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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:06 am
by bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:19 am
by bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:28 am
by bubba hotep
1st watch of the day to our North, those storms seem to be holding together better than any of the HiRes models were showing. If they collapse and spit out an outflow then that could send a push of cool stable air down over DFW shutting off storm chances for later...

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 10:41 am
by bubba hotep
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Mesoscale Discussion 1039
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1034 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2019

Areas affected...South-central Oklahoma/north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

Valid 091534Z - 091700Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
continues.

SUMMARY...Within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347, a cluster of
south/southeastward-moving thunderstorms will continue to pose a
damaging wind/some hail risk across south-central OK. Trends are
being closely monitored for the possibility of an additional Watch
across North TX, which could be needed within the hour (before 1130
AM CDT).

DISCUSSION...A south/southeastward-moving cluster (around 35 kt
forward motion) with history of wind damage/periodic severe hail
continues along the I-35 corridor of south-central OK, with the
leading edge nearing the Wyneewood/Davis/Sulphur areas as of 1025 AM
CDT. The linear cluster remains relatively well-organized with a
tight leading-edge reflectivity gradient and signs of moderately
strong rear inflow and a deep cold pool, with 30+ kt winds within
the lowest 2-3km AGL observed in recent KTLX WSR-88D VWP data.
Mid-level temperatures warm and background environmental winds, if
anything, tend to weaken with southward extent. That said, a readily
evident cold pool (accompanied by strong pressure rises) appears to
be relatively well balanced with moist/moderately strong southerly
storm-relative inflow, which may help to maintain severe-caliber
storms with a damaging wind threat into parts of North TX. This is
all while lapse rates will continue to steepen as low-level
inhibition gradually erodes as temperatures warm through the
middle/upper 80s F as of 15Z.

..Guyer.. 06/09/2019

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:25 am
by bubba hotep
Long duration watch for a relatively small area

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:38 am
by Brent
Well this might at least put a cap on the heat today around here

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:42 am
by Ntxw
June front on the way! I repeat a front in June! Solstice is only a week and half away you can't ask for more than 80s for highs and 60s for lows...remember 1980 it can be 113!!!

It will feel more like September than June the next couple of days.

Unusually cool summer on the way.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 12:24 pm
by Brent
that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 12:51 pm
by rwfromkansas
Just got back from a Caribbean cruise. Great weather there. The weather here is way different than what the NWS posted this morning, with a line coming through already, not 4 p.m. Will have to see how that changes things.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:20 pm
by bubba hotep
All of DFW metro under warnings now and reports of gust up towards 70 mph with these storms.

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:35 pm
by Shoshana
Does anyone know the timing yet for the Austin metro?

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:48 pm
by bubba hotep
Brent wrote:that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?


Good question, the HiRes models from this morning had storms dying out before even reaching the Red River and then storms firing later along the front. This throws everything out of wack but probably the only storms of the day for DFW given the impressive cold pool behind these batch.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:52 pm
by srainhoutx
62 kt wind gust reported at Love Field in Dallas. I also see reports of trucks blown over along 635

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:55 pm
by rwfromkansas
Temp has dived with outflow boundary coming out of storm. Think that ends the threat for Tarrant.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:59 pm
by Brent
bubba hotep wrote:
Brent wrote:that line moving into Gainesville and Sherman looks like it's gonna make at least the eastern half of the metro

so will there be another round or will this be it?


Good question, the HiRes models from this morning had storms dying out before even reaching the Red River and then storms firing later along the front. This throws everything out of wack but probably the only storms of the day for DFW given the impressive cold pool behind these batch.


Yeah the models did horrible today

Even last night the bigger issue was excessive heat lol

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:04 pm
by ColdFusion
Impressive winds came with the storms in Addison, TX.

I've been here 3 years and this tarp has never had damage prior to today.

Also knocked out power for about 30 min

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Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:33 pm
by rwfromkansas
Got no rain here but nice and cool.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:42 pm
by bubba hotep
In the 50s up in the Panhandle!

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:49 pm
by gpsnowman
Had a pretty good downpour in Irving but now it is cloud free with a cool wind. Weird. Tomorrow is going to be gorgeous.

Re: Texas Summer 2019

Posted: Sun Jun 09, 2019 3:03 pm
by Ntxw
srainhoutx wrote:62 kt wind gust reported at Love Field in Dallas. I also see reports of trucks blown over along 635


There was a small hook that passed through near Addison when it rolled through. I happened to be in the area and a lot of tree/branch damage. Some facing the wrong way if considering just straight line winds.