorrow morning.. 2-4 inches of rain with isolated areas getting 6+

[tajmahal]

OKC has already dropped 20 degrees... Final hours of the 70s here. I don't even see a high of 70 anytime soon

Back to 70° for Tulsa by next Friday or Saturday.

[Iceresistance]

PDS Flash Flood Warning for Dallas

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DALLAS, NORTHWESTERN KAUFMAN AND ROCKWALL
COUNTIES...

At 718 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across southwestern Dallas and Rockwall County. Between 3 and
3.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to
2 inches are possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to
begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Dallas, Garland, Mesquite, Rowlett, Desoto, Cedar Hill,
Duncanville, Rockwall, Lancaster, Balch Springs, Seagoville,
Forney, Glenn Heights, Hutchins, Royse City, Heath, Fate,
Sunnyvale, Wilmer and Ovilla.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Dangerous flash flooding is occurring or is imminent. Do not attempt
to travel unless you are fleeing flood waters. If you are in an area
subject to flooding, move to higher ground now.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 9697 3278 9670 3298 9648 3298 9647
3298 9633 3273 9645 3255 9672 3255 9686

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

[Cpv17]

PDS Flash Flood Warning for Dallas

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DALLAS, NORTHWESTERN KAUFMAN AND ROCKWALL
COUNTIES...

At 718 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across southwestern Dallas and Rockwall County. Between 3 and
3.5 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to
2 inches are possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to
begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Dallas, Garland, Mesquite, Rowlett, Desoto, Cedar Hill,
Duncanville, Rockwall, Lancaster, Balch Springs, Seagoville,
Forney, Glenn Heights, Hutchins, Royse City, Heath, Fate,
Sunnyvale, Wilmer and Ovilla.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Dangerous flash flooding is occurring or is imminent. Do not attempt
to travel unless you are fleeing flood waters. If you are in an area
subject to flooding, move to higher ground now.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3255 9697 3278 9670 3298 9648 3298 9647
3298 9633 3273 9645 3255 9672 3255 9686

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

I’m so jealous. Models took almost all the rain away from me here in southeast TX over the past few days after looking so promising for several runs in a row.

[bubba hotep]

 https://x.com/Fox4Weather/status/1718075209977090501

[Iceresistance]

OKC has already dropped 20 degrees... Final hours of the 70s here. I don't even see a high of 70 anytime soon

I do see 70s returning, but not the 80s.

[Brent]

OKC has already dropped 20 degrees... Final hours of the 70s here. I don't even see a high of 70 anytime soon

Back to 70° for Tulsa by next Friday or Saturday.

I guess we will see and it's possible but so far the warmest high then is 68.

In more current news there's definitely a chill in the air. It finally feels like Halloween I can't even imagine Sunday at this point still wonder if we might see some rogue snowflakes or sleet pellets nearby

[bubba hotep]

[Ntxw]

Love all the rain we have gotten here but need a chance to dry out and send it south some. Ready for the cold.

[bubba hotep]

Some areas down near Glen Rose are pushing 1' of rain since this rainy period started

[cstrunk]

Parts of the Dallas area have received 6-10" in the last 12 hours.

[bubba hotep]

Parts of the Dallas area have received 6-10" in the last 12 hours.

SE Dallas County got hammered

[wxman57]

6Z GFS has us a little less cold behind the front. My wall reinforcement is working. A few more layers to add...

[bubba hotep]

[utpmg]

Lake Travis up 4' now.
EWX has pushed up FROPA passage here (Austin) from Sunday evening to Sunday noon-ish.

Edit: I suppose "FROPA passage" is redundant. /pedantry

[rwfromkansas]

Up to another 1.5 inches after being dry most of the night.

Fine with me since was in the bullseye last time so 1-2 inches additional is reasonable. Don’t need another 8!