Texas Summer 2017

[srainhoutx]

Just emptied 5.11 inches out of the old rain bucket since 4:00 PM yesterday added to the previous 24 hour total of 1.83 making a total for 38 hours of 6.94 inches of rainfall in NW Harris County.

[Yukon Cornelius]

66 for a low this morning. Also, noticed another decrease in rain chances for the rest of the week.

[weatherdude1108]

I got 3.00 inches in my rain gauge from yesterday. That is the most rain in one day I have had in months.

[Tejas89]

Fog, drizzle and 70's on August 8? Whatever... enjoying it while it lasts.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Those storms meant business in the middle of the night. I escaped with only a bit over an inch. Where can i go to look at old radar archives? I want to see how it came through last night. Thank you in advance!

[weatherdude1108]

Encouraging rain outlook from the CPC:

Week 3-4 Outlook


One-Month Outlook


Three-Month Outlook

[Brent]

apparently for DFW coolest first week of August since 1997. Even 1997 hit 100 once but had days in the 70s.

tick tock fall is coming.

[Cerlin]

I'm a winter kind of guy so I rarely visit in the summer but I have been enjoying this rainy and cool August! Hoping the coolness now is a sign of things to come!

[Cpv17]

Anyone want to enlighten me on when the next decent rain event for central and SETX is forecast? I don't see anything anytime soon.

[Brent]

0z GFS DFW

16 day TOTAL PRECIP: 0 " and Convective: 0 "

Summer comes back with a vengeance. 100s as early as this weekend all through the end of the run

[Ntxw]

I hope that forecast is wrong. But if it does happen it does fit the bill of Atlantic TCs turning the playing field without effecting us

[JDawg512]

Despite the cpc outlook, it doesn't look like we will see much rain for the foreseeable future in this part of the state. Hopefully this dry spell will not be as persistent as the one through June and July. Starting to look at indicators for Autumn.

[weatherdude1108]

This is depressing.

000
FXUS64 KEWX 092003
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
303 PM CDT Wed Aug 9 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night)...
Radar continues to indicate isolated to scattered showers forming
over areas generally south of I-10 this afternoon, and coverage is
enough to warrant a pre-first period wording in the zones. Coverage
should retreat southward more significantly on Thursday as the upper
ridge axis expands southeast over Central TX.

Temps for today are on track to fall shy of previously predicted
highs, with only a few spots along/east of I-35 to see the triple
digit heat indices. This should correct closer to blended guidances
for Thursday as the upper ridge strengthens over TX and ground
moisture continues to escape into the atmosphere.

&&

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...
Medium range trends are drier and showing warmer highs in the long
range, suggesting several days of 100 to 108 heat indices. Ambient
high temperatures in the metro areas are probably just a few days
away from returning to triple digits. While a widespread solid rain
of 2-4 inches would normally add to the greenness and further slow
down the day-to-day rate of temperature increases, a lot of the
vegetation went dormant over all the hot and dry days and will
respond more slowly to the moisture. Will continue to shy away from
the idea that rain chances will enter our northern counties around
Sunday, and show only a few showers or storms over the far eastern
counties Friday and Tuesday.

[Ntxw]

Franklin going into MX seems to have signaled a change away from the cooler pattern and back to more typical August heat. It's a localized hear ridge over TX above the storm building with subsidence. While cool anomalies continue to the north.

[weatherguy425]

Franklin going into MX seems to have signaled a change away from the cooler pattern and back to more typical August heat. It's a localized hear ridge over TX above the storm building with subsidence. While cool anomalies continue to the north.

I know there was ridging along the Gulf Coast, but truly hard to get a tropical system that far south, this far north, especially this 'early' in hurricane season; August. Some signs that upcoming ridging will be fairly transient; a week or so. Also will be interesting to watch stalling frontal boundary just to the north of TX. Odds are daily convection pushes it just a bit further south that currently modeled [particularly GFS]... as happened with our last front.

[Ntxw]

Franklin going into MX seems to have signaled a change away from the cooler pattern and back to more typical August heat. It's a localized hear ridge over TX above the storm building with subsidence. While cool anomalies continue to the north.

I know there was ridging along the Gulf Coast, but truly hard to get a tropical system that far south, this far north, especially this 'early' in hurricane season; August. Some signs that upcoming ridging will be fairly transient; a week or so. Also will be interesting to watch stalling frontal boundary just to the north of TX. Odds are daily convection pushes it just a bit further south that currently modeled [particularly GFS]... as happened with our last front.

Even if the system had come through, it still likely would have signaled a pattern change since TC bring heat up from the tropics. The fact that we got little rain from it and likely subsidence now doesn't help. That's the card usually dealt with when looking at the Atlantic, it just doesn't benefit us often times opposite unless you are east of the Mississippi or if you get a direct landfall for rains

[weatherguy425]

Franklin going into MX seems to have signaled a change away from the cooler pattern and back to more typical August heat. It's a localized hear ridge over TX above the storm building with subsidence. While cool anomalies continue to the north.

I know there was ridging along the Gulf Coast, but truly hard to get a tropical system that far south, this far north, especially this 'early' in hurricane season; August. Some signs that upcoming ridging will be fairly transient; a week or so. Also will be interesting to watch stalling frontal boundary just to the north of TX. Odds are daily convection pushes it just a bit further south that currently modeled [particularly GFS]... as happened with our last front.

Even if the system had come through, it still likely would have signaled a pattern change since TC bring heat up from the tropics. The fact that we got little rain from it and likely subsidence now doesn't help. That's the card usually dealt with when looking at the Atlantic, it just doesn't benefit us often times opposite unless you are east of the Mississippi or if you get a direct landfall for rains

Totally get what you're saying. But, subsidence from a tropical system is something that can be tracked and is 9/10 could nfined to a certain place and distance away from a system. Ridging contributed to it landfalling south, rather than Franklin pumping up ridging. In fact, coastal PWATS may briefly rise as SE flow resumes.

[Portastorm]

Here's all you need to know about the next week or so in Texas weather:

The large upper ridge is expected to anchor over TX through the next
10 days.
-- NWSFO Austin/San Antonio, 8/10 afternoon forecast discussion

[Cpv17]

We're about to be in the frying pan for a while. CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day forecast do not look good.

[gpsnowman]

Yep, slow traffic in the summer thread is never a good thing. On a happier note, in about a week the averages start to decline until January. Baby steps.