Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

Puerto Rico has been thru some flooding in the past few days and it looks like more rain is on tap for us in the next couple of days.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1010 PM AST WED MAY 9 2012

.UPDATE...10/00Z TJSJ SOUNDING SHOWED THAT THE LLVL WINDS HAVE
SHIFTED FROM THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. UNDER A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...
MOISTURE WILL POOL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS. WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE AND
BECOME MORE ACTIVE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS MID/UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE EAST AND DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES
INTO THE AREA. ALL THESE INGREDIENTS COMBINED WILL RESULT IN
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE
PARTS OF THE ISLANDS THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY. IN GENERAL...
THE FORECAST REASONING HAS NOT CHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ISSUANCE.
MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE SHORT RANGE WEATHER ELEMENTS...MAINLY
TO FINE TUNE THE TIMING OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

[Macrocane]

In 24 hours, there were: 313 mm (litres of water per square metre) to the Raizet Abymes (including 195 mm in 3 hours), 174 mm at Baie-Mahault convenience (including 105 mm in 3 hours), usually between 20 and 70 mm on the other communes.
Soils are saturated in water. Therefore, any shower or thunderstorm is likely to quickly lead to flooding, water overflows, cave-ins or landslides. Attention also to the risk of lightning strikes.

Wow Gustywind!!! That's very dangerous, in El Salvador when we've had so much rain in such a little period there have been lots of fatalities and severe damages, I hope it doesn't happen in your countries and get a relief soon.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Plenty of rain is expected today in PR as the trough moves thru very slowly.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
509 AM AST THU MAY 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...AMPLIFIED MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WILL CONTINUE TO
LIFT EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. IN THE MEANTIME...SHORT
WAVE PERTURBATIONS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND
CROSS THE LOCAL AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AN ACCOMPANYING
JET MAXIMA BETWEEN 65 TO 70 KNOTS WILL MOVE THROUGH REGION TODAY
AS THE TROUGH SHIFTS EAST NORTHEAST. THIS PATTERN WILL FIRST
INDUCE A SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW THEN BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY
OVER THE WEEKEND...AS RIDGE ALOFT BUILDS WEST OF THE REGION. STRONGEST
DIVERGENCE NOW FOCUSED BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. THIS
ALONG WITH GOOD THERMAL TROUGHING IN UPPER LEVEL WILL HELP CREATE VERY
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND POSSIBLY THROUGH FRIDAY.
IN THE LOW LEVELS...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL
ATLANTIC AND BROAD SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL
MAINTAIN A MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGEST PWAT VALUES TO MAXIMIZE TO NEAR 2.0 INCHES OR SO TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS AND THE DEEP
LAYERED MOISTURE TO BE INJECTED INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND ON
FRIDAY...COMBINED WITH DIURNAL EFFECTS AND LOCAL FORCING WILL BE
MORE THAN ENOUGH TO PRODUCE VERY UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY
AND POSSIBLY TO A LESSER DEGREE ON FRIDAY. WITH SOIL ALREADY
SATURATED ACROSS MUCH OF PUERTO RICO AND FAIRLY SATURATED ACROSS
PARTS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FROM RECENT RAINS...ANY ENHANCED
CONVECTION TODAY WILL LEAD TO URBAN AND FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES AND EXCESSIVE DEBRIS FLOW WILL REMAIN
HIGH ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN
OVER PUERTO RICO.

ON SATURDAY A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS STILL EXPECTED...HOWEVER EXPECT
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TO LINGER ACROSS THE REGION FOR LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY
INDUCED AFTERNOON CONVECTION. FORMATION AND AREAS TO BE AFFECTED BY
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE INTERIOR WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE
LOCAL STEERING FLOW...WHICH AT THIS TIME WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE
SOUTH SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE EXPECT THE LOCAL AREA TO DRY OUT SOMEWHAT BY SUNDAY WITH
LESSER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM FORMATION ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND LOWER CIGS ACROSS TISX AND
TIST WILL CONTINUE TO WORK THEIR WAY WEST NORTHWEST TOWARD TJSJ BY
10/11Z. MTN OBSCURATIONS AND SOME PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF PR THRU 10/14Z AS SHOWERS MOVE
INLAND FROM ESE. SHWRS AND TSTMS EXPECTED AFT 10/16Z OVER INTERIOR
AND WESTERN PR PRODUCING PERIODS OF MVFR OR IFR ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ
BY 10/17Z...LASTING UNTIL 10/22Z. TJSJ 10/00Z SOUNDING INDICATED A
WIND FLOW OF 5-15 KT UP THRU 10 KFT...BECOMING WEST SOUTHWESTERLY
AND STRONGER ALOFT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 88 77 87 77 / 60 50 30 20
STT 85 76 86 77 / 60 50 40 30

