Texas Fall 2019

[weatherdude1108]

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
221 PM CDT Thu Oct 31 2019

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Friday Night)...
It is a cool and pleasant afternoon with only some high clouds
overhead. North winds are slowly weakening with an occasional gust,
and should continue on this pattern this evening. For trick or
treaters this evening, expect temperatures to be in the upper 40s to
low 50s and a light breeze. Overnight tonight, we should see even
colder temperatures, as clear skies, dry air, and light wind set us
up for effective radiational cooling. Many will see temperatures drop
below freezing again, and some additional counties have been added to
the Freeze Warning in effect tonight from 1 AM to 10 AM. This area
includes counties along and east of I-10 and a portion of the I-35
corridor north of Bexar. Tomorrow, winds shift back out of the south
and temperatures start to warm slightly. Highs will be in the low to
mid 60s, still 10 - 15 degrees cooler than the seasonal normal.
Friday night will still be chilly, but the area should stay above
freezing with the return of some moisture and clouds.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Thursday)...
Early Saturday morning, a dry front glides across the area. This will
briefly shift the winds and interrupt the moisture return. This will
slow down the warm up for Saturday, and keep temperatures similar to
Friday. Sunday through the beginning of the week we will see a
warming trend, and by Tuesday, temperatures climb back into the upper
70s and low 80s. By mid week and towards the end of the forecast
period, models are picking up multiple disturbances that will
increase our chances for rain from Wednesday through Friday.

[Brent]

nothing extreme on the cold front after this but also not a single day is above normal(highs in the lower 70s right now) on the GEFS/EPS

[Ralph's Weather]

I made it to 32/33 this morning. Expecting 27ish tomorrow morning.

[rwfromkansas]

Larry Cosgrove going warm and dry for Texas winter. Not seeing it but will see.

[Ntxw]

Tonight might actually be warmer than last night. No cold air advection and many sites have switched to southerly component.

[hamburgerman7070]

Larry Cosgrove going warm and dry for Texas winter. Not seeing it but will see.

Rw, where is larry cosgrove winter outlook? Post the link if you can.

[Brent]

Larry Cosgrove going warm and dry for Texas winter. Not seeing it but will see.

I saw it on facebook, seems like the easy way out to me... I mean... way to go out on a limb given recent history.

[orangeblood]

DFW just tied the record low temp of 31F set on this date in 1906, impressive!

[Ralph's Weather]

25 in my backyard this morning. Heavy frost everywhere around town.

[rwfromkansas]

Got down to 27.3 IMBY. A hard freeze on November 1. Wow. Frost on ground.

The SE wind we had last evening became just E and now NE.

[Haris]

Record cold here. Airport down to 25. I was down to 28. Widespread freeze.

[rwfromkansas]

Larry Cosgrove going warm and dry for Texas winter. Not seeing it but will see.

Rw, where is larry cosgrove winter outlook? Post the link if you can.

Just FB

[CaptinCrunch]

Tonight might actually be warmer than last night. No cold air advection and many sites have switched to southerly component.

Tied a record low set for November 1st @ DFW 31F

Hotober closed out with a bang, with the monthly mean temp dropping to -2.0 and precip was +.20, thats a major turnaround from the +14 we started out with.

Halloween 2019 is officially the coldest on record by 4 degrees. The old average was 46F, the new average is 41F

[DonWrk]

Euro showing a big time heavy rain event on the 6th.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

***** ONE MONTH UNTIL THE WINTER THREAD SHOW ********

[Brent]

Fantasy land GFS is extremely cold starting around day 10 no outright winter storms although the pattern is active

[dhweather]

In Heath - low of 28.9°F at: 7:19 AM - thick frost everywhere.

[weatherdude1108]

We had frost this morning on the grass, but our thermometer registered 34. Earliest frost in recent memory!

[hamburgerman7070]

Fantasy land GFS is extremely cold starting around day 10 no outright winter storms although the pattern is active

Brent, the gfs shows a major winter storm just to our north, but its most likely hyping the cold and precipitation. Fun to look at. Alot of people said November would be colder but December would be warmer. I am trying to remain cautiously optimistic about winter.

[weatherdude1108]

Not bad.