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Cpv17 wrote:TheProfessor wrote:Just going to look into the future for a bit, but with that we can watch how that future starts to shape up throughout the spring. The things to watch right now is if a drought develops over Florida, the northern Gulf coast continues to stay dry, southeast Texas continues to stay dry, and the Northeast Tx coast/Northwest Gulf get near normal to above normal rain fall. If nothing changes over the next two months then I think you'll see a powerful Bermuda high this Summer with steering that would typically send a storm towards the upper Texas coast or western La. Of course steering currents are never static and they may not be in place when a storm actually develops, but right now I think that could be the predominate pattern. Obviously that's way in the future, but I do think that's something we all need to think about come hurricane season. I know the virus is taking up all the talk right now, but come June 1st everyone on the coast needs to make sure they're ready, but I think people between NOLA and Houston should especially be ready.
Why’s all the rain staying north of the coastal areas along the Gulf coast? We’ve had a difficult time getting widespread heavy rains the past few months in SETX. Are other areas having the same problem?
South Texas Storms wrote:Latest model guidance (including long-range) looks really wet for TX! The new Euro Weeklies run shows much of the state getting 5-10 inches of rain through the middle part of May. South Texas even looks likely to get in on the action, which would be much needed.
bubba hotep wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:Latest model guidance (including long-range) looks really wet for TX! The new Euro Weeklies run shows much of the state getting 5-10 inches of rain through the middle part of May. South Texas even looks likely to get in on the action, which would be much needed.
Here is the 46 day mean for those that are interested
https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-weeklies-avg/tx/total_precip_inch/1585526400/1589500800-g1rWtRzMlbM.png
I think the GFS is smoking something. This is the last thing I expected to see Of course it is technically April Fools Day even though the news right now is pretty much crazier than anything you could think up 
this is valid Easter too
Haris wrote:Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.
Haris wrote:Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.
bubba hotep wrote:Haris wrote:Can’t wait. Come on, where is everyone?! We have a very rainy pattern ahead.
Seems like there is a hangover from the winter busting so bad. Also, I guess people are distracted by other things going on...
cycloneye wrote:The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.
https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png
South Texas Storms wrote:cycloneye wrote:The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.
https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png
Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!
Cpv17 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:cycloneye wrote:The drought expands and increase to severe in the south.
https://i.imgur.com/jYDYEBP.png
Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!
What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.
South Texas Storms wrote:Cpv17 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:
Thankfully a much wetter weather pattern will likely be returning to south Texas over the next week at least!
What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.
According to the Euro Weeklies, we may dry out a bit during the second half of April. However, a wet pattern looks to return during the first half of May.
captainbarbossa19 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:Cpv17 wrote:
What’s it looking like for the second half of April? I know the first half looks wet.
According to the Euro Weeklies, we may dry out a bit during the second half of April. However, a wet pattern looks to return during the first half of May.
Let's start with rain first, then the drying period. I had barely over half an inch of rain for the whole month of March. Yearly rainfall now is almost 10 inches below average for my location. It's strange that the systems keep skipping the South and Southeast Texas regions. This needs to change soon or these regions are going to have a severe drought. Last time my area had severe drought conditions was probably in 2013.