[Gustywind]

Be aware Msbee, the Northern Leewards are back in Yellow Alert for strong showers and tstorms.

[Gustywind]

METEO. The ever present risk of heavy showers
franceantilles.fr10.05.2012
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 169129.php

A resumption of rain is expected today, after two days of relative calm. Low to moderate but sustainable rain alternating with a few episodes locally stormy and more sustained.
A moist and unstable air mass is stagnant on the Caribbean arc for nearly a week, causing rain at times supported and thunderstorms. Quite exceptional rollups have been recorded on the rainy Monday evening episode, in particular in les Abymes.
Soils are saturated in water. Therefore, any shower or thunderstorm is likely to quickly lead to flooding, water overflows, cave-ins or landslides. Attention also to the risk of lightning strikes.

[Gustywind]

Due to the exceptionnal rains of Monday night, some schools are always closed.

LES ABYMES: Some schools closed until Monday

franceantilles.fr09.05.2012

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 169400.php

Some les Abymes institutions will not be able to receive children prior to Monday May 14, because they are cleaning and disinfection.
The head of institution of the school city of sport excellence of Creps in les Abymes informed that interns will be allowed from Sunday 13 may in the evening. The courts will resume at 8 a.m. Monday, 14 May. All teachers are expected for a meeting extraordinary tomorrow Thursday from 8: 30 am. Is asked to keep students informed through the site of the city school.
Les Abymes other institutions will not be able to receive children prior to Monday May 14, because they are cleaning and disinfection: the Manger of the Raizet, stop child of the Raizet, kindergarten n ° 1 Odette Stanislas of the Raizet, school group n ° Raizet, nursery school n ° 3 1 Grand-camp, the kindergarten of Boissard and Dothémare school group.
According to the Rector, in the other affected municipalities, most of the schools were cleaned today and should be able to accommodate the students without difficulty in the morning.
The Front of Pointe-à-Pitre sea College who was unable to work normally today, will be open tomorrow morning.

[cycloneye]

Good afternoon. At least briefly,Puerto Rico got a break from the rainy weather this afternoon.However,more rain is still expected for tonight in Eastern PR and the Virgin Islands.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
411 PM AST THU MAY 10 2012

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
LOCATED WEST THROUGH NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
OR SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL MID LEVEL RIDGING SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY...WHILE UPPER TROUGH HANGS BACK A BIT TO THE WEST. THE
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE EAST CARIBBEAN...WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE LOCAL AREA
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF AFOREMENTIONED MID TO UPPER
LEVEL TROUGHINESS...LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY AND LOCAL
EFFECTS...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A FAIRLY ACTIVE SPELL OF
WEATHER ACROSS THE FA FOR TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE HAS BEEN A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT EXPECT
ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY OVER THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES...THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO
RICO AND ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH OTHER SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY. GIVEN ANTECEDENT WET GROUNDS AND ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
LEVELS IN MANY AREAS...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY COULD ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING...WITH URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING MORE PREVALENT.

THEREAFTER...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE (ALBEIT MUCH SLOWER THAN
BEFORE) AN AREA OF SOMEWHAT "DRIER" AND MORE STABLE AIR FOR
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND PROBABLY MONDAY TOO. ONCE AGAIN HAVE NOT
COMPLETELY BOUGHT THE "DRIER" SCENARIO...BUT FEEL THAT THIS MOST
LIKELY WILL TRANSLATE INTO AT LEAST SOME LOCALIZED CLOUDINESS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THERE IS THICK CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE AREA...CAUSING PERIODS OF
MVFR CEILINGS...MAINLY ACROSS TNCM AND TKPK. BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN AND AROUND TIST...TISX...TNCM...TKPK...
AND TJSJ. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MAINLY EAST AT AROUND 10 KNOTS
ACROSS THE USVI. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE PR
TERMINALS.

&&

.MARINE...GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF
5 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 86 77 88 / 50 30 20 30
STT 76 86 77 86 / 50 40 30 20

[msbee]

Be aware Msbee, the Northern Leewards are back in Yellow Alert for strong showers and tstorms.

again?

[cycloneye]

After a needed break from the flooding rains in Puerto Rico,it seems like another round will come on Friday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1045 PM AST THU MAY 10 2012

.UPDATE...AT THIS MOMENT THE DOPPLER RADAR IS SHOWING A FEW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS. MODELS SUGGEST AN SIGNIFICANT
INCREASE ON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
WATERS. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ON SHORE AND
AFFECT SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Another round of rain is expected this afternoon for PR. I hope that this rainy pattern subsides for the Eastern Caribbean islands soon as some of the islands have recieved very high amounts of rainfall and flooding has occured.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 AM AST FRI MAY 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...BASED ON THE LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
RECENT UPPER AIR DATA ANALYSIS...AXIS OF WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH NOW
EXTENDS SOUTHWARDS ACROSS PUERTO RICO INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...
WHILE MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS HISPANIOLA INTO
THE EAST CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THESE FEATURES ALTHOUGH EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL HELP MAINTAIN UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION AT LEAST FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO. MEANWHILE
STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FURTHER SOUTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT BUT MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY
TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
BECOME MORE EASTERLY BY THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...AS ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE REESTABLISHES ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND BUILDS NORTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FAVORABLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS AND FAIRLY
MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR MASS...WILL COMBINE WITH DIURNAL EFFECTS AND
LOCAL FORCING TO PRODUCE MOSTLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION
ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS TODAY. SOIL REMAIN FAIRLY SATURATED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLAND...SO EXPECT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE MOST ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO BE FOCUSED ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. DUE TO THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... EXPECT
PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS...AND THIS MAY
ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN URBAN AND FLASH FLOODING TODAY...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS PARTS OF PUERTO RICO. THE POTENTIAL FOR MUDSLIDES WILL ALSO
REMAIN HIGH ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN OVER PUERTO RICO.

ON SATURDAY CONTINUED GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IS FORECAST...HOWEVER EXPECT
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ACROSS THE ISLANDS FOR LOCALLY AND DIURNALLY INDUCED
AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THE FORMATION AND LOCATION OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE LOCAL STEERING WINDS...WHICH WILL BE MAINLY
FROM THE SOUTHEAST...THEN BECOMING MORE EASTERLY BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY... AS THE EASTERLY
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING
SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST
ATLANTIC. IN ADDITION...EARLIER SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE
NAVY GLOBAL AEROSOL FORECAST MODEL SHOWED A SURGE OF SAHARAN DUST
JUST EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WITH LEADING EDGE NOW NEAR 57
WEST. ALL MODELS CONSISTENT IN BRINGING THIS DRIER AIR/SAL ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN BY LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY... WITH A LOW
LEVEL WIND SURGE BETWEEN 20 TO 25 KNOTS EXPECTED TO MOVE WELL
SOUTH OF THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR TO SEE HOW THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL TERMINALS FOR THE REST OF
THE MORNING HOURS OR UNTIL 11/16Z. HOWEVER...ABUNDANT CLOUDINESS
ACROSS THE AREA...WILL PROMOTE PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS MAINLY
ACROSS TNCM AND TKPK. BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING IN AND AROUND TIST...TISX... TNCM...TKPK...AND TJSJ. THEN
AFT 11/16Z SHWRS AND TSTMS WILL DEVELOP IN NW PR WITH AREAS OF MVFR
CONDS AND MTN OBSCURATIONS. TJSJ 11/00Z SOUNDING INDICATED A LIGHT
EAST SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 10K
FEET...BECOMING WESTERLY AND STRONGER ALOFT.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 77 88 77 / 30 20 30 20
STT 86 77 86 78 / 30 30 20 20

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
322 PM AST FRI MAY 11 2012

.SYNOPSIS...UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND DIURNAL
HEATING...COMBINED TO PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WESTERN...AND NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE 11/12Z SOUNDING INDICATED THAT THE ATMOSPHERE
WAS UNSTABLE WITH A LIFTED INDEX OF -8 AND CAPE OF ALMOST 4K.
COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE...SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED...SOME OF WHICH HAD HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WAS OBSERVED IN SOME AREAS AS WELL
AS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS TO THE NORTHWEST OF PUERTO
RICO. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH CONSIDERABLY LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SLIGHTLY BETTER
CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND
CAPE DECREASING SLIGHTLY...BUT UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE DECREASING
AS WELL. THIS PATTERN OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
TERMINAL AFTER 11/21Z. SHRA/TSRA WILL KEEP MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS
ACROSS TJBQ AND TJMZ UNTIL 11/21Z. WIDESPREAD BKN/OVC CEILINGS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO UNTIL 11/23Z BUT MOSTLY ABOVE 4KFT.
SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT
5 TO 15 KNOTS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 77 88 78 / 30 20 30 20
STT 86 77 86 78 / 30 30 20 20

[cycloneye]

Macrocane, it looks like the Eastern Pacific may have an early start to the Hurricane Season as the models are showing not only one,but two and in GFS three systems in the next two weeks. So be vigilant over there. Here is the 12z European run that shows a strong system just Southwest of your country in ten days.

[Macrocane]

Yes the models in the last 2 days have been kind of worrying, I really hope we don't have another 96E, Agatha or 12E again. Thanks for the info.

[cycloneye]

:uarrow: Yes the models in the last 2 days have been kind of worrying, I really hope we don't have another 96E, Agatha or 12E again. Thanks for the info.

When was the last landfall of a storm or hurricane in El Salvador?

[Macrocane]

:uarrow: Yes the models in the last 2 days have been kind of worrying, I really hope we don't have another 96E, Agatha or 12E again. Thanks for the info.

When was the last landfall of a storm or hurricane in El Salvador?

The last time we had a tropical storm directly over our territory was the Hurricane One in 1934, in 1997 tropical deprecion Andres made lanfall in our coasts and 2005 Adrian made landfall as a tropical storm in the Honduran part of the Gulf of Fonseca. Anyway, we've seen huge disasters from systems that have made lanfall in the neighbor countries like Mitch, Stan, Agatha and TD 12E.

[Macrocane]

These are the temperatrues in Central America for May 10 2012:

Minimum Temperatures

Belize city, Belize 27°C (81°F) Warmest since April 3 2012
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.4°C (68.7°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 18.0°C (64.4°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 8.1°C (46.6°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 21.1°C (70.0°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 10.7°C (51.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.4°C (74.1°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 18°C (64°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 16°C (51°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 16.7°C (62.1°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.9°C (42.6°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.4°C (72.3°F)
Panama city, Panama 22.4°C (72.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 14.9°C (58.8°F)

Maximum Temperatures

Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 34.1°C (93.4°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 29.0°C (84.2°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.8°C (71.2°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 40°C (104°F) Hottest since April 3 2012
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.3°C (86.5°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.3°C (70.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 35.0°C (95.0°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 30°C (86°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 34°C (93°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 26°C (79°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 29.3°C (84.7°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 17.2°C (63.0°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 34.4°C (93.9°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.8°C (91.0°F)
Boquete, Panama 25.8°C (78.4°F)

[Macrocane]

And these are the observation for May 11 2012:

Minimum Temperatures

Belize city, Belize 27°C (81°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 19.9°C (67.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 16.6°C (61.9°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 4.3°C (39.7°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.1°C (68.2°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 11.9°C (53.4°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 24.3°C (75.7°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 20°C (68°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 11°C (52°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 23°C (73°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 25°C (77°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 19°C (66°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 15.9°C (60.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 5.7°C (42.3°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 23.0°C (73.4°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.0°C (73.4°F)
Boquete, Panama 16.2°C (61.2°F)

Maximum Temperatures

Belize city, Belize 32°C (90°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 33.2°C (91.8°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 28.0°C (82.4°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 22.8°C (73.0°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 38°C (100°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 30.5°C (86.9°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.7°C (71.1°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 32.1°C (89.8°F) Coolest since February 2 2012
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F) Coolest since March 16 2012
San Jose, Costa Rica 28.5°C (83.3°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 18.6°C (65.5°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 34.0°C (93.2°F)
Panama city, Panama 32.6°C (90.7°F)
Boquete, Panama 26.1°C (79.0°F)

[Gustywind]

METEO

Wet end, back to green

franceantilles.fr11.05.2012
http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 169129.php


The arrival of a more dry air today gradually pushes this humid air mass. The ondées are therefore becoming scarce. So time is, dry, hazy but still today and the next few days. However, the alert is thrown... Back to green!
The mass of moist and unstable air is stagnant on the Caribbean arc since more than a week, generates even a few flurries but tends to weaken as and as qu ' it away from our islands. The arrival of a more dry air today gradually pushes this humid air mass. The ondées are therefore becoming scarce. Time is, therefore, dry, hazy but still today and the next few days.
After the exceptional episode of Monday night, he fell 100 to 120 mm on the heights of Basse-Terre and 30 to 40 mm in great (large-land).

[cycloneye]

Good morning. Finnally,we can say goodbye to the wet pattern in the Eastern Caribbean. But still some showers will move thru,but far from being widespread. Thanks Macrocane for the information and hopefully this year systems dont go to that country nor any in Central America.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
616 AM AST SAT MAY 12 2012

.SYNOPSIS...THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH JUST NORTH OF THE
REGION WILL CONTINUE TO FILL AND DISSIPATES WHILE MOVES TO THE
EAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
EXTEND SOUTHWEST INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN MAINTAINING A LIGHT
AND RELATIVELY MOIST EAST SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE AND BECOME
MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT AND FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND...AS ANOTHER
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE REESTABLISHES ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND BUILDS NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE WET WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...ASSOCIATED WITH A MID TO
UPPER TROUGH IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AS THE TROUGH MIGRATES EAST AND DAMPENS OUT TODAY AND
SUNDAY. AS THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...AN ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
STRENGTHEN NORTH OF THE AREA BEHIND A WEAK FRONT MOVING INTO THE
BAHAMAS ALLOWING FRESH TRADE WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH A MORE EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...MODELS GUIDANCE SUGGEST...A GENERALLY DRY
TREND ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. IN FACT...PWAT VALUES IS EXPECTED TO
DECREASE FROM AROUND 2.0 TO 1.5 INCHES BY LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
HOWEVER...THE AVAILABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL COMBINE EACH DAY
WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND LOCAL ISLAND EFFECTS TO INDUCE A NEW ROUND
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN AND
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WITH LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS ACROSS THE FLYING AREA AND LOCAL
ISLANDS AND AT MOST TAF SITES DUR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...
BRIEF MVFR CONDS AND LCL MTN TOP OBSCURATIONS REMAIN PSBL IN
ISOLD-SCT PASSING SHRA/TSRA...ESPECIALLY OVR ERN THIRD OF PR TO
INCLUDE VCNTY TJNR...TJSJ TIL 12/12Z. AFTN CONVECTION WILL LEAD TO
PRDS OF MVFR/PSBL IFR IN MOD-STG SHRA/ISOLD TSRA FM 12/17Z-12/22Z AT
TJMZ...TJSJ...AND TJBQ. ELSEWHERE VFR CONDS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME. GENERAL LOW/LVL WND FLOW FM SE AT 10-15 KNOTS BLO 15K FT...
BCMG W TO NW AND INCR W/HT ABV WITH MAX WND AROUND 60 KTS BTW 35-40K
FT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 85 77 / 30 20 20 20
STT 87 78 86 77 / 30 20 20 20

[cycloneye]

Here is the April climate report and you can see how it rained during the month and how are the stats so far in 2012 and you can see that rainfall is well above normal so far in 2012.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=apr2012cr